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2022 Italian Open Odds & Preview: Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic Among The Favorites

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in Tennis

May 7, 2022 · 10:08 AM PDT

Novak Djokovic
Sep 12, 2021; Flushing, NY, USA; Novak Djokovic of Serbia (L) talks with Daniil Medvedev of Russia (R) during the trophy presentation after their match in the men's singles final on day fourteen of the 2021 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
  • The 2022 Italian Open officially begins on Sunday, May 8th
  • Five-time champion Novak Djokovic is the top seed in the tournament, but Carlos Alcaraz is the slim +260 favorite
  • Find the Italian Open odds, preview, and best bet below

With the qualifying matches running on Friday and Saturday, the 2022 Italian Open officially kicks off on Sunday with the Round of 64. Novak Djokovic heads in as the No. 1 seed in the ATP tournament, while 2021 champion Rafael Nadal, who is ranked No. 3, will be looking to defend his crown after beating the Serb in the final a year ago.

2022 Italian Open Odds

Seed Player Odds
[7] Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) +260
[1] Novan Djokovic (SRB) +300
[3] Rafael Nadal (ESP) +300
[4] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) +500
[2] Alexander Zverev (GER) +600
[6] Andriy Rublev (RUS) +1200
[5] Casper Ruud (NOR) +1400
[10] Jannik Sinner (ITA) +1800
[9] Cameron Norrie (GBR) +3500
[8] Felix Auger-Aliassime (CAN) +4500
N/A Fabio Fognini (ITA) +4500
[12] Diego Schwartzman (ARG) +4500
[13] Denis Shapovalov (CAN) +4500
[PR] Dominic Thiem (AUS) +4500
[15] Pablo Carreno Busta (ESP) +5500
N/A David Goffin (BEL) +5500
[11] Hubert Hurkacz (POL) +5500
[14] Reilly Opelka (USA) +5500
N/A Lorenzo Sonego (ITA) +5500
[16] Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP) +6600

Odds as of May 7th at Barstool Sportsbook.

Rome debutant Carlos Alcaraz is surprisingly a slim frontrunner to win at +260, but both Djokovic and Nadal aren’t far behind at +300 odds.

If you’re new to betting on this sport, then our Tennis Betting Basics guide should help you on your way and offer some useful info.

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Djokovic, Nadal Land in Same Half of Draw

Djokovic earns an automatic berth into the Round of 32 where he will face the winner of Aslan Karatsev vs. South African Lloyd Harris. The Serbian has won this tournament in Rome a total of five times. He still has the chance to win his 38th ATP title in Madrid as well this weekend.

Nadal, a record-breaking 10-time champ in the Italian capital, just lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the Madrid quarterfinals after a six-week break due to a rib injury. He could have a tough second rough matchup in Rome against John Isner if the American gets past his opening round clash with a TBA opponent. Norwegian Casper Ruud, who is ranked fifth, is a potential quarterfinal opposition for Nadal. Ruud loves clay.

Can’t Sleep on Zverev, Auger-Aliassime

Zverev is in the Madrid semifinals on Saturday and he’s also ranked as a No. 2 seed in Rome. The German hasn’t won a ton of titles in his career, but he always finds himself in the latter stages of most tournaments. Zverev beat Djokovic in the 2017 final of the Italian Open and could clash with Alcaraz in the quarterfinals.

Auger-Aliassime lost in straight sets to Zverev on Friday in the Spanish capital, 6-3,7-5. But, the Canadian did beat Jannik Sinner and Cristian Garin in previous rounds. He’ll head into Rome as a No. 8 seed and is in the same quarter as Djokovic. That means a possible semifinal meeting with the Serb.

Previous Italian Open Winners And Finalists

Year Champion Finalist
2021 Rafael Nadal Novak Djokovic
2020 Novak Djokovic Diego Schwartzman
2019 Rafael Nadal Novak Djokovic
2018 Rafael Nadal Alexander Zverev
2017 Alexander Zverev Novak Djokovic

Debut for Alcaraz

Alcaraz has taken the tennis world by storm this year. His rapid rise to stardom is impressive, to say the least, winning the Rio Open, Miami Open, and Barcelona Open. The Spaniard even made it all the way to the quarterfinals in the 2021 US Open.

This is his first-ever appearance in Rome but Alcaraz is very familiar with the clay courts in Italy, previously playing in different Challenger tournaments across the last few years in the country.

Is Tsitsipas Worth a Bet?

Stefanos Tsitsipas has a quarterfinal and semifinal run to his name in Rome and will face Zverev in the semis of Madrid on Saturday. Grigor Dimitrov is likely his second-round opponent, who the Greek just handled with ease in the third round in Spain, 6-3, 6-4. Tsitsipas is one of the strongest players in the bottom half of the Italian Open draw.

Italian Open Prediction

In 15 of the last 17 years, it’s been either Djokovic or Nadal who have won this tournament. Nole is finally back in the groove playing again and Nadal is coming off an injury. I honestly like the Serb to win his sixth Italian Open here as he prepares for the French Open later this month.

Pick: Novak Djokovic (+300)

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