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Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Prediction – US Open Final

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Sep 10, 2022 · 9:48 AM PDT

Carlos Alcaraz with his hands on his mouth in disbelief
Sep 9, 2022; Flushing, NY, USA; Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) reacts while sitting in his player's chair after his match against Frances Tiafoe (USA) (not pictured) in a men's singles semifinal on day twelve of the 2022 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
  • The final for men’s singles at the US Open will be played on Sunday
  • Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz will go head-to-head for the second time this year
  • Continue below for odds, preview and best bet predictions

The last match of the tournament is here, and regardless of who wins, there will be a new World No. 1.

[5] Casper Ruud vs [3] Carlos Alcaraz Odds & Prediction – US Open Final

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[5] Casper Ruud +4.5 (-125) +185 Ov 39.5 (-120)
[3] Carlos Alcaraz -4.5 (-105) -240 Un 39.5 (-105)

Odds as of September 10th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Use this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on the US Open Final.

Both players have the chance to win here, but Alcaraz is the favorite heading into the match. His US Open odds have been at the top to win since the beginning.


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Rudd Defeats Karen Khachanov

Ruud may have not have a five-set battle to earn his spot in the final, but it was still an exciting match to watch. The first set was forced to a tie break, but after Ruud captured that, it was a relatively straightforward match from then on out.

Ruud went onto win 7(7)-6(5), 6-2, 5-7, 6-2.

Serving was a big part of this match on both sides, as the two players not only were serving well, but they were defending theirs as well.

Much like his final opponent, Ruud will be looking to capture his maiden Grand Slam title, in his second Grand Slam final appearance on Sunday.

Alcaraz Defeats Frances Tiafoe

The 19-year old is coming off an intense five-set battle against American Frances Tiafoe. The teenager went on to win 6(6)-7(8)- 6-3, 6-3, 7(7)-6(5), 6-3.

Despite Tiafoe’s 15 aces, it was Alcaraz who was more consistent on serve, and it has been a huge asset for him. He landed 71 percent of his first serves, following up with a 75 win percentage when landing those first serves.

Tiafoe had a strong opening set, where neither player wan able to break serve. The American really had the crowd on his side, and it looked like Alcaraz might have a tough task in front of him.

The Spaniard looked to be in good shape after the third set, having gone up 2-1, but again, Tiafoe wasn’t going anywhere, and ultimately forced a fifth set. By the fifth set, it looked like Tiafoe may have been out of gas, and Alcaraz was able to finish strong.

He’ll be looking for his maiden Grand Slam title as he takes on Ruud.

Alcaraz Leads Head-to-Head

This will be the second final of 2022 that Rudd and Alcaraz find themselves going to head-to-head. They played each other in Miami earlier this year, where Alcaraz won in straight sets. Their first meeting came in 2021, where Alcaraz also won in straight sets.

Ruud vs Alcaraz Head-to-Head Stats

Casper Ruud
Carlos Alcaraz
4-6 (3rd in AFC
ATP Standing 4
23 Age 19
9 Career Titles 5
157/85 Career W/L 77/27
3 YTD Titles 4
38/15 YTD W/L 44/9
0 Head-to-Head Wins 2

Ruud vs Alcaraz Pick

This is the opportunity to be the match of the year. Not only is a World No. 1 on the line, but both players are also looking to capture their first Grand Slam.

Ruud and Alcaraz have a similar well-rounded game. They’re strong on returns and provide variety in their matches, so both players will keep their opponents on their toes.

Both players will be playing with heightened emotions given what’s on the line. They’ll be doing their best to block out all the unnecessary noise, but at the end of the day they’re human. Whoever can remain calm and stay consistent will be the one to come out on top. But instead of looking specifically for a winner, look at the distance for the best bet.

Best Bet: 5 sets (+280)

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