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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik Odds & Prediction – Swiss Indoors Basel Quarterfinals

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Oct 27, 2022 · 2:01 PM PDT

Auger-Aliassime
Sep 25, 2022; London, United Kingdom; Felix Auger-Aliassime (CAN) celebrates winning against Novak Djokovic (SRB) in a Laver Cup singles match. Mandatory Credit: Peter van den Berg-USA TODAY Sports
  • Félix Auger-Aliassime is on a 10-match win streak as he faces Alexander Bublik in Basel
  • The quarterfinal match is scheduled for 9 am ET, October 28.
  • Even without his great form of late, Auger-Aliassime would have been favored. We break down the Auger-Aliasssime vs Bublik odds here

Late October tennis is often derided as “garbage time” in tennis, with the post-US Open tournaments being fertile ground for upsets and unusual results.

But don’t tell that to Canadian Félix Auger-Aliassime. Because he’s on a roll.

Auger-Aliassime vs Bublik Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[3] Félix Auger-Aliassime (CAN) -3.5 (-120) -330 O 22.5 (-110)
Alexander Bublik (KAZ) +3.5 (-110) +250 U 22.5 (-120)

Odds as of Oct. 27 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Basel Open

 

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The 22-year-old Canadian, who has maintained a good ranking but hasn’t had the results at the Grand Slam level that he enjoyed in 2021, has come on strong in these late stages of the season.

He ran through a pair of ATP 250 events the last two weeks – winning titles in Florence, Italy and then in Antwerp, Belgium.

With the 28-player draws, he needed to win just four matches to take both titles. He lost just one set in Florence (in his opener vs Oscar Otte) and one in the quarterfinals in Antwerp, where he had to come back from a set down to defeat Brit Daniel Evans.

So far in Basel, he has looked fresh and ready to win a third straight title.

After losing his first nine finals and finally breaking the duck indoors in Rotterdam early this year, he has tripled that total – again, indoors on hard court, his best surface – and is looking for more.

Bublik, Ever the Mercenary

Bublik, Russian-born and Kazakhstan-supported, has never made any secret of the reason he plays tennis.

It’s to make money. And now, with a new baby, it’s to support a family.

He is a mercurial talent – one who can look like a world-beater one day, a disaffected, jaded veteran the next.

Bublik reached his career-high back in February, a few weeks after winning his first and only ATP Tour title indoors on hard court, in Montpellier, France.

It’s definitely a surface and conditions that suit him. He made the final in Metz, France last month under similar conditions.

Auger-Aliassime vs Bublik Head-to-Head

Félix Auger-Aliassime
VS
Alexander Bublik
22 (Aug. 8, 2000) Age 25 (June 17, 1997)
Montreal, Canada Birthplace Gatchina, Russia
6-4 Height 6-5
3 Career ATP Singles Titles 1
No. 8 (Aug. 22, 2022) Career-Best Ranking No. 30 (Feb. 21, 2022)
No. 9 Current Ranking No. 38
$8,116,659 Career Prize Money $4,162,419
50-24 2022 Won/Loss Record 33-25
1 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Auger-Aliassime the Favorite

The head-to-head between these two players is pretty inconclusive.

When Auger-Aliassime was still a teenager, he defeated Bublik on the Asian swing in a first-round match in Shanghai. But Bublik retired before the match came to completion.

Their other meeting came on clay in 2020, during a not-particularly inspired patch of play for the young Canadian.

The great evener in this one is that the indoor hard-court surface is preferred by both. The edge for Auger-Aliassime is just how well he’s playing at the moment.

Bublik hasn’t struck anyone as the kind of guy who is going to get super-motivated to end anyone’s winning streak. Of course, he does have the ability to do it, on paper.

The Canadian Dismantles Kecmanovic

Hopefully, he didn’t watch any of the Canadian’s dismantling of Miomir Kecmanovic in the second round Thursday.

As he has every time the two have played each other indoors, Auger-Aliassime took care of business.

This was the worst beatdown of all – 6-1, 6-0 in just 49 minutes. Kecmanovic won just 20 of the 70 points played, and just 12-of-34 on his own serve. It was comprehensive.

In two matches over five sets, Auger-Aliassime has 27 aces and six double faults. And as his serve goes, he usually goes.

Auger-Aliassime vs Bublik Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2020 Hamburg (R16) Outdoor Clay 6-4, 6-2 Bublik
2019 Masters Shanghai (R64) Outdoor Hard 7-6 (5), 4-0 retd Auger-Aliassime

Bublik hasn’t dropped a set in wins over lucky loser Aslan Karatsev and Spaniard Albert Ramos-Viñolas.

Auger-Aliassime vs Bublik Pick

There is always a chance of a hiccup with Auger-Aliassime – a poor set, or a poor tiebreak.

But that hasn’t been happening much on this run.

He should be all over Bublik.

Best Bet: Auger-Aliassime in Two Sets (-135)

 

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