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Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Odds & Prediction – Wimbledon Semifinals

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Jul 15, 2023 · 3:12 AM PDT

Novak Djokovic (SRB) celebrates winning his match against Andrey Rublev
Jul 11, 2023; London, United Kingdom; Novak Djokovic (SRB) celebrates winning his match against Andrey Rublev on day nine at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
  • No. 2 seed Novak Djokovic meets No. 8 Jannik Sinner in one Wimbledon semifinal Friday
  • Djokovic, who is 2-0 vs Sinner, is a heavy favorite to make the final in the Wimbledon odds
  • Read on as we break down the matchup and assess whether Sinner has a shot in our Sinner vs Djokovic picks

Pre-tournament favorite Novak Djokovic will meet No. 8 seed Jannik Sinner Friday for a spot in the Wimbledon final. Is he the best best in our Sinner vs Djokovic prediction?

Sinner vs Djokovic Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[8] Jannik Sinner (ITA) +5.5 (-108) +350 O 37.5 (-112)
[2] Novak Djokovic (SRB) -5.5 (-122) -465 U 37.5 (-118)

At -465  odds, Djokovic is a strong favorite in the Sinner vs Djokovic odds for Friday’s Wimbledon semifinal. Sinner is the underdog at +350 odds. The total games are set at 37.5 in their semifinal.

Sinner vs Djokovic odds as of July 13 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get a FanDuel Sportsbook promo to bet on the Wimbledon semifinals here!


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A Sweet Draw Quarter for Sinner

From the start, with No. 4 seed Casper Ruud as his projected quarterfinal opponent, Jannik Sinner was the favorite to get to the final four even with his abject lack of experience on grass.

Sinner, now 21, lost in the first round of qualifying at Wimbledon in 2019, when he was 17. He came back after the 2020 edition was cancelled and lost in the first round in 2021 to Marton Fucsovics of Hungary, who was ranked No. 48 to his No. 23.

But a year ago, ranked No. 13, he made the quarterfinals and defeated Stan Wawrinka, big-serving John Isner, and the even-younger Carlos Alcaraz en route.

This year, he goes one step further – at least. But while that’s an impressive run, Sinner has yet to face a seed through his first five matches. A number of those opponents are better on the clay, as well; but Sinner has lost just two sets on his way to the rematch with Djokovic.

Djokovic Rarely in Trouble

Djokovic, who has won the last four Wimbledons and was a massive favorite in the Wimbledon odds coming in, has had a much more regulation run.

He faced a tough task in No. 17 seed Hubert Hurkacz in the round of 16, and the hard-hitting Russian Andrey Rublev (the No. 7 seed) in the quarterfinals.

Djokovic dropped one set to each of them, with the clash against Hurkacz by far his biggest challenge of the tournament.

His biggest issue has been … people watching him practice.

Sinner vs Djokovic Head-to-Head

Jannik Sinner
Novak Djokovic
21 (Aug. 16, 2001) Age 36 (May 22, 1987)
San Candido, Italy Birthplace Belgrade, Serbia
6-2 Height 6-2
7 Career ATP Singles Titles 94
0 Career Grand Slam Titles 23
No. 8 (April 10, 2023) Career-Best Ranking No. 1 (July 4, 2011)
No. 8 Current Ranking No. 2
$8,871,818 Career Prize Money $169,762,762
37-10 2023 Won/Loss Record 32-4
0 Head-to-Head Wins 2

Meetings between the two have been surprisingly rare – just twice have they played.

The last time was in the Wimbledon quarterfinals last year, with Sinner up two sets to love before falling in five.

Sinner vs Djokovic Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 Wimbledon (QF) Grass 5-7, 2-6, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2 Djokovic
2021 Monte Carlo Masters (R32) Outdoor Clay 6-4, 6-2 Djokovic

Djokovic hasn’t lost at Wimbledon since 2017, when he retired early. in the second set of a quarterfinal match against the now-retired Tomas Berdych, during the period when he was coming back from elbow surgery.

YouTube video

He has earned nearly $22 million at Wimbledon alone in his career. And with his 91-10 record, has lost more Wimbledon matches than Sinner had ever even played coming into this year’s event.

Sinner vs Djokovic Prediction

Sinner will have learned from last year’s match, when he may have felt pretty confident about his chances after being up two sets to none. He has more experience now, and making that first run a year ago has direct consequences on his ability to repeat that – and more – in 2023.

But Djokovic will also have picked up some intel. And Sinner’s biggest challenge will be to get to two sets to love up.

That’s unlikely to happen. He has won a lot of matches this fortnight, but none of them against players even close to the calibre of the Serb, who has looked as good as ever in getting to the final four.

That said, Djokovic’s odds of winning were at -630 Wednesday night, and had dropped to -465 by Thursday morning. So Sinner is getting some backing for the upset in the Sinner vs Djokovic odds.

Can Sinner take a set in our Wimbledon predictions? Perhaps one. But although anything is possible, this doesn’t look to be the year when the man who hasn’t lost at the All-England Club in six years is knocked off his perch.

Sinner vs Djokovic Picks: Djokovic in Four Sets (+240), Djokovic to win, and over 36.5 Total Games (+120)

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