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Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun Odds & Picks – WNBA Finals Game 3

Mitchell Hansen

by Mitchell Hansen in WNBA

Updated Sep 15, 2022 · 7:42 AM PDT

Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun
Sep 13, 2022; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Connecticut Sun guard Cortney Williams (10) drives the ball against Las Vegas Aces guard Kelsey Plum (10) during the third quarter in game two of the WNBA Finals at Michelob Ultra Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Peltier-USA TODAY Sports
  • The top-seed Las Vegas Aces and the third-seed Connecticut Sun battle in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals at 9:00 pm ET on Thursday, September 15th in Connecticut
  • Las Vegas holds a 2-0 advantage over Connecticut in the best-of-five championship series
  • See below for the latest Aces vs Sun picks, odds analysis and best bet

The championship series returns in the WNBA on Thursday, September 15th when the Las Vegas Aces and Connecticut Sun square off in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals at 9:00 pm ET at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. The game will be broadcasted to a national audience on ESPN.

The Aces carry a commanding 2-0 series lead in the Finals following a pair of victories at home in Las Vegas, pulling out a 67-64 win in Game 1 while also coming out on top in Game 2 with an 85-71 victory. Las Vegas enters Game 3 needing just one more win to complete a sweep and claim its first title in franchise history, while Connecticut hopes to bounce back and make it a series with a win at home to force a Game 4.

Aces vs Sun Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Las Vegas Aces +1.0 (-110) -105 Over 160.0 (-110)
Connecticut Sun -1.0 (-110) -115 Under 160.0 (-110)

Odds as of Sept. 15th from Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the WNBA.

Entering the game, Connecticut are a one-point favorite over Las Vegas.


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Can Aces Finish the Job?

Las Vegas, which entered the Finals as favorites in the WNBA Championship odds with odds of -260, has a strong hold on the WNBA Finals with a two-game lead with one game standing in the way of taking home the title. The Aces, who have been the top team in the league all season long, have breezed through the postseason thus far with a record of 7-1 entering Game 3.

After a below-average offensive performance in Game 1 for a team that averaged a WNBA-leading 90.4 points per game with the third-best field goal percentage of 46 percent in the regular season, Las Vegas bounced back in Game 2 to take a two-game series lead. The Aces finished with just 67 points on 39.7 percent shooting in the first game but responded with 85 points on 51.6 percent shooting to take Game 2 by 14 points.

Aces vs Sun WNBA Finals Head-to-Head

2 Wins 0
76.0 Points Per Game 67.5
45.9% Field Goal Percentage 39.9%
22.0% Three-Point Percentage 26.7%
33.5 Rebounds 36.0
14.5 Assists 18,5
10.0 Turnovers 9.5
+8.5 +/- -8.5

One of the keys for the strong response by Las Vegas in Game 2 was the battle in the paint and controlling that area of the game. In the three-point victory in Game 1, the Aces were outscored 40-22 in the paint. In the double-digit win in Game 2, Las Vegas flipped the script and outscored Connecticut 46-28 in the paint and controlled the flow of the game to win comfortably. The Aces will try and replicate that performance again in Game 3 in a potentially series-clinching game.

YouTube video

Will Sun Be Able to Bounce Back?

Connecticut has shown the ability to respond in a series and make things interesting when hope appears to be slim, which is exactly what the Sun needs starting in Game 3 to make this WNBA Finals a series. The Sun have either fallen behind or have been in an even series in both rounds of the playoffs, most recently bouncing back from a 2-1 series deficit against the Chicago Sky in the semifinals to bring that series to a full five games and ultimately coming out on top to advance to the championship round.

One thing that has haunted the Sun in the first two games of the Finals has been their lack of being able to put a complete team performance together, with a few different players struggling at various points in each of the first two games. That has led to Connecticut shooting just 39.9 percent from the field and 26.7 percent from deep, surprising results for a team that finished second in field goal percentage (46.2 percent) and third in three-point percentage (35.4 percent) during the regular season.

DeWanna Bonner, who finished third on the team in scoring during the regular season with 13.5 points per game along with 4.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists, has been one key player who has struggled in the championship series with just 2.5 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. Jonquel Jones has been one of the constant strengths for Connecticut, averaging 15.5 points, 10.0 rebounds and 2.5 assists over her last two contests, but the Sun will need more than just her in Game 3 to be able to pull out a victory.

Aces vs Sun Picks

Although Las Vegas has been the superior team over the first two games of the WNBA Finals, Thursday’s contest should be a high-energy and back-and-forth game as one team tries to win the title and the other attempts to keep their season alive at home.

In series-clinching games such as Thursday’s Game 3, Las Vegas is 2-0 so far this postseason and have shown the ability to finish the job when needed. On the other hand, Connecticut has been equally as stellar in games while facing elimination, holding a record of 3-0 in such instances so far in the playoffs.

When it’s all said and done in Game 3, the Sun should be able to bounce back once again to take at least one contest at home while forcing a Game 4 where they will face elimination once again. Connecticut has been stellar at home this year with a record of 13-5 at home in the regular season, and a mix of playing at home and facing elimination will be enough motivation to come out with a win.

For the best bet of the game, go with the Sun being one-point favorites. If Connecticut does indeed win, it will do so by more than one point while bringing the series to 2-1.

  • The Pick: Sun -1.0 (-110)

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