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2025-26 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds Tracker

Matt McEwan

By Matt McEwan

Updated:


  • See the most recent NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds
  • 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey is the favorite to win NFL CPOY
  • Track how the NFL CPOY odds have changed over the course of the 2025-26 NFL season

The NFL Comeback Player of the Year award has been handed out consistently since 1998. The AP did hand out an award from 1963-1966, but awarded one to the AFL and one to the NFL. The award often goes to a player who has returned from some serious injury and performed well, but we saw a couple seasons where that was not the case. This led to the NFL sending a memo to voters to remind them of the spirit of the award, which is to honor a player who has overcome illness or physical injury, causing them to miss time the previous season. This memo resulted in last year’s award going back to a player who suffered an injury the previous season, and should be kept in mind when betting this year’s CPOY award.

The 2025-26 NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds opened in late-February. You can see the latest NFL CPOY odds below as well as how the odds have changed throughout the 2025-26 NFL season.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Christian McCaffrey is currently listed as the favorite to win the 2025-26 NFL Comeback Player of the Year. The 49ers’ RB is given +225 odds to win the award after missing the majority of last season due to bilateral Achilles tendonitis. If you bet $20 on McCaffrey to win NFL CPOY, you would stand to win $31.60and return $51.60. This gives CMC a 38.8% chance to win the award.

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McCaffrey has been handling a ton of touches for the 49ers offense, who struggled through a receiver shortage in Week 1, and then played Weeks 2 and 3 without Brock Purdy. They have leaned on CMC and he has produced for them, which has allowed him to become the CPOY favorite.

The top contender for Comeback Player of the Year are as follows:

  1. Christian McCaffrey (+225 consensus odds)
  2. Dak Prescott (+228)
  3. Aidan Hutchinson (+310)
  4. Daniel Jones (+525)
  5. Trevor Lawrence (+1000)

The players who saw the biggest rise up the board after Week 3 include:

  • Dak Prescott: after throwing for 237 yards and four touchdowns in a 37-22 win over the Jets, Prescott’s odds to win Comeback Player of the Year improved from +370 to +228, moving past Aidan Hutchinson for sceond-favorite.

And the players whose odds fell the most notably were:

  • Christian McCaffrey: CMC had another productive week (57 rush yards, 82 receiving yards, one TD) but still faded from +158 to +225. That movement is less a product of his own performance and more a reflection of Prescott’s impressive Week 5 performance.

Track NFL CPOY Odds

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After a gruesome leg injury, which saw him fracture his tibia and fibula, cut his previous season to just five games, Aidan Hutchinson opened as the favorite to win the 2025-26 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award. The Lions defender had tallied 7.5 sacks in his limited time, which had him on record-breaking pace, and was the NFL DPOY favorite prior to being injured.

While it may not be surprising to some to see Hutchinson open as the favorite, those who have paid attention to the award over the last decade may be shocked to see someone other than a QB favored.

Since the season began, we have seen Christian McCaffrey become the new favorite to win the award.

Odds above are updated every 15 minutes from top online sportsbooks, including FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and more, and surface up the best odds for each player; if you’re not already signed up at DraftKings, check out the best DraftKings Sportsbook promos before registering.

Here are some notes on the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds movement:

  • [September 9] After touching the ball 31 times and producing 142 yards from scrimmage in helping the 49ers record a Week 1 win, Christian McCaffrey became the new favorite to win NFL CPOY.
  • [August 27] Rashee Rice accepted the NFL’s six-game suspension, which saw his CPOY odds worsen from +1950 in July to +7500.
  • [August 20] After losing the QB battle in Indianapolis, Anthony Richardson’s CPOY odds fell from +3000 to +5500.
  • [August 15] As it became more clear Brandon Aiyuk would not be ready for Week 1, and maybe not within the first couple of weeks, his CPOY odds fell from an average of +2550 in May to +5250 at this point.
  • [July 22] Aidan Hutchinson took back over as the favorite to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year. He and Prescott had very similar odds, but Hutchinson took the lead.
  • [June 10] Nick Chubb’s odds improved from +7000 to +4750 after signing with the Texans.
  • [March 12] Early money flowed in on Dak Prescott to win CPOY, resulting in him becoming the favorite during free agency.
  • [February 24] Aidan Hutchinson has opened as the favorite to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year for the 2025-26 season. Hutchinson was the NFL DPOY favorite prior to a gruesome leg injury he suffered in Week 6 last year. While this award has been dominated by quarterbacks lately, Hutchinson would be a top contender if he returns close to last year’s form. Other top contenders at opening included Christian McCaffrey, who missed almost the entire last season, Dak Prescott, Trevor Lawrence, and JJ McCarthy.
  • A quarterback has won the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award in each of the last seven seasons
  • Nine of the last 11 NFL CPOY winners missed at least five games due to injury the prior season—Joe Flacco and Geno Smith joined Philip Rivers as the only players since 2013 to win it without getting hurt the year prior
  • No defensive player has won the award since Eric Berry in 2015
  • Since the award came back in 1998, we have seen 18 quarterbacks win, 2.5 wide receivers, 4.5 defensive players, one running back, and one tight end – the halves are there because the award was split between Steve Smith (WR) and Tedy Bruschi (LB) in 2005

Past NFL Comeback Player of the Year Winners

Year NFL CPOY Winner
2024 Joe Burrow (Bengals)
2023 Joe Flacco (Browns)
2022 Geno Smith (Seahawks)
2021 Joe Burrow (Bengals)
2020 Alex Smith (Washington)
2019 Ryan Tannheill (Titans)
2018 Andrew Luck (Colts)
2017 Keenan Allen (Chargers)
2016 Jordy Nelson (Packers)
2015 Eric Berry (Chiefs)

Joe Burrow won the NFL CPOY last season after seeing his previous campaign cut to just ten games due to a wrist injury. Burrow led the NFL in passing yards and had the Bengals offense among the top units in the league.


Archived NFL CPOY odds:

Matt McEwan
Matt McEwan

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert

With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.

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