NFL Draft Betting Odds: See All the Best 2026 NFL Draft Props

• Get the latest NFL Draft odds, including which player will be taken first overall in 2026
• Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza is the favorite to go first-overall in the 2026 NFL Draft
• Track the odds for NFL Draft props as we approach the 2025 NFL Draft in April

I have been tracking all the NFL Draft odds and props available across all sportsbooks from the moment they opened. Among others, we have odds to be taken with the first overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, and will have odds to be a top 5/10/32 pick, draft position over/unders, first player taken at each position, and many more. As we draw closer to draft night, we will see many more NFL Draft betting markets begin to open.

The 2026 NFL Draft is currently set for Thursday, April 23 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The NFL Draft odds in the graphs below are from prediction markets.

NFL Draft Odds for First Overall Pick

Fernando Mendoza is the heavy favorite to be selected first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. The Indiana QB is given as short as -556 odds at BetMGM and as long as -391 at FanDuel. If you bet $20 on Mendoza to be the first pick at FanDuel, with their -391 odds, you would stand to profit $5.12 and return $25.12.

With the Las Vegas Raiders getting the first pick, it makes sense for a QB to be so heavily favored to hear their name called first. The Raiders did not get the production they wanted out of Geno Smith in his first season with the team, and do not have any QB of the future currently on their roster. However, Las Vegas’ options at rookie QBs are dwindling, as many of the big names have opted to stay in school, with Dante Moore being the most recent.

According to Kalshi, Fernando Mendoza has an 80% chance to be selected first-overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, making him the clear favorite. Dante Moore and Reuben Bain Jr are next at 27% and 2%, respectively.

What originally looked to be an extremely stacked QB class coming out in 2026 has lost most of its hype, as many prospects have opted to stay in college for at least one more season

*NFL Draft odds are updated every 20-30 minutes.

Here are some notes on the odds movement we’ve seen:

• [January 14, 2026] Dante Moore announced he will be staying at Oregon for another season, pulling his name from the NFL Draft. Moore had the second-best odds to be selected first-overall before his decision. His removal made Mendoza an even heavier favorite.
• [November 8] Beating Penn State was the cause for Fernando Mendoza taking over as the new favorite to be selected 1st overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.
• [October 12] A good performance in a big win over Michigan led to USC QB Jayden Maiava taking over as the favorite.
• [September 8] A strong start to the season led to LaNorris Sellers taking over as the favorite to be the first-overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.
• [July 26] Some of Manning’s family spoke out about Arch staying in college for two seasons as Texas’ starting QB, meaning he would not leave college for the 2026 NFL Draft. This is what led to Garrett Nussmeier taking over as the favorite
• [June 21] Manning was an odds-on favorite to be selected first-overall at prediction markets in the summer after some positive hype and high-expectations of the Longhorns.
• [April 26, 2025] Arch Manning opened as the favorite to be the first-overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, in spite of not having played a full season as Texas’ starting QB yet. Drew Allar’s odds were a close second to Manning, as Arch was given +200 odds to Allar’s +225.

Previous NFL First Overall Picks

Here are a few trends to note with the first overall pick:

• USC has the most first-overall picks coming from their school with six. Notre Dame, Georgia, and Oklahoma are tied for the second-most with five each
• Here’s the positional breakdown of the 92 total first overall picks: 37 have been quarterbacks, 23 running backs, 16 defensive linemen, six offensive linemen, three wide receivers, two tight ends, four linebackers, and one defensive back
• The first overall pick has been a quarterback in 7 of the last 8 drafts, and 9 of the last 11
• No running back has been selected first overall since Ki-Jana Carter in 1995
• Three of the last eight first overall picks won the Heisman Trophy in their final college season – Cam Ward, Caleb Williams, Bryce Young, Trevor Lawrence, and Travon Walker, the five most recent first overall picks, did not

NFL Draft Position Over/Unders

Draft position over/unders will likely open in late March at sportsbooks. I am not positive if prediction markets will get this granular, but I am optimistic they will.

Odds to Be a Top Pick in NFL Draft

Sportsbooks opened odds to be the #2 pick in the NFL Draft last year in late March. I suspect we will see a similar timeline this year.

First Player Drafted at Each Position

Below you will find the odds on which player will be drafted first at each playing position. Many of these NFL Draft props have clear favorites, but the draft is one of the most unpredictable events in football. So, I look at these props as an opportunity to find some value.

These betting markets will likely open in April and you can find them here when they do.

First Quarterback Drafted

Though odds are not available yet, Fernando Mendoza, who is heavily favored to be the first-overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, will be the heavy favorite to be the first QB taken as well.

First Running Back Drafted

While odds are not available yet, the 2026 RB class is not expected to be overly deep, and is led by Jeremiah Love, who will almost certainly be the heavy favorite to be the first RB taken when odds open.

First Wide Receiver Drafted

When odds on the first WR selected open, we will likely see Jordyn Tyson and Carnell Tate listed as the favorites. Germie Bernard and Denzel Boston will also likely have short odds.

First Tight End Drafted

I am confident in saying Kenyon Sadiq will be the heavy favorite to be the first TE selected when odds open.

First Offensive Lineman Drafted

Spencer Fano is believed to be the best OL prospect entering the 2026 NFL Draft, and he will likely open as the favorite to be the first OL selected. Expect to see Francis Mauigoa, Caleb Lomu, and Kadyn Proctor also given short odds, as they project to be first-round talents.

First Defensive Lineman or EDGE Drafted

Arvell Reese’s position label coming into the draft will have a major effect on the odds for first DL or EDGE rusher drafted. Reese projects to be the top defender entering the draft, but he flipped back-and-forth between linebacker and rushing the edge at Ohio State.

If he is classified as a linebacker, we will likely see Peter Woods, Rueben Bain Jr, Keldric Faulk, and David Bailey open as the favorites in this market.

First Linebacker Drafted

My comments above about Arvell Reese apply here as well. If he is labeled an edge rusher, we would then see Sonny Styles, CJ Allen, and Anthony Hill Jr fighting to be the favorite for first linebacker drafted.

First Corner Drafted

I suspect we will see one of Mansoor Delane, Jermod McCoy, or Colton Hood open as the favorite to be the first CB selected in the 2026 NFL Draft.

First Safety Drafted

I am confident Caleb Downs is going to open as the overwhelming favorite to be the first safety selected in the 2026 NFL Draft.

States That Can Bet on the NFL Draft

Sadly, not every state with legal online sports betting allows betting on the NFL Draft. Here is the short-list of states where you can legally bet the NFL Draft:

• Arizona
• Arkansas
• Colorado
• Florida
• Illinois
• Indiana
• Iowa (shuts down 24 hours before the draft begins)
• Kansas
• Louisiana
• Maine
• Maryland
• Massachusetts
• Michigan
• Mississippi (only at a casino)
• Missouri
• Montana
• Nevada (closes 24 hours before draft begins)
• New Hampshire
• New Jersey
• North Carolina
• Ohio
• Oregon
• Tennessee
• Washington, DC
• West Virginia
• Wisconsin
• Wyoming

2026 NFL Draft Order – First Round

The 2026 NFL Draft order will be fully locked in following the Super Bowl. We do know the Las Vegas Raiders currently hold the #1 pick, though.

Odds to Have 1st Overall Pick in 2026 NFL Draft

Teams to Select First in Past Drafts

Here are a few trends when it comes to the teams selecting first overall:

• The Colts (both as Baltimore and Indianapolis) and Rams (as Cleveland, St Louis, and Los Angeles) are tied for the most times picking first overall with seven each
• Three teams have never selected first overall: the Denver Broncos, Seattle Seahawks, and Baltimore Ravens
• The first overall pick has been traded six times, most recently in 2023 when the Panthers traded up for Bryce Young. They actually gave up the 2024 first overall pick in this trade as well.
• A team from the AFC South has had the first overall pick in three of the last five seasons
• The Cleveland Browns (2017-18), Cincinnati Bengals (1994-95), Philadelphia Eagles (1936-37), and Jacksonville Jaguars (2021-22) are the only four teams to ever select first overall in back-to-back drafts

NFL Draft Order – How the Process Works

Unlike the NBA and NHL, there is no draft lottery in the NFL. The first 18 picks go to the 18 teams that didn’t qualify for the playoffs. The team with the worst record gets the #1-overall pick; the team with the second-worst record gets the #2-overall pick, and so on.

If teams have the same win/loss record, the tie is broken by strength of schedule. The team that played the weaker strength of schedule is awarded the better draft pick. In 2015, for example, the Titans and Browns tied for worst record in the NFL at 3-13. The Titans got the #1 pick (which they traded to the Rams) because they played a weaker schedule than the Browns.

The final 14 picks go to the 14 teams that did qualify for the postseason. Picks #19 through #25 go to the six teams that were eliminated in the Wild Card round. The #19th pick goes to the team with the worst regular-season record among those six teams, and so on.

Repeat this process for teams eliminated in the Divisional Round and Conference Championships. The #32 pick goes to the team that won the Super Bowl.

Archived NFL Draft odds:

• 2025
• 2024
• 2023
• 2022
• 2021