2025-26 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker – Jeanty No Longer Consensus Favorite

By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- Get the latest odds to win the NFL’s 2025-26 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
- Sportsbooks are split between Ashton Jeanty and Tyler Warren for NFL OROY favorite
- Track each player’s OROY odds throughout the 2025-26 NFL season
I am tracking 2025-26 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they open, through the 2025-2026 NFL season, and right up until the award is handed out. All sportsbooks make NFL OROY odds available throughout the season, with some brief downtimes expected during games. The highly-coveted RB from Boise State, Ashton Jeanty, who was drafted by the Raiders, opened as the favorite, but we have seen Tyler Warren overtake him as the favorite following Week 2.
The NFL OROY odds table below surfaces up the best odds for each player (that are available in your region), while also letting you compare to their opening odds. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our top sportsbooks.
Top NFL OROY Contenders
Tyler Warren is currently the favorite to win NFL OROY for the 2025-26 NFL season at most sportsbooks. Warren is given +460 odds to take home the award, and his probability to win it based on those odds is 17.9%. A $20 bet on the new Colts tight end would stand to profit $92 and return $112.
Warren being the favorite is quite significant since no tight end has ever won the award before. The Penn State product has totaled 11 receptions for 155 receiving yards through the first two weeks. Those numbers aren’t huge by any means, but if you’ve been watching, it’s easy to see the impact the rookie tight end is having in not only the passing game, but the running game as well.
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Ashton Jeanty and Emeka Egbuka are close behind Warren in the OROY odds. Jeanty is still given favorable odds (as short as +425 at BetMGM) because of what sportsbooks, and the public, believe he is capable of. It has been a pretty slow start for Jeanty in the NFL, posting just 81 rushing yards and one touchdown, while averaging a rough 2.7 yards per attempt.
Egbuka is being given short OROY odds because he has caught three touchdowns in his first two games in the NFL, which is currently tied for the league-lead entering Week 3.
Here are the top NFL OROY contenders following Week 2:
- Tyler Warren (+460 best odds)
- Ashton Jeanty (+500)
- Emeka Egbuka (+500)
- Cam Ward (+550)
- Tet McMillan (+700)
With a number of the top picks from the draft struggling early in the season, we have seen a lot of movement in the NFL OROY odds. Here are the players, other than Tyler Warren, who saw their OROY odds improve the most after Week 2:
- Emeka Egbuka: another touchdown in Week 2 saw the rookie wide receiver’s consensus odds improve from +850 to +525
- Tet McMillan: Carolina’s rookie wide receiver recorded his first 100-yard game in the NFL in his Week 2 matchup with the Cardinals. McMillan also had a pretty good game against the Jags in Week 1, but didn’t see much movement. After Week 2, he saw his consensus odds improve from +1350 to +725.
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: in spite of not really playing much in Week 2, which was disappointing after averaging 8.2 yards per carry the previous week, Croskey-Merritt’s consensus OROY odds still improved from +2500 to +1600, thanks to Austin Ekeler tearing his Achilles, likely leaving JCM as the lead back.
And then the players who saw their odds fade most notably:
- Ashton Jeanty: the Raiders running back had a rough night against the Chargers in Week 2, totaling 44 yards from scrimmage on 14 touchdown-less touches. It was his second tough game in a row, and it resulted in his consensus odds fading from +272 to +428. While the struggles may not be Jeanty’s fault, posting good stats is a must for contending in this award.
- Omarion Hampton: not only did we see Hampton split carries evenly with Najee Harris in Week 2, but the rookie was also a part of a fumble that was credited to Justin Herbert. Hampton only managed 24 yards on his eight carries, four yards fewer than Harris produced. As a result, his consensus odds went from +1050 to +2350.
The NFL OROY odds in the table above are gathered from the top online sportsbooks, including DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, and are updated every 15 minutes. Be sure you check out the best DraftKings promo cost before signing up.
Track Odds to Win 2025-26 NFL OROY
The NFL Draft odds heavily favored Cam Ward being the first-overall pick and becoming the Titans (hopeful) franchise QB, and they were correct. Ward opened with +400 odds to win the NFL OROY award, but he did not open as the favorite. Ashton Jeanty, who was correctly believed to be a top six pick in the draft, opened as the favorite with short +250 odds.
However, Jeanty being drafted by the Raiders, who haven’t generally been known for offensive output and also play in a division with three stingy defenses, resulted in some sportsbooks favoring Ward over Jeanty immediately after the draft.
It only took two weeks to see a new favorite, though, as Tyler Warren has emerged as the front-runner for the award.
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Here are some more notes on odds movement:
- [September 16] Though some sportsbooks were still favoring Ashton Jeanty after Week 2, the majority were calling Colts tight end Tyler Warren the favorite following another strong game to start his NFL career.
- [August 15] Emeka Egbuka’s NFL OROY odds improved from +3000 to +2375 after it started to become more clear that Chris Godwin would not be ready for Week 1, and might miss more than a couple weeks. Tyler Shough saw his odds go the other way, worsening from +1250 to +2125, as he struggled to separate himself from Spencer Rattler in the Saints’ QB battle.
- [July 10] Omarion Hampton saw his average OROY odds shorten from +1250 to +1100 after his backfield mate, Najee Harris, reportedly suffered an eye injury from a July 4 fireworks incident. With Harris sidelined, Hampton was expected to see more of the preseason work.
- [May 6] Sportsbooks started to cool a little on Tyler Shough’s OROY odds. DraftKings was giving him as short as +1200 odds immediately after the draft, but they lengthened those odds to +2200 likely due to a lack of money coming in. Will Howard, on the other hand, saw his odds improve dramatically at certain sportsbooks, going from an average of +5250 after the draft wrapped up, to as short as +2500 at DraftKings. This is the result of no deal being signed between the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers at this point.
- [April 26] In spite of falling all the way to the 5th round, where the Browns selected him at 144th-overall, sportsbooks still felt Shedeur Sanders wound up in a good enough home for his OROY probabilities. Sanders was getting +800 odds to win the award pre-draft, but his odds only slipped to +1500 after his draft free-fall.
- [April 25] Tyler Shough saw some of the most significant odds movement after Day 2 of the NFL Draft, as the Saints made him the 40th-overall pick. The former Louisville QB is believed to have a chance to see the field right away with Derek Carr suffering through a shoulder injury, where the severity and timeline for return is unknown after the draft. Shough’s OROY odds opened at a distant +6000, but improved to as short as +1200 at DraftKings. His odds could still be found as long as +2200, though. Another player who saw massive movement was RJ Harvey, who was drafted 60th-overall by the Broncos. Harvey did not even have opening odds at BetRivers ahead of the draft, but FanDuel opened him at +17000 after the first round. His odds shortened to +5000 after joining Sean Payton’s offense.
- [April 24] For whatever reason, NFL OROY odds opened much later this year than in previous seasons. It could have been the uncertainty around how much offense Travis Hunter would play, or maybe just sportsbooks setting a new precedent of not opening themselves up to potential exposures before they know which teams these rookies will be playing for. Regardless, NFL OROY odds opened the day of the draft and saw Ashton Jeanty open as a heavy +250 favorite. Cam Ward, Travis Hunter, and Shedeur Sanders also opened with odds shorter than 9-1.
Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
Offensive Rookie of the Year Trends
Here are some recent trends to know before betting on the award:
- Jayden Danirels (2024-25), CJ Stroud (2023-24), Justin Herbert (2020), Kyler Murray (2019), and Dak Prescott (2016) are the only QBs to win the award in the last 11 years
- RBs have won the award in two of the last eight seasons and in four of the last 12
- Kyler Murray and Cam Newton (2011) are the only first-overall picks to win the award in the last 13 years
- Dan Marino is the only QB to win OROY with less than 12 starts in his rookie season
- The award has gone to a player from the NFC in 14 of the last 18 seasons, but the AFC has won four of the last five; before CJ Stroud, Garrett Wilson, Ja’Marr Chase, and Justin Herbert won the award in four of the last five, Vince Young was the previous AFC player to win OROY (2006)
- The Vikings have the most OROY winners with five; there are seven teams who have never had an OROY winner: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks
- No TE or offensive lineman has ever won the award
Past NFL OROY Winners
Year | OROY Winner |
---|---|
2024 | Jayden Daniels |
2023 | CJ Stroud |
2022 | Garrett Wilson |
2021 | Ja’Marr Chase |
2020 | Justin Herbert |
2019 | Kyler Murray |
2018 | Saquon Barkley |
2017 | Alvin Kamara |
2016 | Dak Prescott |
2015 | Todd Gurley |
Top Contenders at Each Position
Cam Ward (QB), Emeka Egbuka (WR), Tyler Warren (TE), and Ashton Jeanty (RB) opened as the favorites at their respective positions.
OROY Winners by Position
Position | Number of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Winners |
---|---|
Quarterback | 13 |
Running Back | 34 |
Wide Receiver | 11 |
FIELD | 0 |
Top Contenders by Draft Round
Among the 58 Offensive Rookie of the Year award winners, 43 of them were drafted in the first-round of the NFL Draft, and 51 of them were drafted in the first two rounds.
Mike Anderson (RB) of the Denver Broncos is the player selected latest in the draft to win the honors – Anderson was selected 189th overall in 2000.
- 11 of the 13 QBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- 24 of the 34 RBs to win the award were drafted in the first-round
- Eight of the 11 WRs to win OROY were drafted in the first-round – Anquan Boldin in 2003 was the last non-first-round WR to win the award
Here are the 15 players selected outside of the first-round who have won the award:
OROY Winners Who Weren’t Drafted in 1st Round
Player | Position | Draft Pos. | Draft Year |
---|---|---|---|
Dennis Shaw | QB | 2nd-rd (30th overall) | 1970 |
Sammy White | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 1976 |
Carl Pickens | WR | 2nd-rd (31st overall) | 1992 |
Anthony Thomas | RB | 2nd-rd (38th overall) | 2001 |
Clinton Portis | RB | 2nd-rd (51st overall) | 2002 |
Anquan Boldin | WR | 2nd-rd (54th overall) | 2003 |
Eddie Lacy | RB | 2nd-rd (61st overall) | 2013 |
Rueben Mayes | RB | 3rd-rd (57th overall) | 1986 |
Curtis Martin | RB | 3rd-rd (74th overall) | 1995 |
Alvin Kamara | RB | 3rd-rd (67th overall) | 2017 |
Troy Stradford | RB | 4th-rd (99th overall) | 1987 |
Dak Prescott | QB | 4th-rd (135th overall) | 2016 |
Mike Thomas | RB | 5th-rd (108th overall) | 1975 |
Don Woods | RB | 6th-rd (134th overall) | 1974 |
Mike Anderson | RB | 6th-rd (189th overall) | 2000 |
Archived OROY Odds:

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.