Crawford vs Canelo Props – Knockout Odds, Over/Under Rounds & More

• Canelo now sits around -180 (most sites) over +140 underdog Crawford with Caesars offering -160 odds for Canelo
• Canelo opened at -240 before dropping, and yet BetMGM now rolls in at -150 on the moneyline for Canelo
• See my Canelo vs Crawford prop predictions, plus the knockout odds, Over/Under rounds and more

The Canelo vs Crawford betting market has mostly stabilized over the last several days, but value still lurks. Canelo Alvarez started as a massive -240 favorite before the line dropped to -150 at BetMGM, while Terence Crawford improved from +180 to +150.

The drop toward Crawford has slowed ahead of Saturday’s undisputed super middleweight title fight at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. This September 13 clash gives Canelo about a 60% implied chance of winning.

Crawford vs Crawford Prop Odds

Crawford’s +150 price gives him a 40% implied probability of pulling the upset.

BetMGM now has Canelo at -150 on their three-way line, while Bud has inched up to a +150 underdog. A draw for this fight now rolls in at +1200, which is a 7.69% implied chance.

DraftKings prices Canelo at -175, with Crawford at +140. FanDuel backs the champion, offering Canelo at -182 compared to Crawford at +142. You’ll want to use the BetMGM bonus code if you like Crawford to score the upset.

Odds as of September 13, 2025 at BetMGM. Check out the top US betting sites for Canelo vs Crawford.

Moneyline? No! Go For The Method!

I am still liking Canelo for this fight. But laying dollars on the moneyline is not worth it.

Canelo by decision now pays +138 at BetMGM. That’s $138 profit on a $100 bet compared to far less on the moneyline. Profit difference speaks volumes.

Crawford by decision runs +225, but Canelo’s body shots at this weight still have much effect. Again, there are more detailed picks within the decision too. Now, let us look at some props.

Best Crawford-Canelo Prop Bet: Over 10.5 Rounds

My Canelo vs Crawford prediction hammers in on the decision, which makes the Over of 10.5 rounds the natural choice at -450 via Caesars. DraftKings, meanwhile, is now at -475, with decision bets now around -340 to -380. FanDuel has a wrinkle of Over 11.5 rounds at -370, but BetMGM has a sneaky wager of “11th Round Or Later” at -350.

Crawford jumped from 147 (in his prime) to 154 and now to 168 pounds. That’s two full divisions from the Israli Madrimov fight. Crawford’s last fight at 154 against Israil Madrimov was way closer at Madrimov landed some straight rights and power shots.

Crawford’s defense was not at its usual level, and neither was his combination punching. Also, Crawford may come in ripped at 167.5 pounds, but he knows he has to pace himself immensely.

Canelo wants to slow down the pace, then raise it when he wants to. It’s that ability that makes the Mexican a king at this weight class. No one comes out looking better in ugly fights. Crawford has the ability to grind things out, but Canelo is the master.

The weight matters as Canelo bodies the now 37-year-old Crawford in the latter rounds.

Honestly, Crawford can dominate early, but Canelo dominates late and when it matters in the eyes of the judges. Hammer that over!

Does One Touch The Knockout Props?

The dilemma is trying to figure out everything from knockouts to knockdowns. Consider these numbers first and understand the longer shots “specials”.

Crawford vs Canelo Knockout Props/Round Props

Canelo and Crawford have never been stopped or knocked down in their professional career as a pro. That represents a total of 108 total bouts. Decision is Canelo’s forte, with his last seven bouts have gone the distance. Crawford expects to be drawn into that reality no matter his weight.

The fact that even Crawford is getting -250 to stay upright is telling. Canelo is now at -700 in that regard. Consequently, a knockdown is +175 and +400, respectively. Even total knockdowns (Over 1.5) were hovering around +250 via DraftKings and -375 for the Under.

Money may be best spent avoiding the knockdowns and knockouts, for that matter. However, there is that one risk.

Updated Canelo vs Crawford Prop Picks

Canelo by Split Decision (+600 at MGM): This has stabilized. Crawford can win the early rounds, but Canelo should pile up the points later.

Canelo by Unanimous Decision (+240 at MGM): The safer decision moved a little bit leaning on the money without going too far as Canelo should control the later rounds.

Will Crawford get knocked down? Yes (+175 at MGM): The rationale is that Crawford could get caught, and this may be worth a look in the championship rounds especially.

Over 10.5 Rounds (-350 at MGM): This is not a surprising number given the skills and defense of both fighters. It feels like a slow-moving chess match at times.

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Do We Have Any More Props?

Canelo is 11-0 at super middleweight. That is the reality. There is an amusing prop for “Gone In 60 Seconds” and those numbers are astronomical. Both fighters to win within a minute stands at +15000 (BetMGM) but FanDuel has this at +25000.

DraftKings has either fighter to be knocked down in Rounds 7-12 at +180 currently. Punch stat specials are tempting, but 200+ for Canelo is a laughable +135 and cannot be trusted after the Scull fight.

Final Canelo vs Crawford Props Predictions

My pick: Canelo wins by unanimous decision as Crawford falters just enough late.

Skip the minus on the moneyline. Go for Canelo by decision at +138 for real value or unanimous decision at +240. Crawford can keep it close, but maybe not close enough for one judge to go for a draw/Crawford.

Saturday night at Allegiant Stadium, Canelo does what Canelo does best. He grinds to a victory over Crawford.