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Best NBA Player Props to Bet Today – Top A.I. Picks on Monday

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Chicago Bulls guard Josh Giddey on the court
Nov 7, 2025; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Chicago Bulls guard Josh Giddey (3) reacts in the 3rd quarter against the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-Imagn Images
  • Monday’s NBA schedule includes another nine games
  • I have generated our A.I.’s top NBA prop pick from each game on Nov. 10
  • See the best NBA player props to bet today

The NBA slate is packed with nine games on Monday, November 10th, starting with trio of 7:00 pm ET tips and ending with Hawks vs Clippers at 10:30 pm ET.

I have asked our internal A.I. to provide its top NBA player prop to bet from each of the nine games. The table below lists the best player prop from each matchup, roughly in chronological order, along with the sportsbook offering the best price. Under the table, I have set out one-click options to tail each bet, plus the A.I.’s explanation for each pick.

Best NBA Player Props to Bet Today (Nov. 10)

GamePropOdds
POR vs ORLBanchero Over 23.5 Points-110 at Fanatics
LAL vs CHADončić 8.5 Over Assists-136 at BetMGM
WSH vs DETCunningham Over 9.5 Assists-135 at BetMGM
CLE vs MIAJaquez Jr Over 25.5 PTS+REB+AST-115 at Underdog
SAS vs CHIGiddey Over 8.5 Assists-120 at Sports Interaction
MIL vs DALDavis Over 10.5 Rebounds-125 at FanDuel
NOP vs PHXBooker Over 28.5 Points-109 at DraftKings
MIN vs UTAMarkkanen Over 5.5 Rebounds-143 at Underdog
ATL vs LACZubac Over 11.5 Rebounds-127 at BetRivers

As it tends to, the A.I. is targeting exclusively over bets on Monday, November 10th. Unlike most days, it doesn’t have any plus-money bets on the board today.

The A.I. had been cruising along in the black all season until an ugly 3-7 performance on Friday dropped it to -1.75 units for the season (on one-unit wagers per prop).

A.I. NBA player prop record: 40 39 (-1.75 units)

POR vs ORL Player-Prop Pick: Banchero Over 23.5 Points

Explanation: “Banchero enters this matchup in elite offensive form, posting a remarkable 64.3% True Shooting Percentage over his last five games compared to his solid 57.1% season mark. This efficiency surge coincides perfectly with facing Portland’s league-worst defensive metrics.

The Trail Blazers allow opponents to shoot 49.2% from the field (fourth-worst in NBA), creating an ideal matchup for Banchero’s diverse scoring arsenal. His usage rate of 27.5% and ability to generate 10.4 points in the paint per game should find maximum effectiveness against Portland’s porous interior defense. Portland has surrendered 25+ point performances to opposing forwards in five of their last seven road games.”

LAL vs CHA Player-Prop Pick: Dončić 8.5 Over Assists

Explanation: “With LeBron James sidelined, Dončić has assumed complete offensive orchestration duties, evidenced by his astronomical 39.1% usage rate. His facilitating has been exceptional recently, averaging 10.0 assists over his last four games, slightly above his 9.5 season average. Tonight’s matchup presents ideal conditions for assist accumulation. Charlotte’s defensive personnel losses create a perfect storm for playmaking exploitation. Without LaMelo Ball and Collin Sexton, the Hornets lack their primary perimeter defenders and communication anchors. The team already surrenders 28.7 assists per game, and losing their defensive coordinators should lead to even more breakdowns.”

WSH vs DET Player-Prop Pick: Cunningham Over 9.5 Assists

Explanation: “The Wizards are hemorrhaging assists to opponents, allowing a staggering 29.4 assists per game – the most in the NBA. This indicates a defense in constant disarray, unable to handle ball movement or prevent dribble penetration that fuels Cunningham’s distribution.
Cunningham has been playing like a man possessed, averaging an incredible 11.4 assists over his last five games, a significant jump from his season average of 9.8. With key offensive weapons Tobias Harris and Jaden Ivey sidelined, the offense runs exclusively through him, creating additional assist opportunities on every possession.”

CLE vs MIA Player-Prop Pick: Jaquez Jr Over 25.5 PTS+REB+AST

Explanation: “With Miami’s top two offensive weapons sidelined, the offense will flow directly through Jaquez Jr’s versatile skill set, particularly on his home floor where he’s been exceptional. Across his last five games, Jaquez has averaged 18.0 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 5.4 assists, demonstrating his ability to handle primary creator responsibilities when thrust into larger roles. Jaquez transforms his production in Miami, where comfort and familiarity elevate his performance across all statistical categories.”

SAS vs CHI Player-Prop Pick: Giddey Over 8.5 Assists

Explanation: “Giddey has been orchestrating the Bulls’ offense at a masterful level, and this is an ideal matchup for him to continue his elite playmaking. Giddey’s production has exploded recently, as he is averaging 10.6 assists over his last five games, up from his already impressive season average of 9.3. He is the engine for a Bulls team that leads the entire league with 29.8 assists per game, a testament to an offensive scheme built on ball movement that Giddey spearheads. He will be facing a San Antonio team that is one of the most careless in the league with the basketball, committing 16.3 turnovers per game. These live-ball turnovers will create transition opportunities, where Giddey thrives at finding teammates for easy scores.”

MIL vs DAL Player-Prop Pick: Davis Over 10.5 Rebounds

Explanation: “Assuming clearance to play, targeting Anthony Davis’s rebound prop represents the premier betting angle in this game. The logic is straightforward: an elite rebounder facing one of basketball’s most vulnerable rebounding teams. The Bucks’ glass struggles are well-documented, surrendering 12.2 offensive rebounds per game to opponents while posting the league’s worst 47.1% total rebound percentage. This creates an ideal environment for Davis, who dominates the offensive boards with 3.4 offensive rebounds per contest while averaging 10.2 total rebounds per game. His frontcourt presence gives Dallas a massive advantage in an area where Milwaukee consistently fails.”

NOP vs PHX Player-Prop Pick: Booker Over 28.5 Points

Explanation: “The statistical case for Booker’s scoring explosion is overwhelming. He enters averaging 29.3 points per game overall, with that figure jumping to 30.2 PPG in home contests where he shoots a blistering 50.0% from three-point range across five games.
Booker averages 30.2 PPG in his 5 home games this season. Against teams with Defensive Ratings above 115.0, he averages 32.1 PPG.
The Pelicans have allowed 25+ points from the primary scorer in three of their last four games. New Orleans’ 49.8% field-goal percentage allowed creates an ideal environment for efficient scoring. Booker’s combination of perimeter shooting, mid-range excellence, and free-throw generation should thrive against a defense lacking rim protection with Williamson sidelined.”

MIN vs UTA Player-Prop Pick: Markkanen Over 5.5 Rebounds

Explanation: “This play leverages a great opportunity created by Walker Kessler’s absence and Utah’s offensive-rebounding identity. The Jazz have carved out their identity through relentless offensive glass work, ranking tied for third in the NBA with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game and a 31.8% offensive rebounding rate. while facing a Minnesota team that secures just 71.1% of defensive boards – one of the league’s worst rates. Markkanen’s rebounding production increases significantly at home, averaging 8.3 per game across three home contests compared to his 6.1 season average. With Kessler’s 10.8 rebounds per game removed from the equation and facing Minnesota’s defensive glass weakness, Markkanen is positioned to dominate the boards and easily surpass this prop line.”

ATL vs LAC Player-Prop Pick: Zubac Over 11.5 Rebounds

Explanation: “This selection capitalizes on the game’s most-exploitable mismatch: Atlanta’s league-worst rebounding defense versus Zubac’s interior dominance. The Hawks surrender 13.7 offensive rebounds per game, creating perfect conditions for Zubac to feast on second-chance opportunities. Zubac enters averaging 10.4 rebounds per game this season, with his recent form even more encouraging at 12.4 boards per contest over his last five games. His home performance amplifies this edge, where he’s averaging 10.7 rebounds per game on the Clippers’ home floor.”

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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