Week 13 College Football Picks – Best Early Bets to Make

• Week 13 of the College Football season kicks off Tuesday
• #11 Oklahoma leads the nation in opponent yards per carry
• See my favorite Week 13 College Football picks below, and the best early bets to make

We’re down to two weeks left on the college football calendar, with plenty of teams one loss away from elimination in the College Football Playoff. #11 Oklahoma cannot afford a third loss if it wants to remain among the final 12, and their matchup with Missouri headlines my Week 13 college football picks.

Below, you’ll find my three best early bets to make for this week’s slate, followed by a detailed breakdown for each selection.

Week 13 College Football Picks

The opening college football Week 13 odds pegged the Sooners as 9.5-point favorites, but that line didn’t last long. It quickly dropped a point at most commercial books, with some shops dropping the line even further. Now sitting at -7.5 at ESPN BET, the value is back on Oklahoma, and I’m not going to wait for the market to correct itself.

I’m also targeting a pair of team total unders in Week 13. Charlotte under 0.5 first half points versus #5 Georgia is my first bet, followed by under 7.5 total points for Syracuse versus #9 Notre Dame.

Odds as of Nov. 17. Check out the top college football betting apps to wager on for Week 13.

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Missouri vs Oklahoma Prediction

The Sooners control their own destiny in the College Football Playoff race. Win out, and they’ll remain alive in the National Championship odds, and I love the way their defense matches up with the Tigers.

Missouri has been unable to throw the ball since starting QB Beau Pribula went down. His backup Matt Zollers is completing 53% of his passes since taking over, averaging just 6.1 yards per attempt. His completion percentage dips to 46% versus top-25 teams, and he gives you nothing with his legs.

The only reason the Tigers have been able to keep their head above water is their performance in the run game, but you know who you can’t attack on the ground? Oklahoma.

Oklahoma Defense Stats

The Sooners are permitting just 2.3 yards per carry, the lowest mark in the nation. They’re allowing the second-fewest rushing yards per game and the fifth-lowest yards per play.

Not only can their front blow up opposing rushing attacks, but they also generate pressure at an elite rate when enemy QBs do drop back. Oklahoma is second in the country in sack percentage, and grades out 13th in pass rush productivity per PFF.

When the Sooners do have the ball, I’m confident John Mateer can engineer touchdown drives. His numbers have been underwhelming the last three weeks, but it’s come against three top-15 teams. He did enough to propel them past #4 Alabama last week, and still possesses a sky-high ceiling with his arm and his legs.

Charlotte vs Georgia Pick

The Charlotte offense is truly abysmal. They rank 132nd in points per game, 132nd in yards per play, and 133rd in red zone scoring percentage. They’ve been held to 7 or fewer points three times already this season, and are simply not equipped to go into Athens and move the football against the Bulldogs.

Georgia’s defense this year isn’t as stacked as in previous years of the Kirby Smart era, but they’re still good enough to contain the 49ers. The Bulldogs are fresh off holding preseason Heisman Trophy odds favorite Arch Manning and Texas to 10 points, limiting the Longhorns to 2.3 yards per rush along the way.

Georgia is favored by 44.5 points in this game, so it’s a matter of when, not if, they pull their starters. I want to bet against Charlotte while the Bulldogs’ first-stringers are still out there, which is why I’m targeting the 49ers’ first-half team total, as opposed to the full-game option.

Notre Dame vs Syracuse Best Bet

Onto Notre Dame-Syracuse now, where the Orange wouldn’t be able to score against the Irish third stringers, let alone the first team. Syracuse ranks 125th in points per game, 119th in red zone scoring percentage, and 125th in completion percentage.

Notre Dame, meanwhile, is on a heater. They’ve won eight straight overall and have held four of their past six opponents to 10 points or less. Nearly all of those offenses graded out much higher than the Orange in efficiency, and I won’t be surprised if Syracuse is blanked on Saturday.