Latest Georgia vs Alabama Odds & Final Prediction for Saturday’s SEC Championship Game

• #3 Georgia is a 1.5-point favorite over #9 Alabama in Saturday’s SEC Championship Game
• The Crimson Tide have won nine of the last 10 meetings, including the ’21 and ’23 Conference Title Games
• See the latest Georgia vs Alabama odds below, plus my final prediction for the SEC Championship Game

On paper, #3 Georgia vs #9 Alabama match up about as close as two college football blue bloods can be. So it’s only fitting that the SEC Championship Game spread is as short as it is. The Bulldogs opened as a small favorite, and that number has shrunk throughout the week in the college football odds.

Kickoff is set for 4 pm ET from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA, with ABC providing the broadcast coverage.

Here are the latest Georgia vs Alabama odds, plus my final prediction for Saturday’s SEC Championship Game.

Latest Georgia vs Alabama Odds

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Odds as of Dec. 6 at consensus college football betting apps. Make sure you claim the Bet365 promo code to bet on the college football conference championships.

The Bulldogs are currently favored by 1.5-points at most online sportsbooks, but there is still a +2.5 out there on Alabama at FanDuel. The total sits anywhere from 47.5 to 48.5, depending on where you bet, so make sure to shop for the best number.

Per the college football public betting trends, this rivalry has been completely one-sided over the last few years. The Crimson Tide have won nine of the last 10 meetings, including the ’21 and ’23 SEC Championship Games. I’m fading history on Saturday, however, rolling with Georgia in what will essentially be a home game.

Georgia vs Alabama Final Prediction

Regardless of Saturday’s outcome, both UGA and Bama project to be among the final 12 standing in the CFP odds. I’m betting the Bulldogs will roll into the College Football Playoff with their winning streak intact, as they go for a ninth straight win on Saturday.

Georgia’s last loss came against the Tide back in September, in a game marred by turnovers and penalties. Despite coughing up the ball and turning it over on downs inside Alabama’s 10-yard line, the result was just a 24-21 win for the Tide. The Bulldogs bullied Bama on the ground, out rushing them by 110 yards and averaging 6.9 yards per carry.

I expect them to control the line of scrimmage on both sides, as they possess superior talent in the trenches. The Alabama run defense is by far the weakest unit on the field, and Georgia has rushed the ball relentlessly all season, ranking in the top-26 in yards, attempts, and success rate.

Georgia vs Alabama Last 5 Matchups

The strength of the Tide’s defense lies in its secondary, which should suit Bulldogs QB Gunner Stockton just fine. He’s thrown the ball only 21 times in each of his last two starts and has averaged nine carries per outing over his last five starts. His dual-threat abilities will keep Bama’s defense on their toes, which will open up passing lanes when he does decide to let it rip.

As for the Georgia defense, this is a unit that’s levelled up as the season’s gone on. The Bulldogs have allowed 21 points or less in seven of their last eight games, despite facing a collection of the SEC’s best teams and a ranked Georgia Tech squad.

Georgia enters play ranked 12th in scoring defense and 25th in yards per play allowed. They’re next to impossible to run against ,yielding only 3.1 yards per carry, which will force Bama into a one-dimensional style of play.

Georgia Defensive Stats

The Tide can certainly succeed in a pass-heavy script, as Ty Simpson is an elite talent and a one-time top Heisman Trophy odds contender. He threw for 276 yards and two scores in his first meeting with the Bulldogs, but I don’t envision an encore performance in this matchup.

For starters, preseason All-American receiver Ryan Williams has gone MIA. He didn’t catch a single pass in last week’s nail-biting win over Auburn, and sits outside the top-20 in the SEC in receiving yards. Williams has also dropped eight passes this season and has forced only eight tackles.

Another reason to be pessimistic about the Tide’s offensive outlook is the state of their offensive line. They allowed a 40% pressure rate last week, and the Georgia front is littered with future Sunday stars.

Lastly, Bama’s offense thrives on rhythm and timing. Pressure seriously disrupts that, and look no further than last week in the Iron Bowl or their Week 1 loss to Florida State for proof. The Bulldogs don’t give up explosives, tackle at a top-five clip, and will cave in Simpson’s pocket at an alarming rate.

Give me the Bulldogs on the moneyline as my final Georgia vs Alabama prediction, bucking the history trends and earning Kirby Smart’s program a first-round playoff bye.