Florida vs Texas A&M Best Bets, Picks & Predictions

• #17 Florida is a 6.5-point favorite over Texas A&M in SEC hoops action on Saturday
• The Aggies rank second in points per game, and fourth in made 3’s per outing
• See my Florida vs Texas A&M best bets, picks and predictions for the February 7th showdown below

A pair of March Madness-bound SEC teams square off in College Station tonight, as #17 Florida (16-6, 7-2 SEC) visits Texas A&M (17-5, 7-2 SEC). Both teams are off to a fantastic start to their conference schedule, and online sportsbooks expect the Gators’ impressive play to continue.

Florida has been pegged as 6.5-point favorites, up 2 points from when the opening line was released in the college basketball odds. I’m of the opinion that number is too high, and I will be looking to buy the Aggies against the spread.

The action gets underway at 8:30 pm ET from Reed Arena, with the SEC Network providing the broadcast coverage.

Here are my Florida vs Texas A&M best bets, picks and predictions.

Florida vs Texas A&M Best Bets

• Texas A&M +6.5 (-105 at DraftKings)

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I’m taking the Aggies +6.5 as my Florida vs Texas A&M best bet, as the love for the Gators has gone too far. Sure, they’re playing some incredible basketball and have a clear advantage in the paint, but there are plenty of reasons to believe the Aggies can not only cover, but pull off the upset as well.

Let’s start with the Texas A&M offense. The Aggies rank second in the nation in points per game, and fourth in made 3’s. They lead the SEC in assists per game and are incredibly deep. Texas A&M runs an 11-man rotation, with all 11 guys capable of contributing.

The long-range attack is led by Rylan Griffen and Ruben Dominguez, who are each shooting north of 42% from 3. The Aggies protect the ball and play at a blistering pace, often confusing enemy defenses, which results in loads of wide-open looks.

Florida is one of the top-scoring defenses in the SEC, but their biggest weakness is defending behind the arc. They rank 138th in opponent three-point percentage, and Texas A&M will be the most potent long-range team they’ve faced all season.

On the other end of the floor, the Gators will look to bully the smaller Aggies interior, and that’s their best chance for success. Last year’s winner in the NCAA Tournament champion odds features a handful of players standing 6’10” or taller, which is a big reason why they’re the best offensive rebounding team in the country.

Key Statistical Metrics: Florida vs Texas A&M

They need to crash the glass effectively to make up for their poor shooting metrics. Florida ranks 124th in effective field goal percentage, and 350th in three-point shooting.

The Aggies will surely know they’re cooked if they allow the ball inside, so expect them to ramp up the defensive aggression. This is already a team that presses relentlessly, a big reason why they rank top-20 in steals and opponent turnovers.

Florida vs Texas A&M Picks and Predictions

• Under 168.5 (-112 at DraftKings)

This game boasts one of the highest totals on the slate, but I’m expecting it to fall short of offensive expectations. Texas A&M’s defensive aggression, along with Florida’s poor shooting metrics, should keep the Gators offense in check.

I do like the matchup for Aggies shooters, but the absurd length of the Florida defenders could cause efficiency issues. The Gators are nearly impossible to score on inside, meaning it’s going to take an all-world shooting performance from A&M to put up a huge total.

As for the trends, they show it’s been a profitable strategy to bet unders in Florida contests. That side of the total is 13-8-1 this season (61.9%), and 5-3-1 (62.5%) so far in conference play.