ACC Tournament Odds & Expert Picks

• Duke is a -350 favorite to win the ACC Tournament which begins on Tuesday
• The Blue Devils are on pace to finish with the highest Kenpom Net rating in 30 years
• See the ACC Tournament odds and my expert picks, below

The ACC Tournament tips off Tuesday, with #1 Duke listed as an overwhelming favorite to repeat. In fact, the Blue Devils -350 price tag in the college basketball odds is the shortest odds of any major conference favorite in their conference tourney, but the line isn’t crazy given how much better they are than the rest of the ACC contenders.

That’s not to say Duke is unbeatable, and I’ll try to poke holes in their ACC Tournament case, while offering a couple longshots who could shock the college basketball world.

Keep reading for the complete list of ACC Tournament odds, plus my expert picks.

ACC Tournament Odds

After Duke, Virginia has the next shortest ACC Tournament odds at +650, followed by Louisville at +950. Miami checks in with a +2000 price tag, and they along with NC State are my favorite two teams to take a run at the Blue Devils title.

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The Mighty Blue Devils

As good as Duke was in 2025, this year’s team is even better. They are the number one team per the AP, and in terms of overall efficiency at Kenpom and Bart Torvik. They’ve already beaten two of the other top seeds in the March Madness odds bracket, and they’re on pace to finish with the highest NET rating at Kenpom in nearly 30 years.

The Blue Devils are led by Wooden Award odds favorite Cameron Boozer, who is the best player in college basketball. Boozer has destroyed everyone in his path this season, and is producing at a higher rate than Cooper Flagg did last season in points, rebounds and three-point percentage.

In terms of the ACC field, Duke is head and shoulders above the rest statistically. They rank first in offense rating, defensive rating and effective field goal percentage, while checking in at number two in total rebounding and assists.

If there’s a weakness, and I’m grasping at straws here, it’s that they’re not elite at shooting threes or generating turnovers. In a one-game showdown, that could come back to bite them, as they may be susceptible against a team that can white-hot from downtown, and force a ton of takeaways.

One other issue Duke is facing is injuries. They’re down a pair of starters in Caleb Foster and Patrick Ngongba II, which could make life a little more difficult than oddsmakers currently project.

ACC Tournament Expert Picks

• Miami Hurricanes (+2000 at bet365)
• NC State Wolfpack (+5000 at bet365)

If we’re picking against Duke, it’s best to find someone on the other side of the bracket. That rules out North Carolina, the only ACC team to beat the Blue Devils, but their love in college basketball public betting circles cratered after Caleb Wilson went down.

Louisville is also out after an injury to their star freshman Mikel Brown, leaving the Hurricanes (+2000) and Wolfpack (+5000) as my two favorite selections.

Yes, NC State did lose to Duke by 29 this season, but they have a profile of a team that could pull off a stunning upset. The Wolfpack lead the ACC in 3-point field percentage and feature the conference’s best distributor in Quadir Copeland.

ACC 3 Point Field Goal Percentage

They’re also the ACC’s leader in steals, while turning the ball over at the league’s lowest rate. That gives them a legit chance to steal extra possessions, something they’ll need along with lights out long range shooting to go on a Cinderella run.

As for Miami, one of the biggest advantages they have is head coach Jai Lucas knows Duke inside and out. He was an assistant under Jon Scheyer before joining the Hurricanes, and turned Miami from one of the worst defenses in college basketball into a top-35 unit.

The Canes toughest games on the other side of the bracket will come against Virginia and Louisville, two teams they played one possession games with this season. Miami led the ACC in field goal percentage this year, and was top-five in assists and rebounds. 

Another thing working in their favor is that they didn’t face the Blue Devils this season, so their defensive intensity could catch the reigning conference champs off guard. At any rate, +5000 and +2000 are way too favorable odds to pass up on NC State and Miami, and you could easily hedge if they run into Duke in the final.