Expert Picks & How to Watch Mets vs Dodgers (Apr 13)

Published: April 13, 2026 at 7:10 pm EDT

Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers vs. the Mets tonight. — Apr 12, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers two-way player Shohei Ohtani (17) hits a solo homerun during the first inning against the Texas Rangers at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images

The New York Mets (7-9) have lost 5 in a row
The Los Angeles Dodgers (11-4) have won 4 of their 5 series
Our expert analysis finds the best bets for Mets at Dodgers on Monday night

The New York Mets (7-9) head west to open a series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (11-4) at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is set for 10:10 pm, ET, with live television coverage available on SNY and SportsNet LA.

The Mets have lost 5 games in a row. The Dodgers have won 4 of their 5 series to start the season.

Mets lefty David Peterson (0-2, 6.14) goes against young Dodgers lefty Justin Wrobleski (1-0, 4.00), who is making his first career start vs. the Mets.

We preview the matchup and offer the best bets for Mets at Dodgers on Monday night.

Mets vs Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles is positioned as a distinct home favorite, heavily juiced at a consensus -167 on the moneyline. Removing the sportsbook vig, these moneyline odds translate to a 60.0% implied probability for the Dodgers to win, compared to a 40.0% vig-free probability for the Mets. The betting markets clearly respect the Dodgers’ significant offensive advantage and Peterson’s early-season struggles.

When looking at the opening lines, the game total of 8.5 has remained completely stationary. However, the runline has seen notable movement. The Dodgers originally opened as a much more lucrative +132 to cover the -1.5 runline, but lopsided action has forced oddsmakers to shorten those odds down to +120. Meanwhile, the moneyline has ticked up slightly in favor of Los Angeles, moving from an opening line of -158 to the current -167.

David Peterson vs Justin Wrobleski 2026 Stats

Statistic	Peterson (NYM)	Wrobleski (LAD)
W-L Record	1-2	1-0
ERA	6.14	4.00
WHIP	1.84	1.22
FIP	2.46	3.92
xFIP	3.44	5.81
K/9	8.59	4.00
Opponent BA	.344	.182

David Peterson vs Dodgers

G	W	L	IP	H	ER	HR	BB	K	ERA	WHIP
6	2	0	30.1	30	15	4	10	29	4.45	1.319

Dodgers Hitters vs David Peterson

Player	PA	AB	H	HR	RBI	AVG	OPS
Freddie Freeman	22	21	5	2	4	.238	.797
Miguel Rojas	20	18	7	1	3	.389	1.172
Shohei Ohtani	15	15	4	0	1	.267	.533
Mookie Betts	14	13	5	0	4	.385	.967
Teoscar Hernández	10	10	3	1	3	.300	1.000
Alex Call	9	9	2	0	1	.222	.444
Andy Pages	8	8	4	0	1	.500	1.000
Will Smith	6	6	3	1	2	.500	1.667
Santiago Espinal	4	4	1	0	0	.250	.500
Dalton Rushing	3	3	0	0	1	.000	.000
Max Muncy	3	3	2	1	1	.667	2.333

Mets vs Dodgers Home/Road Stats

Statistic	Mets (Away)	Dodgers (Home)
Win-Loss Record	7-9 [21st]	11-4 [1st]
Runs Per Game	4.43 [12th]	4.33 [16th]
Home Runs Per Game	0.86 [19th]	1.56 [3rd]
Batting Average (AVG)	.252 [7th]	.261 [12th]
OPS	.717 [11th]	.784 [7th]
Stolen Bases Per Game	0.86 [9th]	0.44 [21st]
Average Exit Velocity	89.7 mph [6th]	90.6 mph [3rd]
Team ERA (Overall)	3.60 [8th]	3.63 [9th]
Team WHIP (Overall)	1.24 [11th]	1.19 [5th]

Mets vs Dodgers Predictions, Picks & Best Prop Bets

Pick #1: Dodgers ML (-165 on Bet365)

The offensive disparity is impossible to ignore. Los Angeles has been a nightmare for opposing pitchers, slashing a collective .290 at the plate with an elite .864 OPS and 91 total runs scored. Conversely, New York has struggled to find consistent footing, hitting just .236 as a team with a sluggish .658 OPS and only 62 runs.

Based on this staggering offensive gap and a heavy situational trend—the Dodgers boast a 66.7% win rate (8-4) when closing as the betting favorite this season—backing the Dodgers on the moneyline is the strongest core play. The pitching matchup reinforces this edge. New York hands the ball to David Peterson, whose start to the 2026 campaign has been turbulent. Peterson has surrendered a 6.14 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP, allowing opponents to hit an astronomical .344 against him. The Dodgers will counter with Justin Wrobleski, who has managed a much more stable 4.00 ERA this season.

Pick #2: Over 8.5 (-114 at FanDuel)

Given Peterson’s inability to keep runners off the basepaths and Los Angeles’ explosive lineup, the Over 8.5 (-115) is our top pick for the game total. New York has seen the Under cash in just 20.0% of their last 10 games, strongly supporting a higher-scoring game script.

Best Player Prop Bet

Pick: Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases (+155 on DraftKings)

The best player prop on the board revolves around the Dodgers’ designated hitter. Shohei Ohtani has been mashing the baseball, carrying a .996 OPS, a .571 slugging percentage, and five home runs into this matchup. Against a struggling southpaw like Peterson, Ohtani is in a prime position to barrel up extra-base hits. The -107 price tag offers excellent value for a player who averages 0.667 singles and 0.333 home runs per game.

Public Betting Splits & Line Movement

The MLB public betting splits can help you build a winning card.

On the moneyline, 87.3% of the betting tickets are on Los Angeles, but an even larger 91.1% of the overall stake backs the home favorites. The confidence in Los Angeles extends heavily into the runline market. An overwhelming 95.9% of the runline money is riding on the Dodgers to cover the -1.5 spread.

The action on the game total follows the exact same script. Currently, 90.3% of the tickets are predicting a high-scoring affair. When looking at the more critical stake metric, an even higher 91.9% of the total money is sweating the Over, confirming that bettors of all bankroll sizes expect the Dodgers’ potent lineup to dictate the pace from the first pitch.

How to Watch

Date: April 13, 2026
Time: 10:10 PM ET
Location: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
TV Channels: SNY, SportsNet LA

Chris Wright

A 30-time APSE award-winning editor with previous stints at the Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer, Chris Wright is an Evergreen and AI editor for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.

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