Expert Ramirez vs Benavidez Prediction, Odds & Line Movement for Saturday’s Fight
By Chris Amberley in Boxing
Published:
- David Benavidez is a -550 moneyline favorite over Gilberto Ramirez in Saturday’s cruiserweight title fight
- Benavidez is seeking a third title in his third weight class
- Check out my expert Ramirez vs Benavidez prediction, plus the latest odds and line movement for Saturday’s fight
Boxing fans started Saturday morning with the Inoue vs Nakatani mega clash in Japan, and can end the night with a battle of two of the top Mexican fighters in the sport. David Benavidez puts his undefeated record on the line versus Gilberto Ramirez, as Benavidez looks to capture his third title in his third different weight class. Online sportsbooks like his chances, pegging the 29-year-old as a massive -550 favorite.
This cruiserweight bout is expected to take place around 9 pm PT, Midnight ET inside T-Mobile Arena, in Las Vegas, NV, with Amazon Prime Video providing the coverage.
Keep reading for my expert Ramirez vs Benavidez prediction, plus the latest odds and line movement for Saturday’s fight.
Expert Ramirez vs Benavidez Prediction
- Benavidez by Decision (-150 at Bet365)
My favorite wager in this fight is Benavidez by decision. Benavidez enters in the prime of his career, looking to add a cruiserweight title to his former super middleweight belt and his current light heavyweight championship. He’s a high-volume, exceptionally conditioned fighter, who is younger, faster and more technically sound than his opponent.
As Benavidez continues to climb the weight classes, his heavy hands don’t inflict the same type of devastating damage they did against smaller fighters, but he’s still more than capable of delivering the knockout blow. He boasts and 80% KO rate in 31 fights, and while Ramirez has more experience fighting at this weight, he’s not a true cruiserweight either, having moved up from light heavyweight.
Tale of the Tape
Nevertheless, Ramirez is a seasoned veteran of many wars and has an incredibly durable chin. Not only has he never been knocked out in 50 career bouts, but he’s also never been knocked down either. He’s shown the ability to absorb heavy punches from much bigger opponents in the past, without even looking fazed. I’m confident he can weather the storm of Benavidez’s aggression, but I don’t believe he can score enough points on his own to win this fight.
Ramirez is an expert at deploying his jab to keep his opponents away, while using his lateral quickness to escape danger if they sneak in tight. That style will keep him upright and extend the fight, but it won’t do much to help his winning prospects.
Benavidez, meanwhile, is at his best when he lures opponents in and then hits them with lightning-quick combinations. Ramirez, however, is too smart to get sucked into that trick and will likely try to make this fight as boring as possible.
Eventually, I’m convinced Benavidez will be resigned to the fact that Ramirez is going to stay away, and the younger man will simply out-point him for the remainder of the fight.
Gilberto Ramirez vs David Benavidez Odds
SPORTSBOOK
If you want to tail my Benavidez by decision bet, make sure you visit Bet365. They’re currently offering the wager at -150 odds, which is in line with all the other commercial books.
If you believe Ramirez is capable of an upset, I’d swing for the fences. He’s +1200 to win by knockout, and unless he floors Benavidez with a wicked blow, I don’t see how he can win this fight.
Ramirez vs Benavidez Line Movement
To say Benavidez is the more popular side in the betting market would be a massive understatement. He’s gone from a -390 moneyline favorite to his current price of -550 in just over 24 hours. Money is coming in fast and furious on Benavidez, meaning online sportsbooks are going to be desperately cheering for an upset tonight.
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 TO GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
- THESCORE BET SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE DIME TO GET 100% BET RESET UP TO $1,000
- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
SPEND $5, GET $200 IN BONUSES + 3 MONTHS OF NBA LEAGUE PASS
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $10 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBDBR250 & GET UP TO $250 IN BONUSES AS FIVE DAYS OF BET RESETS!
- FANATICS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE DIMEFAN & GET $10 x $100 BET MATCHES IN FANCASH!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 FOR 7 DAYS & GET $350 IN BONUS BETS!
DRAFTKINGS T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new Sportsbook customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 21 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: dkng.co/offer. Get 1 promo code to redeem a 3-month NBA League Pass subscription, complimentary of DraftKings. Subscription auto-renews monthly at then-current price (currently $16.99/mo); cancel anytime. Terms, restrictions, and eligibility requirements apply. Redeem League Pass by 12/19/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Addtโl terms: support.watch.nba.com/hc/en-us/articles/9165532876183-League-Pass-Terms-of-Use_. Ends 11/29/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ in KY). Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA. Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply.
BETMGM T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US), 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.