Wardley vs Dubois Prediction, Odds, Undercard, Start Time & How to Watch
By Brady Trettenero in Boxing
Published:
- Fabio Wardley is a -120 favorite against Daniel Dubois on Saturday, May 9
- This is a WBO heavyweight title fight at Co-op Live Arena in Manchester
- See below for Wardley vs Dubois prediction, odds, undercard, start time and how to watch
Fabio Wardley (20-0-1) defends his WBO heavyweight title against former IBF champion Daniel Dubois (22-3) on Saturday at Co-op Live Arena in Manchester. Two of the hardest punchers in British boxing history will trade leather with a combined 95% knockout rate between them.
Below you’ll find my Wardley vs Dubois prediction, the latest odds, full undercard, and how to watch.
Wardley vs Dubois Prediction
- Fabio Wardley by KO/TKO (+138 at BetMGM)
Wardley should win this fight, and I expect a stoppage in the second half. He’s unbeaten for a reason, and that reason is he finds a way to win when things get hard.
Look at his recent run. Frazer Clarke pushed him to a 12-round draw, then Wardley knocked him out in round one of the rematch. Justis Huni was boxing circles around him for nine rounds, then Wardley landed an overhand right that ended it in the 10th. Joseph Parker was giving him problems, then Wardley poured it on late and stopped him in round 11.
Wardley has something you can’t teach. He doesn’t fold under pressure. He stays calm when he’s hurt. He finds another gear when most fighters would start looking for a way out.
Dubois has the opposite reputation. He’s been stopped three times – by Joe Joyce, and twice by Oleksandr Usyk. In all three losses, he took a knee and didn’t beat the count. That pattern concerns me.
Dubois is a confidence fighter. When he gets success early, he looks unstoppable. When he gets hurt, his confidence drops and he starts looking for a way out. If Wardley can survive the early rounds and drag Dubois into deep water, I expect the champion to drown him.
The consensus among pro boxers backs Wardley. Usyk picked him. Groves picked him. Carl Frampton expects Wardley to drag Dubois into a fight and drown him late. The common thread is that Wardley has the dog in him that Dubois doesn’t.
I expect Dubois to have success early. He’s the better technical boxer and his jab is a real weapon. But somewhere in rounds 6-9, Wardley should turn this into a fight, find his shots, and get the stoppage.
Wardley vs Dubois Odds
Wardley is a slight -120 favorite at BetMGM. Dubois comes back at -110. This is about as close to a pick’em as you’ll see for a world title fight.
The method of victory odds favor a stoppage from either man. Wardley by KO/TKO is +138, Dubois by KO/TKO is +150. Both fighters winning by decision sit above +550. The books don’t expect this to go 12 rounds, and neither do I.
Fight not to go the distance is priced at -300. That’s steep juice, but with a combined 95% knockout rate, it makes sense.
Odds as of May 9 at BetMGM. Get the BetMGM bonus code to use on the Wardley vs Dubois fight.
Wardley vs Dubois Tale of the Tape
These two are almost identical physically. Same height, same orthodox stance, same devastating power. The difference is in the record and the mental makeup.
Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois
Dubois has the better resume on paper. He’s knocked out Anthony Joshua and Filip Hrgovic. But his three losses have all come by stoppage, and all came when he took a knee and didn’t get up. Wardley has never been stopped and has shown he can fight through adversity.
Wardley vs Dubois Undercard
The undercard features some solid action, including former Olympic medalist Bakhodir Jalolov and WBA light heavyweight contender David Morrell.
- Jack Rafferty vs Ekow Essuman – Welterweight
- David Morrell vs Zak Chelli – Light Heavyweight
- Bradley Rea vs Liam Cameron – Light Heavyweight
- Khaleel Majid vs Gavin Gwynne – Super Lightweight
- Bakhodir Jalolov vs Agron Smakici – Heavyweight
Wardley vs Dubois Start Time & How to Watch
Wardley vs Dubois takes place on Saturday, May 9 at Co-op Live Arena in Manchester. The main card starts at 1:30 pm ET on DAZN PPV, with ring walks for the main event expected around 6 pm ET.
The PPV costs $59.99 in the US through DAZN. A DAZN subscription is required to purchase the pay-per-view. UK viewers can watch for £24.99, with ring walks expected around 11 pm BST.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
