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Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 Prediction, Same-Game Parlay & Odds

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in NHL Hockey

Published:


The Sabres celebrate a goal versus the Canadiens in Game 2 of their 2nd Round series.
May 8, 2026; Buffalo, New York, USA; Buffalo Sabres left wing Zach Benson (6) celebrates his goal with teammates during the second period against the Montréal Canadiens in game two of the second round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at KeyBank Center. Mandatory Credit: Timothy T. Ludwig-Imagn Images
  • The Sabres are +105 underdogs in Game 3 tonight versus the Canadiens
  • Buffalo has won its last five contests away from home
  • Keep reading for my top Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 prediction, same-game parlay and the latest odds

The Eastern Conference Semifinals shift north to Quebec tonight as the Montreal Canadiens host the Buffalo Sabres in Game 3. Montreal will look to leverage home-ice advantage as the favorite in the NHL odds, relying on playmakers like Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield to set the offensive tone and light the lamp early.

Meanwhile, Buffalo aims to reclaim its early-series momentum as a dangerous underdog, leaning on game-breakers like Tage Thompson and Rasmus Dahlin to silence the local crowd. With the playoff series knotted at 1-1, I’m expecting a tight checking, physical battle in the neutral zone.

Puck drop for this crucial matchup is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, with live coverage provided by ESPN in America, and Sportsnet in Canada. Keep reading for my favorite Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 prediction, same-game parlay and the latest betting odds.

Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 Prediction

  • Buffalo Sabres Moneyline (+105 at Bet365)
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My favorite bet tonight is the Sabres moneyline. When breaking down this pivotal Game 3, the situational betting trends point heavily toward the visiting underdogs. The Sabres have been absolute road warriors recently, winning their last five consecutive games away from home. Furthermore, Buffalo is an impressive 9-3 on the road against opponents with a winning record over their last 12 matchups. They also bounce back exceptionally well, having won their last four games following a loss.

Conversely, the Canadiens have fallen off a cliff when trying to string victories together or protect their home ice in similar spots. Montreal has lost their last six games after a win, and they are an abysmal 1-4 at home following a victory over their last five attempts. At +105 on the moneyline, the Sabres offer excellent value to fade the public and steal back home-ice advantage.

Sabres vs Canadiens Playoff Stats

StatisticSabresCanadiens
Goals For3.13 [N/A]2.56 [N/A]
Goals Against2.25 [N/A]2.22 [N/A]
Shots For29.38 [N/A]23.56 [N/A]
Shots Against25.75 [N/A]26.78 [N/A]
Power Play %9.4% [N/A]18.2% [N/A]
Penalty Kill %87.0% [N/A]81.1% [N/A]
Save Percentage90.8% [N/A]91.7% [N/A]
Faceoff Win %43.0% [N/A]56.4% [N/A]
Hits33.63 [N/A]38.78 [N/A]
Blocked Shots13.25 [N/A]17.33 [N/A]

Per the playoff stats, the most glaring mismatch in this series occurs at the faceoff dot. The Canadiens have dominated the circle throughout the postseason, winning 56.4% of their draws compared to Buffalo’s dismal 43.0% success rate. Montreal also leans into a more physical, grinding style of hockey, heavily outpacing the Sabres in hits (38.78 vs. 33.63) and blocked shots (17.33 vs. 13.25) per contest.

However, Buffalo holds a distinct advantage in offensive generation. Despite their struggles on the man advantage—converting at just a 9.4% clip in the playoffs—the Sabres are still out-producing the Canadiens at 5-on-5. Buffalo is averaging 29.38 shots and 3.13 goals per game, putting consistent pressure on a Montreal squad that manages just 23.56 shots and 2.56 goals offensively. Furthermore, the Sabres are suppressing shots at an elite rate, allowing just 25.75 per game. This shot-volume disparity strongly supports the visiting Sabres to dictate the pace of play and move a step closer to advancing in the NHL Playoff Bracket.

Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 Same-Game Parlay

  • SGP Picks: Sabres Moneyline (+106), Rasmus Dahlin Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-127), Noah Dobson Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-137)
  • SGP Odds at DraftKings: +537
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Moving over to the NHL props market, where’ I’ve cooked up a +537 same-game parlay. In addition to betting Buffalo’s moneyline, I’m also targeting over 2.5 shots for Dahlin. He has gone over this line in 5 straight games, averaging a robust 4.0 shots per contest over that span. Through the first two games of this series, Dahlin has already peppered the Montreal net with 9 total shots (4.5 shots per game). Backing him to record at least three shots on goal offers a strong edge.

For the anchor leg, I’m looking at over 1.5 shots on goal for Noah Dobson. He’s been consistently generating offensive chances from the point, eclipsing 1.5 shots on goal in 11 of his last 13 games against top-10 scoring defenses (84.6%). He has remained highly active in this Eastern Conference Semifinal clash, racking up 7 shots on goal through his first two playoff games against the Sabres. Given his current postseason usage and 3.5 shots per game average against Buffalo, the over on this modest 1.5-shot line is a premier target.

Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 Odds

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Moving over to the Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 odds, where you’ll want access to multiple betting sites in order to tail my picks. Bet365 has the best odds on a Buffalo upset victory at +105, while DraftKings offered the most favorable payout on my same-game parlay picks at +537.

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Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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