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Blue Jays vs Orioles Expert Picks, Predictions & Props on May 28

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Published:


The Blue Jays dugout celebrates a run versus the Marlins.
May 27, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays designated hitter Jesus Sanchez (12) congratulates third baseman Kazuma Okamoto (7) after his solo home run against the Miami Marlins during the sixth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images
  • The Blue Jays are +110 moneyline underdogs vs the Orioles tonight
  • Baltimore starter Chris Bassitt has struggled this season posting a 5.51 ERA and 1.67 WHIP
  • Keep reading for my top Blue Jays vs Orioles expert picks, predictions and props on May 28, below

The Baltimore Orioles (25-30) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (26-29) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards tonight, to open up a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 PM ET, with a perfect night for baseball on deck per the MLB weather forecast.

Both clubs hover just below the .500 mark as they look to gain ground in the AL East, and online sportsbooks are siding with Baltimore in tonight’s matchup per the MLB odds.

The Orioles enter play with offensive momentum after an 11-2 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays, fueled by a 16-hit attack. Meanwhile, Toronto brings confidence after back-to-back wins over the Marlins.

Below, you’ll find my top Blue Jays vs Orioles expert picks, predictions and props for the May 28th matchup between these divisional foes.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Expert Picks and Predictions

  • Blue Jays Moneyline (+110 at Caesars)
  • Over 8.5 Total Runs (-115 at Caesars)
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When evaluating the pitching matchup in the MLB starting lineups, Toronto appears well-positioned to secure a road victory. Baltimore hands the ball to Chris Bassitt, who carries a 5.51 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 47.1 innings this season.

In contrast, Blue Jays starter Patrick Corbin has been far more reliable, posting a 3.86 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP across 44.1 frames. Given Bassitt’s tendency to allow heavy traffic on the basepaths, backing the away underdog offers my favorite betting opportunity.

Additionally, the underlying metrics point toward a higher-scoring affair, making the Over an appealing wager. The Orioles hold a 4.70 team ERA, struggling to get outs consistently. With Baltimore arms prone to giving up free passes, the Toronto offense should find opportunities to manufacture runs.

Chris Bassitt vs Patrick Corbin Stats

PitcherW-L RecordERAWHIPFIPK/9BB/9OBAIP/Start
Chris Bassitt (BAL)2-35.511.674.396.463.61.3114.62
Patrick Corbin (TOR)2-13.861.403.966.502.64.2904.93

Bassitt enters the contest carrying an uninspiring 2-3 record over his recent workload. Opposing lineups are seeing the right-hander exceptionally well, punishing him with a .311 batting average. His 3.61 walks per nine innings mean he often creates his own high-stress situations.

Conversely, Corbin has been a pleasant surprise for the Blue Jays. The southpaw’s 3.96 FIP validates his impressive ERA. Control has occasionally been an issue, as evidence by his 2.64 BB/9 rate, however he’s generating more swings and misses than in previous seasons, while averaging 5 innings per start.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Stats

StatisticBaltimore (Home)Toronto (Away)
Runs/Gm5.00 [5th]3.58 [28th]
Hits/Gm8.30 [5th]8.23 [13th]
Home Runs/Gm1.27 [8th]0.81 [27th]
Batting Average.249 [8th].242 [11th]
OPS.743 [8th].652 [27th]
Staff ERA4.70 [27th]3.78 [10th]
Staff WHIP1.43 [26th]1.26 [13th]

At Oriole Park, Baltimore boasts a top-tier lineup, crossing the plate 5.00 times per game. Their impressive home power is spearheaded by elite talents like Gunnar Henderson. Toronto meanwhile, has struggled to generate offense away from home, but they counter that with a staff ERA that is nearly a full run lower than Baltimore’s at Camden Yards.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Odds

Odds as of May 28. Claim the Caesars promo code to bet on MLB today.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Props

  • Chris Bassitt Under 17.5 Outs (-135 at DraftKings)
  • Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120 at DraftKings)
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For my favorite MLB prop bets, I’m betting under 17.5 out for Bassitt. Because his inability to pitch efficiently limits him to 4.62 innings per start, asking Bassitt to navigate through six full innings is a tall order.

With the Orioles ranking eighth in home OPS, backing Henderson to go Over 1.5 total bases is a tremendous value play. He possesses the raw power to clear this total with a single swing. Henderson homered twice in yesterday’s win, and has seven multi-hit games in the last two and a half weeks per our MLB batter vs pitcher stats.

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Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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