Reds vs Yankees Predictions, Picks & Props to Bet

• The surging New York Yankees are hefty -200 favorites over the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday
• Cincinnati has just four wins in its last 14 games
• Read below for the my Reds vs Yankees prediction, latest odds and prop picks

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The surging New York Yankees (45-28) look for their 10th win in their last 12 contests as they host the Cincinnati Reds (35-38).

Cincinnati has been trending in the opposite direction, as they have just four wins in their last 14 games, part of the reason they are heavy road underdogs this afternoon in the MLB odds.

First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, in a game that can be seen live nationally on MLB TV.

Reds vs Yankees Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Use theScore Bet promo code to wager on Reds vs Yankees and other MLB action.

The betting odds strongly favor the home team, with FanDuel positioning the Yankees as heavy -190 moneyline favorites following their 5-0 shutout victory yesterday.

Cincinnati enters as a significant +165 road underdog at bet365, reflecting recent offensive struggles. Bettors looking for a higher payout on New York might eye the -1.5 runline at plus-money (+112).

The Reds are getting 1.5 runs on the spread, but it’s not costing too much, with -123 odds available at DraftKings.

As for the total, it’s set at 9.5 runs, with bet365 offering +100 odds for the Over, with -115 odds for the Under at FanDuel.

CIN Reds vs NY Yankees Picks & Prediction

• Best Bet: Yankees ML (-190 at Caesars)

New York enters with a robust 45-28 record, supported by an elite pitching staff boasting a collective 3.30 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP.

Cincinnati, conversely, yields a bloated 4.68 team ERA and continues to struggle at the plate with a mere .227 team batting average.

As for the MLB probable pitchers: Will Warren should be a tremendous asset this afternoon, given his stellar 7-1 overall record. He has effectively silenced hitters with a 3.47 ERA, and his excellent 3.33 FIP suggests this performance is genuine.

A key to Warren’s success is his swing-and-miss stuff, averaging 9.41 strikeouts per nine innings.

Andrew Abbott counters for Cincinnati. He holds a balanced 4-4 record with a 3.95 ERA. While his baseline ERA appears solid, his peripheral metrics tell a concerning story.

Abbott carries an elevated 1.41 WHIP and a bloated 4.79 FIP, stemming primarily from command struggles and a lack of elite strikeout power (6.55 K/9).

Over his last 10 games, Abbott pitched to a sharper 3.11 ERA while limiting opponents to a .218 batting average. Despite improved run prevention, control remains an issue.

He is surrendering 4.09 walks per nine innings in that stretch. He will need to limit free passes against this disciplined Yankees lineup to survive.

Cincinnati vs New York Team Stats Comparison

*Note: Pitching statistics reflect overall 2026 regular-season data rather than home/away splits.

New York has been highly productive at home this season. They rank first in Major League Baseball in home runs scored per game (5.57) and home OPS (.822).

Their lineup produces consistently hard contact, ranking third in average exit velocity (89.3 mph) in their own ballpark. Furthermore, they manufacture runs efficiently, leading the league in stolen bases per game (1.20) as a host.

Conversely, the Reds find it difficult to generate offense away from Great American Ball Park. They sit in the bottom third of the league in road runs per game (4.08) and road OPS (.686).

A lack of consistent hard contact (88.1 mph average exit velocity) has stifled big innings. This offensive anemia explains why Stephenson’s road consistency makes him a premier target for my player props.

The statistical gap between these two teams extends to the mound. New York features the premier pitching staff in baseball, ranking first overall with a 3.30 team ERA. The Reds yield an alarming amount of traffic, with a 1.47 team WHIP ranking 29th.

For Abbott, navigating a potent Yankees lineup will be a monumental challenge.

Reds vs Yankees Props

Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Hits (-143 at DraftKings): Stephenson has been a beacon of consistency away from home. He has recorded a base hit in five straight road games (a 100% success rate), averaging 1.6 hits per contest in that span. He has also cleared this prop in 78% of his last nine games overall.

Andrew Abbott Under 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts (-121 at DraftKings): Abbott has failed to exceed 4.5 strikeouts in five of his last seven road games (a 71% success rate for the under). Fading him capitalizes on a highly profitable situational trend.