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Best Home Run Picks & HR Props Across Today’s Sept. 3 MLB Slate
By Daniel Destler in MLB Baseball
Published:
- Uncovering the top home run values across today’s nine-game MLB slate while keeping the focus on price, matchup, and venue.
- Highlighting prime hitting environments like Wrigley Field, Daikin Park, Camden Yards, and PNC Park.
- Revealing five data-backed HR props, from established sluggers to high-upside underdog bats.
Today’s nine-game MLB slate gives bettors plenty of ways to attack home run props, with power-friendly spots in Houston, Chicago, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and Seattle. The MLB props board is especially interesting because several short-priced sluggers still come with plus-money payouts.
Venue context remains the starting point. The latest park factors point to Wrigley Field as one of the slate’s best HR environments, while Daikin Park, Camden Yards, and PNC Park also rate well enough to keep power bats firmly in play. Below are five HR props that stand out on today’s board.
Note: Odds are subject to change and represent the best price available across the listed sportsbooks at the time of publishing.
Top Home Run Picks for Today’s Slate
Yordan Alvarez (+225) — Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
The Houston Astros host the Chicago White Sox at Daikin Park, setting up an ideal power spot for Yordan Alvarez. He is the clear top HR candidate in this matchup, and the best available price still leaves enough plus-money value to make him the headline play.
Daikin Park provides a strong offensive backdrop, ranking 11th in runs per game while yielding 2.65 home runs per contest.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (+304) — Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Pete Crow-Armstrong and the Chicago Cubs get one of the slate’s best park boosts at Wrigley Field. The Cubs outfielder is priced as the most likely player in this game to go deep, but the market still offers a +304 number at the top of the board.
Wrigley has been a premier home run venue this season, ranking seventh in overall offensive production and producing 3.08 home runs per game.
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Cal Raleigh (+312) — Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
Cal Raleigh and the Seattle Mariners take on the visiting Athletics in a matchup where the books clearly separate Raleigh from the rest of the HR market. He owns the shortest price in the game, yet DraftKings is still dealing him at +312.
T-Mobile Park is not the easiest place to clear the fences, ranking near the bottom of the league in runs per game, but it has still produced 2.46 home runs per contest. With Raleigh’s switch-hitting power and premium lineup role, the plus-money payout keeps him firmly in the mix.
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Wilyer Abreu (+301) — Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Wilyer Abreu is the added value play from Red Sox-Orioles. Pete Alonso is the shortest-priced HR option in this matchup, but Abreu sits close behind at +301, giving bettors a comparable power profile at a slightly better return.
Camden Yards has produced 2.38 home runs per game this season, and the warm Baltimore conditions add another reason to keep left-handed power on the radar. Abreu’s price is short enough to show real market respect but long enough to offer usable value.
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Oneil Cruz (+305) — Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
Oneil Cruz rounds out the card as the top HR candidate in Giants-Pirates. His +305 best price leads the matchup market, and few hitters on the slate can match his raw power when he gets the ball in the air.
PNC Park ranks sixth in runs per game this season and has played more offense-friendly than its reputation suggests. Weather is worth monitoring in Pittsburgh, but if conditions hold, Cruz has the best blend of odds, power ceiling, and venue support in this game.
Danny Destler is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) and sports betting expert. A graduate of Marist University, Dan covers a wide range of sports topics, creating engaging and evergreen content for DFS enthusiasts and casual fans.
