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Canelo Alvarez vs Avni Yildirim Odds and Pick

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Feb 24, 2021 · 7:58 AM PST

Alvarez vs Yildirim
Does Canelo Alvarez reassert his place as one of boxing's best or will Avni Yilidirim tilt the sweet science world on it's axis this Saturday?
  • Canelo Alvarez versus Avni Yildirim goes Saturday, February 27th, 2021 at 7 PM EST
  • Who emerges with a pair of super middleweight world titles this weekend?
  • Check out the fight odds, analysis, and predictions below

Canelo Alvarez and Avni Yildirim go to war inside the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida on Saturday, February 27th, 2021. Alvarez vs Yildirim broadcasts on DAZN.

The WBA and WBC super-middleweight titles are on the line with Alvarez in the role of the champion while Yildirim’s contending for the gold.

Canelo Alvarez vs Avni Yildirim Odds

Fighter Odds
Canelo Alvarez -10000
Avni Yildirim +1200

Odds taken Feb. 24

Canelo’s First Fight of 2021

Canelo last competed a bit over two months ago when he wrested those aforementioned WBC and WBA super-middleweight belts from the clutches of Callum Smith. Alvarez emerged victorious via unanimous decision in their December 19, 2020 prizefight.

The sole loss of Alvarez’s career came to generational elite Floyd Mayweather. Canelo has achieved world title distinctions across four weight categories.

Canelo Alvarez is regarded by many as the best pound-for-pound fighter of the present day and is unquestionably the biggest star in modern boxing.

Alvarez is taking on the WBC mandatory contender here and is maintaining divisional movement. This bout seemed curious to some with the context of possible title unification bouts against fellow 168-pound champions Caleb Plant and Billy Joe Saunders.

The Saunders fight is being purportedly being looked at for May in the second bout of a two-fight deal with Matchroom Boxing that Canelo signed. This Yildirim bout is largely being seen as a stay busy fight for Canelo until then.

In a previous article, I had posited that Yildirim might get the nod to fight Canelo before some of the fellow divisional elites do.

Avni Yildirim’s Resume

Avni Yildirim is seen by many to be a pretty inauspicious title challenger. It has been over two years since he stepped inside of a ring.

Yildrim’s last outing was also a loss, albeit one with some controversy. He lost via technical split decision after an accidental headbutt cut Anthony Dirrell in the tenth round of their February 2019 WBC super-middleweight world title fight.

Yildirim has held international championships but is presently 0-2 in world title bids. There is presumably a redemptive component to this bout for Avni Yildirim. The 29-year-old aims to show that third time’s the charm in this upcoming championship effort.

It’s hard to see a clear path to victory for Yildirim with a less refined skillset overall. Also, the puncher’s chance narrative isn’t really there either, with the context of Avni Yildirim’s knockout rate being a sliver above fifty percent.

Alvarez vs Yildirim Tale of the Tape

Alvarez
VS
Yildirim

54-1-2 Record 21-2
36 Knockouts 12
5’8 Height 5’11.5
70.5″ Reach 70″
Gennady Golovkin, Sergey Kovalev, Shane Mosley Significant Wins Ryan Ford, Marco Antonio Periban, Aliaksandr Sushchyts
Orthodox Stance Orthodox

Odds on this fight not going the distance are situated at -1430, which is quite telling. Another telling prop bet is Canelo winning via TKO or KO, which is listed at -1250 odds.

The winning group of rounds props is an area I think has good value in this fight which is yielding pretty lopsided numbers mostly. The prop on Canelo getting it done between rounds 1-3 and the prop on him winning between rounds 4-6 is positioned the same at +180.

I think Yildirim will be able to show just enough durability to force a few rounds. So I lean more towards the latter more than the former for those aforementioned group of rounds prop bets.

In summation, I think that Canelo Alvarez secures the stoppage victory between rounds 4 and 6 when Alvarez vs Yildirim goes down.

Pick: Canelo Alvarez (-10000)

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