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Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Best Props to Bet – Diaz TKO

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Updated Aug 4, 2023 · 9:16 AM PDT

Nate Diaz celebrates in the ring
Sep 10, 2022; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Nate Diaz (red gloves) fights Tony Ferguson (blue gloves) during UFC 279 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
  • Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Props are in abundance leading into this weekend
  • What are the top props to go with just days out from fight night?
  • Check out the Paul vs Diaz odds, boxing betting analysis, and predictions below

Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Props are steadily popping up ahead of Saturday night’s fight. The Paul vs Diaz odds still favors Paul at -390, with Diaz listed at -390 in the boxing odds.

Here is the in-depth analysis on which prop bets present good value in this weekend’s throwdown.

Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Prop Bets – Goes the Distance

Goes the Distance Odds
No -225
Yes +165

All odds as of August 3rd at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code for Paul vs Diaz prop betting. Bettors in Kentucky should check out DraftKings Kentucky.  


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Paul vs Diaz Betting Analysis

The line for this one not going the distance makes sense considering a few variables here.

The track records of both men would indicate this, but the emotional build also does as well, with the bad blood reaching a boil between Paul vs Diaz. This is something that I think can inform the complexion of the fight as far as both men being quite pursuant of the finish.

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The ringside judges will not play a role in the verdict of this contest, in my opinion.

Each has showcased that fervent desire to finish fights in recent performances and I can see that manifesting here as well in the verdict of the bout.

Pick: No (-225)

Paul vs Diaz Props- Winning Method

Outcome Odds
Jake Paul by Decision or Technical Decision +350
Jake Paul by KO, TKO, or DQ -150
Draw +1200
Nate Diaz by Decision or Technical Decision +750
Nate Diaz by KO, TKO, or DQ +550

KO Odds Favor Paul

This contest. ‘The Problem Child’ is the larger fighter, has more localized experience in boxing, and has at the very least scared a knockdown in every one of his fights.

With four stoppages in six wins and a discernible size edge over Diaz, it’s understandable why many in the broader public foresee a Paul KO. The renowned durability of Diaz and the triathlete-informed cardio base with his volume-intensive pressure-heavy style will be what triumphs against Paul.

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The opening rounds will allow for Paul to showcase some skills, but I see the veteran taking over and ramping up the intensity as the fight incrementally goes on.

Ultimately, I see Diaz putting away Paul likely via volume-heavy stoppage TKO later on in the fight.

Pick: Diaz via KO or TKO (+550)

Paul vs Diaz Odds – Round Betting

Round Paul Odds Diaz Odds
Rounds 1-2 +900 +4000
Rounds 3-4 +650 +3000
Rounds 5-6 +500 +2200
Rounds 7-8 +550 +2200
Rounds 9-10 +750 +3000
Decision or Tech Decision +350 +750

When Does Paul vs Diaz End?

The lines for this one don’t favor either man winning this fight in the opening cluster few rounds. While Paul is the noticeable favorite throughout, Diaz follows a similar trend of oddsmaker perception that he could finish this one in the middle to later rounds potentially.

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The otherworldly pace of Diaz will be able to supersede Paul’s even though Paul has genuinely shown some ability to generate big finishes/ knockdowns in the later moments of fights.

I think Paul will eventually wilt and fall under a torrent of blows from the pride of Stockton en route to the referee stepping in and declaring it for Diaz in the waning moments of the fight.

Pick: Diaz Rounds 7-8 (+2200)


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