Georgia Tech vs Duke Odds, Predictions, Picks & Props to Target (ACC Tournament)

• The #1 Duke Blue Devils start their ACC Tournament with a quarterfinal game against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
• Duke won by 26 at Georgia Tech back in December
• Below, see the Georgia Tech vs Duke odds, predictions, picks and props to target on March 13

After receiving a double-bye the quarterfinals, the #1 Duke Blue Devils (28-3, 19-1 ACC, 21-10 ATS) will face the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (17-15, 10-10 ACC, 15-17 ATS) in their first game of the ACC Tournament on Thursday afternoon (12:00 pm ET) at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC. Duke had no trouble dusting aside Georgia Tech when the teams met in Atlanta three months ago (82-56) and Thursday’s college basketball odds project a similar outcome.

Georgia Tech vs Duke Odds

Duke is a massive 22.5-point “neutral-court” favorite in Charlotte and an unbettable -15000 on the moneyline, which amounts to a 99.34% implied win probability. The Yellow Jackets come back as +2200 underdogs, while the total is sitting at 143.0.

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The regular-season meeting between these teams in Atlanta ended in an 82-56 rout in favor of the Blue Devils, who easily covered as 15.5-point road favorites. Combining for just 138 points, the game stayed well under its total of 143.5. Kon Knueppel (13.7 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 2.5 APG) led the way with 18 points for the Blue Devils, while Cooper Flagg (19.4 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 4.2 APG), the runaway favorite in the Wooden Award odds, had a quiet night with just 13 points, four rebounds, and two assists in 28 minutes.

Baye Ndongo (13.7 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 1.5 APG0, a 6’9 sophomore forward from Senegal, led the Yellow Jackets with 14 in a losing effort while fellow forward Duncan Powell (11.7 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 0.8 AGP) added 13.

Not only did Duke take over as the #1 team in the polls in the latest iteration, they are also the top-rated team at KenPom, and by a pretty wide margin. Duke has a +39.70 Net Rating, which is nearly four points higher than second-rated Auburn (+35.89). If they finish the season at that number, it will be the highest Net Rating by any team since 1999 when the Shane Battier/Elton Brand/Trajan Langdon Duke team finished at +43.01.

Duke starts the ACC Tournament as the outright favorite in the March Madness odds.

Georgia Tech advanced to the quarterfinals with a 66-60 win over Virginia on Wednesday morning, led by 21 points from Powell and a 16-point, 10-rebound double-double from Ndongo.

GT vs DUKE Player Props

Georgia Tech vs Duke player props as of March 13 at bet365. See the full list of PayPal betting apps.

Flagg leads the points totals on Thursday with a 19.5 over/under, followed by teammate Knueppel at 14.5. Ndongo has the highest total on the Tech side at 13.5, followed by a trio of teammates all at 12.5 for the well-balanced Yellow Jackets.

Ndongo has the highest rebound total at 9.5 followed by Flagg at 7.5. Georgia Tech point guard Naithan George (12.4 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 6.5 AGP) has the highest assist total at 5.5.

The Public’s Pick for Duke vs Georgia Tech

The college basketball public betting splits show in interesting divide. As expected, basically no one is backing the Yellow Jackets to actually win the game; Duke is getting 99% of moneyline handle as of 8:40 am ET. But the ATS splits paint a different picture. Georgia Tech is getting 45% of ATS handle on 52% of ATS wagers.

The public is strongly leaning to the over when it comes to the game total. So far 62% of O/U money is on the game going over 143.0.

Georgia Tech vs Duke Prediction & Picks

• Georgia Tech +22.5 (-100)
• Ndongo under 9.5 rebounds (-120)

When these teams met back in Atlanta in mid-December, not only did Duke shoot the lights out (56.4% from the floor, 40% from three), they also controlled the glass, finishing with a +11 rebound margin (36-25). When you make well over half your shots, of course, it limits the number of defensive rebounds your opponents could grab. But one number really stands out: Georgia Tech’s leading rebounder, Ndongo, finished with just one rebound despite playing over 30 minutes.

The Senegalese sophomore has put up some absolutely massive rebounding numbers the last six weeks (12.3 RPG over his last 11 games) but that’s come amid a torrid 8-3 stretch for the Yellow Jackets. Duke is a different beast. They shoot better than the vast majority of teams (38.7% from three, which is eighth in DI, and 57.7% from two, which is 12th) and they sit top 30 in both offensive and defensive rebound percentage. Khaman Maluach (8.0 PPG, 6.6 RPG), Duke’s 7’2 freshman center, dominated the post against Georgia Tech back in December, scoring 15 points and collecting eight rebounds in just 21 minutes of action.

The Yellow Jackets are playing considerably better over the last two months than they were when these teams first met. I don’t expect Duke to steamroll Georgia Tech the same way they did in December. But I also don’t like the matchup in the post for Ndongo, so I’m going to target the under on his rebound total as well.

Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NCAAM betting record: 42-35 (+3.18 units). All wagers 1 unit unless expressly stated otherwise.