Ole Miss vs Texas Player Props: Manning & Chambliss Best Bets
By Eric Rosales in College Football
Published:
- Ole Miss visits Texas on Saturday night in a marquee SEC showdown in Austin
- I break down quarterback passing milestones and anytime touchdown markets
- Read below for pass-protection splits, recent game logs and my Ole Miss vs Texas player props
The Ole Miss Rebels (5-1) hit the road to clash with the Texas Longhorns (4-2) on Saturday, October 24. Kickoff is slated for 7:30pm ET on ABC from DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. Clear skies and a light 6 mph breeze are in the forecast, so conditions currently look friendly for both passing attacks.
Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss leads a Rebels offense scoring 37.5 points per game behind a sturdy offensive line. Meanwhile, Arch Manning orchestrates a Longhorns attack that spreads the field to playmakers like Cam Coleman and Ryan Wingo.
My Ole Miss vs Texas player props lean on recent form, game logs and pass protection. These sports betting picks include Manning and Chambliss passing milestones.
Ole Miss vs Texas Matchup: Offensive Lines and Defensive Pressure
The biggest Ole Miss vs Texas matchup edge is up front. Texas has surrendered 17 sacks through six games, or 2.83 per contest, which has affected Manning’s pocket presence. Ole Miss allows just 0.83 sacks per game, the best mark in the SEC and tied for 10th in the FBS.
The defensive numbers cut the other way. Texas allows only 166.2 passing yards and 106.3 rushing yards per game with 19 sacks, while Ole Miss gives up 236.5 passing yards per game.
Ole Miss vs Texas Player Props
These Ole Miss vs Texas player props focus on two quarterback passing milestones and the top anytime touchdown prices.
BetMGM prices checked October 23.
Claim the BetMGM promo code before kickoff to get in on these props.
Manning & Chambliss Best Bets
Best Bet #1: Trinidad Chambliss 250+ Passing Yards
- Pick: Trinidad Chambliss 250+ Passing Yards (-110 at BetMGM)
My first Ole Miss vs Texas player prop backs the Rebels’ signal-caller. Chambliss is completing 67.6% of his passes for 1,676 yards, 14 touchdowns and four interceptions through six games.
The Longhorns are a tough draw, yielding just 166.2 passing yards per game while racking up 19 sacks. However, Chambliss is shielded by a line allowing an SEC-best 0.83 sacks per game, which should buy him time against that rush.
He has hit this milestone in three of six games, and he threw for 213 and 241 yards on 30 and 36 attempts in his last two outings. That is close enough to make -110 a fair price, though the Texas pass defense is a real hurdle.
Best Bet #2: Kewan Lacy Anytime Touchdown
- Pick: Kewan Lacy Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-118 at BetMGM)
Lacy’s anytime touchdown price is the shortest of my Ole Miss vs Texas props, and his scoring history backs it. He has found the end zone in four of his five appearances, racking up 352 rushing yards and five touchdowns on 62 carries (5.68 yards per carry).
Most recently, he ran 16 times for 122 yards against Missouri but did not score. Chambliss has six rushing touchdowns of his own, so scoring chances are shared in an offense putting up 37.5 points per game.
Texas allows 106.3 rushing yards per game, which makes this a tougher spot than his raw numbers suggest. Still, if Lacy draws a similar workload, his touchdown rate makes -118 a reasonable price.
Best Bet #3: Arch Manning 250+ Passing Yards
- Pick: Arch Manning 250+ Passing Yards (+110 at BetMGM)
My final Ole Miss vs Texas player prop takes a shot on Manning at plus money. He is averaging 215.8 passing yards per game and has reached 250 in just two of six games, with 305 against Texas State and 260 against Oklahoma.
That hit rate is a meaningful risk, and his protection is a concern after Texas allowed 17 sacks through six games. However, the Rebels’ secondary is giving up 236.5 passing yards per contest.
If the Longhorns trail and are forced into an aggressive passing script, Manning has a clear path to this number. At +110, the price compensates for the risk, but this one depends on game flow.
Ole Miss vs Texas Odds
BetMGM prices checked October 23.
The Ole Miss vs Texas odds make the Longhorns three-point home favorites. A 53.5-point total supports the passing-prop game script, although neither quarterback needs a shootout to reach 250 yards.
Sports Writer & Editor
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.