Penn State vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Big Ten Picks (Nov. 7)

• Penn State heads to Husky Stadium for a Saturday Big Ten clash with Washington
• One side brings the stronger defensive profile and cleaner ball security numbers
• Read below for my Penn State vs Washington prediction and the latest odds

---

The Penn State Nittany Lions travel west to face the Washington Huskies in a Big Ten matchup with both teams chasing a strong November finish. Penn State is 4-4 overall and 1-4 in conference play, while Washington sits at 5-3 and 2-3 in the Big Ten.

Both programs enter off wins. Penn State handled Purdue 31-17, while Washington ground out a 17-10 victory over Nebraska.

Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Nov. 7, at Husky Stadium in Seattle, with the game airing on FS1. Let’s dig into my Penn State vs Washington prediction and the latest prediction market prices.

Penn State vs Washington Prediction & Big Ten Pick

Washington is the slight favorite at home, but I like the visitors at this price. My Penn State vs Washington prediction is built on the Nittany Lions’ defense and their ability to protect the football.

Penn State allows just 296.3 yards and 18.6 points per game. Opponents are converting only 27.6% of their third downs against this unit, which should make it tough for Washington to sustain long drives.

Ball security is the other key. Penn State sits at +6 in turnover margin, with 13 takeaways (nine interceptions and four fumble recoveries) against only seven giveaways.

The Penn State vs Washington numbers show two different profiles. Washington leans on its passing game, while Penn State is more balanced on the ground. The Nittany Lions hold the edge in scoring, total offense and yards allowed.

Washington’s defense has 15 sacks and 12 interceptions, and Penn State has allowed 13 sacks. The Huskies are also +5 in turnover margin. Penn State converts just 36.4% of its third downs, so staying ahead of the chains will matter.

Both teams score on more than 87% of their red zone trips, but Washington has been better at turning those trips into touchdowns (64.7% vs. 59.4%).

A team that limits yardage and controls the turnover battle is worth backing as an underdog. Penn State can lean on its balanced offense, shorten Washington’s possessions and force the Huskies to earn their points.

Penn State vs Washington Odds

Kalshi prices as of Friday, Nov. 6, at about 1:45 p.m. ET. Prices can change.

Kalshi has Washington as the favorite at 55¢, with Penn State available at 46¢ after last trading at 45%. A 46¢ Yes contract pays $1 if Penn State wins, so the breakeven is 46% before fees.

Washington to win by more than 2.5 points sits at 50¢, and the Over 44.5 is at 51¢, so both are close to coin flips. The key Penn State vs Washington odds takeaway is that the market sees a tight game with a small home edge for the Huskies. That’s what makes the Nittany Lions interesting at this price.