College Football Predictions Against the Spread for Every Big Game Today
By Chris Amberley in College Football
Published:
- Today’s college football slate is loaded with marquee matchups
- Oregon gets more than a touchdown in Columbus, while Texas lays less than a field goal at Missouri
- Read below for my college football predictions against the spread for every big game today
Today’s Week 10 ATS college football odds board starts with the Holy War at noon ET and finishes with Miami at Notre Dame and Georgia at Ole Miss. The lines I like most are in between, with Alabama getting six points in Baton Rouge and Oregon catching eight in Columbus.
I’m laying points with five favorites and taking points with two road underdogs. Keep reading for my favorite college football predictions against the spread for every big game today.
College Football Predictions Against the Spread Today (Nov. 7)
BetMGM odds as of early Saturday, Nov. 7. Grab the BetMGM promo code to get in on the action.
Oregon +8 is the best number on the board because it clears 7. Texas -2.5 and Georgia -3.5 sit on opposite sides of 3, which makes them very different bets. Compare lines across the top College Football betting apps.
ATS Analysis for Every Big Game Today
ATS Pick #1: Alabama +6 at LSU
Alabama covers any loss by five or fewer, and a six-point loss pushes. Alabama forced 19 turnovers through eight games, including 12 interceptions. One short field can keep the Tide inside this spread even if LSU wins at home.
The college football public splits show Alabama with 84% of spread tickets and 77.4% of spread handle. I’ll take six and make LSU win by a touchdown.
- Pick: Alabama +6 (-108 at BetMGM)
ATS Pick #2: Texas -2.5 at Missouri
National Championship odds contender Texas sacked Mississippi State seven times in a 31-3 win last week. Arch Manning went 16-for-20 for 220 yards and three scores. At -2.5, even a field-goal win pays.
Texas commands 69.9% of spread tickets and 79.6% of spread handle. Texas needs to win by at least three.
- Pick: Texas -2.5 (-118 at BetMGM)
ATS Pick #3: Oregon +8 at Ohio State
The full point past 7 is the case. A one-touchdown Ohio State win still pays, and an eight-point loss pushes.
Oregon has won two of the last three meetings, so a one-score game is a realistic script. Oregon’s share of the spread handle is 50.3%, an almost even split. My reason for taking eight is what the Ducks can do through the air: Dylan Raiola threw for 336 yards and three touchdowns against Northwestern last time out.
- Pick: Oregon +8 (-111 at BetMGM)
ATS Picks for the Rest of Today’s Big Games
BYU at Utah: A field goal win loses and a four-point Utah win pushes. Utah is garnering 55% of spread handle on 39.4% of tickets, meaning larger average bets on the home side.
- Pick: Utah -4 (-111 at BetMGM)
Kentucky at Tennessee: Tennessee has scored on 26 of 27 red zone trips. Kentucky’s path is takeaways, with 18 forced turnovers, including 12 interceptions. A touchdown win covers. If Tennessee protects the ball, they’ll cover the number.
- Pick: Tennessee -6 (-108 at BetMGM)
Miami at Notre Dame: Miami allows 60.8 rushing yards per game and Notre Dame allows 85.4, so expect fewer long drives. Laying a flat 7 matters here: a one-touchdown Irish win pushes instead of losing.
- Pick: Notre Dame -7 (-115 at BetMGM)
Georgia at Ole Miss: Georgia needs to win by four in Oxford. A field goal won’t cover, so I’m backing the Bulldogs to finish a drive with a touchdown when Ole Miss has to settle for three.
- Pick: Georgia -3.5 (-108 at BetMGM)
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.