Skip to content

Ad Disclosure

Week 11 College Football Picks Against the Spread

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Football

Updated: November 9, 2024 at 3:41 am EST

Published:


Nov 2, 2024; Seattle, Washington, USA; Washington Huskies quarterback Will Rogers (7) celebrates a rushing touchdown by running back Jonah Coleman (1) against the USC Trojans during the first quarter at Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images
  • Check out our expert Week 11 college football picks against the spread for Saturday (Nov. 9)
  • We’re backing two underdogs and one favorite, including Washington (+13.5) and Army (-5.5)
  • See below for detailed Week 11 college football picks against the spread, plus key betting trends

Coming off a perfect 3-0 week with our college football spread picks, we’re back with three more selections for the jam-packed Week 11 slate. I’ve identified two compelling underdogs and one favorite that present solid betting value for Saturday’s action.

For Week 11, I’m targeting a Big-10 road dog with an explosive offense, while also backing an ACC underdog and a service academy favorite in prime spots. The numbers and matchups suggest we should see more close battles this weekend.

Here are my Week 11 college football picks against the spread, complete with detailed analysis and key trends for each selection.

Week 11 CFB ATS Picks

Matchup Pick (Odds)
Washington vs Penn State Washington +13.5 (-110)
Duke vs NC State Duke +3 (-110)
Army vs North Texas Army -2.5 (-120)

My Week 11 college football picks against the spread feature three intriguing matchups across different conferences. I’ve identified key betting value in each contest and provided analysis below.

Washington vs Penn State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Washington +13.5 (-110) +400 Over 46.5 (-110)
Penn State -13.5 (-110) -500 Under 46.5 (-110)
DRAFTKINGS
SPORTSBOOK


Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets + $50 Deposit Bonus

LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
BET $5
GET $200

GET PROMO

All odds as of November 9th at ESPN Sportsbook. Visit the top college football betting apps for CFB against the spread betting.

Pick #1: Washington +13.5 (at Penn State)

Let me tell you why I love the Huskies as nearly two-touchdown underdogs in Happy Valley. Washington has been money in big spots this season, going 9-0 straight up in November games and showing they can compete with anyone after that thrilling win over USC last week.

Sure, Penn State’s defense is legit, but they’re coming off a brutal loss to Ohio State, where their offense looked completely lost, managing just 13 points. Meanwhile, Will Rogers has been lighting it up for Washington, completing over 71% of his passes and giving the Huskies a real shot to keep this one close.

The White Out atmosphere at Beaver Stadium will be electric, no doubt. But this Washington team isn’t your typical West Coast squad that wilts under pressure. They’ve covered in eight of their last eleven road games and have the offensive firepower to trade punches with anyone.

With the total sitting at just 46.5 points, this projects as the kind of tight, defensive battle where two touchdowns is way too many points to lay. Penn State might win outright, but Washington has too much talent to get blown out here.

  • Pick: Washington +13.5 (-110)

Duke vs NC State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Duke +3 (-110) +140 Over 44.5 (-110)
NC State -3 (-110) -160 Under 44.5 (-110)

Pick #2: Duke +3 (at NC State)

Don’t sleep on the Blue Devils as short road dogs in Raleigh. Duke has been an absolute ATM machine against non-ranked opponents this season, covering seven of their last eight in these spots. Maalik Murphy might’ve had a rough outing last week, but this kid has shown he can bounce back – he’s thrown for over 2,100 yards with 20 TDs this season.

The Wolfpack have been a mess at home against the spread lately, failing to cover five of their last six at Carter-Finley. That’s not exactly inspiring confidence when laying points, even if it’s just a field goal.

YouTube video

Star Thomas has been a revelation in Duke’s backfield, already over 700 yards rushing. Between him and receiving threats Jordan Moore and Eli Pancol, the Blue Devils have enough weapons to move the chains consistently.

Look, NC State’s defense has been dealing with injuries, and they’re giving up way too many chunk plays. Duke’s been battle-tested all year, and I trust them to keep this one tight – don’t be shocked if they win outright.

  • Pick: Duke +3 (-110)

Army vs North Texas Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
North Texas +2.5 (+100) +120 Over 62.5 (-110)
Army -2.5 (-120) -140 Under 62.5 (-110)

Pick #3: Army -5.5 (vs North Texas)

I’m wrapping up my Week 11 college football picks against the spread by backing Army as a favorite. Sharp money has been hammering the Black Knights, pushing this line from -2.5 to -5.5 at some books, and I completely understand why.

Army has been an absolute covering machine this season, going 5-1-1 ATS overall and 4-1-1 when favored by 5.5 or more. Their defense has been suffocating, allowing just 9.3 yards per reception – best among non-Power Five teams. When you’re facing an option attack this disciplined, that extra time to prepare is absolutely crucial.

The Mean Green can sling it with Chandler Morris (2,873 passing yards), but here’s the thing – they’re 1-6 when averaging under 5 yards per rush. Good luck establishing the run against an Army defense that’s been brick-wall solid.

Kanye Udoh has been a beast for Army, averaging nearly 100 yards per game with nine scores. Against a North Texas defense that’s been gashed on the ground, the Black Knights should control the clock and cover this number.

  • Pick: Army -2.5 (-120)

Brady’s 2024 CFB ATS Picks Record: 22-11 (Last Week: 3-0)

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

Entertainment NFL NHL NCAAF

Recommended Reading


sports betting dime logo

Unfiltered sports betting coverage every fan needs — squeezed into your inbox before dinner.

Sign Up Now!

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy, to receive updates and offers and confirm you are 21+ and have never self excluded from betting or gambling. Unsubscribe at any time. Please gamble responsibly. Need help? 1-800-GAMBLER