Week 11 College Football Picks Against the Spread

By Brady Trettenero in College Football
Updated: November 9, 2024 at 3:41 am ESTPublished:

- Check out our expert Week 11 college football picks against the spread for Saturday (Nov. 9)
- We’re backing two underdogs and one favorite, including Washington (+13.5) and Army (-5.5)
- See below for detailed Week 11 college football picks against the spread, plus key betting trends
Coming off a perfect 3-0 week with our college football spread picks, we’re back with three more selections for the jam-packed Week 11 slate. I’ve identified two compelling underdogs and one favorite that present solid betting value for Saturday’s action.
For Week 11, I’m targeting a Big-10 road dog with an explosive offense, while also backing an ACC underdog and a service academy favorite in prime spots. The numbers and matchups suggest we should see more close battles this weekend.
Here are my Week 11 college football picks against the spread, complete with detailed analysis and key trends for each selection.
Week 11 CFB ATS Picks
Matchup | Pick (Odds) |
---|---|
Washington vs Penn State | Washington +13.5 (-110) |
Duke vs NC State | Duke +3 (-110) |
Army vs North Texas | Army -2.5 (-120) |
My Week 11 college football picks against the spread feature three intriguing matchups across different conferences. I’ve identified key betting value in each contest and provided analysis below.
Washington vs Penn State Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Washington | +13.5 (-110) | +400 | Over 46.5 (-110) |
Penn State | -13.5 (-110) | -500 | Under 46.5 (-110) |

All odds as of November 9th at ESPN Sportsbook. Visit the top college football betting apps for CFB against the spread betting.
Pick #1: Washington +13.5 (at Penn State)
Let me tell you why I love the Huskies as nearly two-touchdown underdogs in Happy Valley. Washington has been money in big spots this season, going 9-0 straight up in November games and showing they can compete with anyone after that thrilling win over USC last week.
Sure, Penn State’s defense is legit, but they’re coming off a brutal loss to Ohio State, where their offense looked completely lost, managing just 13 points. Meanwhile, Will Rogers has been lighting it up for Washington, completing over 71% of his passes and giving the Huskies a real shot to keep this one close.
Watch every Will Rogers completion against Michigan. ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/aZByZUYUvu
— NBC Sports (@NBCSports) October 8, 2024
The White Out atmosphere at Beaver Stadium will be electric, no doubt. But this Washington team isn’t your typical West Coast squad that wilts under pressure. They’ve covered in eight of their last eleven road games and have the offensive firepower to trade punches with anyone.
With the total sitting at just 46.5 points, this projects as the kind of tight, defensive battle where two touchdowns is way too many points to lay. Penn State might win outright, but Washington has too much talent to get blown out here.
- Pick: Washington +13.5 (-110)
Duke vs NC State Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Duke | +3 (-110) | +140 | Over 44.5 (-110) |
NC State | -3 (-110) | -160 | Under 44.5 (-110) |
Pick #2: Duke +3 (at NC State)
Don’t sleep on the Blue Devils as short road dogs in Raleigh. Duke has been an absolute ATM machine against non-ranked opponents this season, covering seven of their last eight in these spots. Maalik Murphy might’ve had a rough outing last week, but this kid has shown he can bounce back – he’s thrown for over 2,100 yards with 20 TDs this season.
The Wolfpack have been a mess at home against the spread lately, failing to cover five of their last six at Carter-Finley. That’s not exactly inspiring confidence when laying points, even if it’s just a field goal.

Star Thomas has been a revelation in Duke’s backfield, already over 700 yards rushing. Between him and receiving threats Jordan Moore and Eli Pancol, the Blue Devils have enough weapons to move the chains consistently.
Look, NC State’s defense has been dealing with injuries, and they’re giving up way too many chunk plays. Duke’s been battle-tested all year, and I trust them to keep this one tight – don’t be shocked if they win outright.
- Pick: Duke +3 (-110)
Army vs North Texas Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
North Texas | +2.5 (+100) | +120 | Over 62.5 (-110) |
Army | -2.5 (-120) | -140 | Under 62.5 (-110) |
Pick #3: Army -5.5 (vs North Texas)
I’m wrapping up my Week 11 college football picks against the spread by backing Army as a favorite. Sharp money has been hammering the Black Knights, pushing this line from -2.5 to -5.5 at some books, and I completely understand why.
Army has been an absolute covering machine this season, going 5-1-1 ATS overall and 4-1-1 when favored by 5.5 or more. Their defense has been suffocating, allowing just 9.3 yards per reception – best among non-Power Five teams. When you’re facing an option attack this disciplined, that extra time to prepare is absolutely crucial.
The Army defense sends Michie Stadium into a frenzy. pic.twitter.com/ZMv9byZdEw
— CBS Sports College Football 🏈 (@CBSSportsCFB) November 2, 2024
The Mean Green can sling it with Chandler Morris (2,873 passing yards), but here’s the thing – they’re 1-6 when averaging under 5 yards per rush. Good luck establishing the run against an Army defense that’s been brick-wall solid.
Kanye Udoh has been a beast for Army, averaging nearly 100 yards per game with nine scores. Against a North Texas defense that’s been gashed on the ground, the Black Knights should control the clock and cover this number.
- Pick: Army -2.5 (-120)
Brady’s 2024 CFB ATS Picks Record: 22-11 (Last Week: 3-0)
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.