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2019 Golden Globes Odds and Best Bets for Each Category

A Star is Born
Bradley Cooper and Lady Gaga are expected to win big at the Golden Globes with their latest flick, A Star is Born. Photo by Warner Bros. Pictures.
  • The 76th Golden Globes takes place on Sunday, January 6th
  • Vice and The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story lead with the most nominations
  • Here’s a look at the odds for the key categories

The 76th Golden Globes are set to take place this Sunday, January 6th at The Beverly Hilton and will be airing live on NBC. Andy Samberg and Sandra Oh will host the proceedings for another fun night of television and film awards.

Vice leads the nominations for the film categories, with six nods that include Best Musical or Comedy and Best Actor in a Musical or ComedyThe Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story leads the small screen categories, with four nods.

We’ve already covered Best Actress in a Motion Picture — Musical or ComedyBest Animated Motion PictureBest Television Series — Drama, and Best Television Series — Musical or Comedy. Now it’s time for the others!

76th Golden Globe Awards Odds

Odds for Best Motion Picture – Drama

Best Motion Picture – Drama Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
A Star is Born -450 -500
If Beale Street Could Talk +550 +500
BlacKKKlansman +1100 +750
Black Panther +1100 +1100
Bohemian Rhapsody +1600 +1600

The bookmakers have A Star is Born as the clear favorite to win the coveted Best Drama award. Bradley Cooper showed himself to be an actor who can sing, and Lady Gaga a singer who can act. The film is an example of a well-executed remake, but the odds seem a little too favorable.

BlacKKKlansman, Spike Lee’s latest project, is where the value is. It’s one of the most topical and politically relevant films of our time, and the critical response so far hints at a successful night at the Globes. Bovada is offering +1100 odds, which is just too good to pass on.

Pick: BlacKKKlansman (+1100 at Bovada)

Odds for Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
Green Book +115 +100
The Favorite +160 +200
Vice +300 +350
Mary Poppins Returns +1400 +900
Crazy Rich Asians +2500 +1000

Green Book is the slight favorite to win Best Musical or Comedy, but in my opinion, The Favorite should be… well, the favorite. The British period piece has already swept all the awards from across the pond, and looks poised to take North America by storm.

Aside from Green Book, there isn’t much competition for The Favorite. Vice looked promising but proved underwhelming, and Mary Poppins Returns and Crazy Rich Asians aren’t serious contenders for the award.

Pick: The Favorite (+200 at BetOnline)

Odds for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born) -300 -300
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) +250 +225
Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate) +1400 +1000
John David Washington (BlacKKKlansman) +1800 +1000
Lucas Hedges (Boy Erased) +1800 +1400

This seems to be a relatively quiet year for the award. Bradley Cooper’s performance in A Star is Born is the heavy favorite and doesn’t seem to be facing much competition. Cooper, who is both star and director, demonstrates a versatility we’re not used to seeing from him and the film marks a stunning return to form.

Rami Malek is the only viable challenger for the award, with his portrayal of Freddie Mercury in Bohemian Rhapsody. The film itself could be considered a flop, but Malek’s performance is the saving grace. He’s the only reason to sit through the two-hour musical bipoic , and that alone should earn him a Golden Globe.

Pick: Rami Malek (+250 at Bovada)

Odds for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Best Actor in a Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
Christian Bale (Vice) -170 -145
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book) +185 +150
Robert Redford (The Old Man and the Gun) +800 +700
John C. Reilly (Stan & Ollie) +1600 +1200
Lin-Manuel Miranda (Mary Poppins Returns) +1600 +1200

Christian Bale is the odds-on favorite to win Best Actor for a Musical or Comedy with his role as Dick Cheney in Vice. It’s not just that he made Cheney seem like a bloodthirsty war criminal; anybody could do that. It’s that he found a way to make the audience actually feel sorry for the guy. The film itself is unremarkable but Bale’s performance is fantastic.

Viggo Mortensen is the only real challenger, with his portrayal of a loud-mouth Italian driver in Green Book. It’s a good performance, but it shouldn’t be enough to deny Bale the prize.

Pick: Christian Bale (-145)

Odds for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Best Actress in a Motion Picture — Drama Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
Lady Gaga (A Star is Born) -250 -275
Glenn Close (The Wife) +275 +275
Nicole Kidman (Destroyer) +1100 +900
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +1200 +1000
Rosamund Pike (A Private War) +1400 +1200

Lady Gaga is the very heavy favorite after her impressive performance in A Star is Born. When a singer tries their hand at acting, expectations are always low. And Lady Gaga certainly silenced her doubters. But that shouldn’t be enough to make her such an overwhelming favorite.

Glenn Close’s performance in The Wife is far more deserving of the award and has already won several accolades.

Pick: Glenn Close (+275)

Odds for Best Director

Best Director Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
Alfonso Cuaron (Roma) -250 -250
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born) +275 +250
Adam McKay (Vice) +1000 +900
Spike Lee (BlacKKKlansman) +1400 +900
Peter Farrelly (Green Book) +1600 +1600

This one should go to Alfonso Cuaron. Bradley Cooper surpassed expectations with his directorial debut and Adam McKay received praise for Vice, but neither deserve the award. Roma is a powerful autobiographical film that should earn Cuaron his second Golden Globe for Best Director.

Pick: Alfonso Cuaron (-250)

Odds for Best Foreign Language Motion Picture

Best Foreign Language Motion Picture Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
Roma (Mexico) -600 N/A
Never Look Away (Germany) +650 N/A
Shoplifters (Japan) +800 N/A
Capernaum (Lebanon) +1800 N/A
Girl (Belgium) +1800 N/A

There’s not much to say here. Roma should easily claim this award. There’s not much to be made from the -600, but it’s easy money.

Pick: Roma (-600)

Odds for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
Mahershala Ali (Green Book) -130 -175
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +180 +500
Timothee Chalamet (Beautiful Boy) +400 +200
Adam Driver (BlacKKKlansman) +2000 +2000
Sam Rockwell (Vice) +2500 +1200

Mahershala Ali won the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor with his performance in Moonlight, and now he looks set to win the Golden Globe equivalent with his performance in Green Book.

However, BetOnline is offering Richard E. Grant at +500 odds, which seems a little too good to be true, especially when compared to Bovada’s +180. Grant has received widespread acclaim for his role in Can You Ever Forgive Me?, and has already received a ton of nominations. This is where the value is.

Pick: Richard E. Grant (+500 at BetOnline)

Odds for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) -250 -160
Amy Adams (Vice) +235 +140
Emma Stone (The Favorite) +1200 +1400
Claire Foy (First Man) +1400 +1400
Rachel Weisz (The Favorite) +2000 +1000

This category seems ripe for an underdog success story. The Favorite has two nominees for the award, and both seem to have a realistic shot despite their long odds.

Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz play second fiddle to Olivia Colman (both figuratively and literally), and they make a fantastic trio. Bovada gives the option of Rachel Weisz at a ludicrous +2000, making her the clear value pick.

Pick: Rachel Weisz (+2000 at Bovada)

Odds for Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture for Television

Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture For Television Odds at Bovada Odds at BetOnline
The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story -150 N/A
Sharp Objects +200 N/A
A Very English Scandal +400 N/A
Escape at Dannemora +2000 N/A
The Alienist +2000 N/A

The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story dominated the Primetime Emmys and it should do the same with this category. HBO’s Sharp Objects or the BBC’s A Very English Scandal could pinch the award, but that seems unlikely.

Pick: The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (-150 at Bovada)

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Don Aguero is a man of many talents, writing about nearly anything you can put odds to. Don has been writing for SportsBettingDime since 2015, covering sports, entertainment and politics. You name it, he's covered it! He is also a steadfast West Ham fan, and has learned to embrace that suffering.