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Updated 2019 WGC-Mexico Odds Entering the Weekend

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Mar 25, 2020 · 12:04 PM PDT

Dustin Johnson PGA Tour
Dustin Johnson played a bogey-free first 36 holes at the 2019 WGC-Mexico. Photo from @ABCColumbia (Twitter).
  • Dustin Johnson takes a two-shot lead into the weekend
  • Tiger Woods lurking just six back of DJ
  • See the updated live odds entering Saturday of the 2019 WGC-Mexico

The 2017 WGC-Mexico champion, Dustin Johnson, is in search of his second win in three years at this event. He’s been putting on a clinic with stress free golf through 36 bogey-free holes to take a two shot lead into the weekend.

There are a host of big names behind him, not the least of which is four-time major champ Rory McIlroy, who has been playing some great golf of late, although he had some uncharacteristic missed putts from short range to stall his round Friday.

Live 2019 WGC-Mexico Championship Odds

Golfer Position Score Rounds Odds to Win
Dustin Johnson 1st -11 64, 67 +140
Rory McIlroy T-2nd -9 63, 70 +350
Matt Kuchar T-2nd -9 66, 67 +700
Tommy Fleetwood T-4th -7 70, 65 +800
Sergio Garcia T-4th -7 69, 66 +1400
Ian Poulter T-6th -6 68, 68 +3300
Cameron Smith T-6th -6 69, 67 +3300
Tiger Woods T-8th -5 71, 66 +1800
Tyrrell Hatton T-8th -5 67, 70 +5000
Charles Howell III T-8th -5 69, 68 +6600
Kiradech Aphibarnrat T-8th -5 68, 69 +10000
Richard Sterne T-8th -5 69, 68 +12500

Odds taken Feb 22.

Dustin Johnson poised to take control of WGC-Mexico Championship

It is very hard to imagine Dustin Johnson throwing away an opportunity for his sixth career WGC title, having played a masterful first 36 holes.

He’s hit 30 of 36 greens and is the only golfer without a blemish on his card in the first two days.

If you bet Johnson at the +1000 odds he opened with to win the WGC-Mexico, you’re laughing. But you’re also aware you’re not getting paid out yet.

While this isn’t a major tournament, DJ has often disappointed fans with an inability to close out the biggest events in golf.

For those hoping he falters, keep in mind what he did at the WGC-HSBC Champions in late 2017, where he kicked away a six shot lead.

Bank on a Rory McIlroy bounce back on the weekend

First-round leader Rory McIlroy looked like he was going to run away with it following three birdies in his first four holes Friday. But then he missed a series of short putts, including a four-putt double-bogey on 9.

He bounced back with a respectable 1-under, 35, on the back nine and finds himself in a tie for second.

Consider this his bad round for the week. It’d be shocking if the Ulsterman didn’t contend deep into Sunday and that’s who I would put a wager on.

He has three top-5 finishes in his last 3 tournaments.

Tiger Woods lurking six shots back of Dustin Johnson

In each of his first three events in 2019 Tiger Woods has started slowly and needed to play catch-up in a big way. His fantastic 5-under, 66, has helped his cause and has him within shouting distance of DJ.

His 18th hole, the 9th hole of the course, bunker shot on Friday was sublime, so expect more fireworks for the 18-time WGC champ.

His +1800 odds present decent, not great, value. But monitor that throughout the round, because if he starts slowly, that betting line will increase and that’s when you can jump on the big cat.

Best Live Value Picks at 2019 WGC-Mexico

  1. Cameron Smith (+3300): Everyone has been waiting for the talented young Aussie to break through in a big way. This could be his weekend.
  2. Justin Thomas (+5000): Sure, he’s eight back after a miserable 73. But he fired 62-64 last year here on the weekend to erase an 11-stroke deficit to get into a playoff with Phil Mickelson.
  3. Kiradech Aphibarnrat (+10000): The big fella has big-time game and is ready to make his mark on the PGA Tour. When he gets hot with the putter, look out. Amazing odds for a strong player just six strokes back.
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