Best MLB Player Prop Picks for Wednesday, August 9th, Including Strikeout Props for Kevin Gausman & Graham Ashcraft

• MLB player props are available for Wednesday’s MLB betting slate
• Kevin Gausman has a K/inning of 1.34, which is in the 93rd percentile of all starting pitchers in the MLB
• Check out the best MLB player prop picks for Wednesday, August 9th below

Wednesday’s are always fun because we get day games, with the first game of Wednesday’s MLB betting slate starting at 12:35 PM ET.

For our first pick, we will be heading to Cleveland and taking Kevin Gausman to go over 5.5 strikeouts against the Guardians.

MLB Player Prop Picks for Wednesday, August 9th

The Guardians don’t strikeout a lot, which is why this over/under is as low as it is, but at the same time 5.5 is still too low, as Gausman is one of the elite strikeout pitchers in the MLB.

So, we will gladly take advantage of this mis-priced line, albeit for -145 odds.

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MLB Player Prop #1: Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts

I get that the Guardians are one of the least strikeout teams in the MLB, but Gausman has had 22 starts on the year, and he has gone over this number 17 times. That is a hit rate of 77%, and he has also recorded 6+ strikeouts in his last 7 games as well.

Kevin Gausman, Filthy Splitters. ✌️✌️

2Ks in the 1st. pic.twitter.com/faN2oRy6Lr

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 3, 2023

His advanced numbers are just ridiculous when it comes to strikeouts. As mentioned above, his K/inning is 1.34, which is in the 93rd percentile of all starting pitchers in the MLB.

Digging even deeper, he has a strikeout rate of 32.8%, which is the second-best in the MLB, only behind Spencer Strider. If K/9 is your preferred stat, well he is elite in that category as well, with a K/9 of 12.07, which is a career high for Gausman and also the second-best in the MLB once again to Strider.

Overall, 5.5 strikeouts is a number that is simply too low for a pitcher of Gausman’s caliber, but good news for us for our first pick of the day.

Pick: Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-145) 

MLB Player Prop #2: Graham Ashcraft Under 3.5 Strikeouts

For our first pick we are backing an elite strikeout pitcher, and with our second pick we will be doing the exact opposite- fading one of the worst strikeout pitchers in the MLB for plus-money odds.

Ashcraft went over this strikeout prop in his first four starts of the year, but since then he has only gone over in 5 of 16 starts. 3.5 is obviously a low number, but it’s tough to see him getting to 4+ strikeouts in this one.

For starters, he’s among the worst pitchers in all of baseball in terms of strikeout numbers. His K/inning is 0.72, which is in the 11th-percentile, his strikeout rate is 16.4%, which would be the sixth-worst in the MLB if he had pitched enough innings to qualify. Pretty much any way you slice it, Ashcraft does not get guys to strikeout.

This Marlins team isn’t quite the same level as the Guardians in terms of how infrequently they strikeout, but they are still among the lowest teams. Their team strikeout rate is 21.3%, which is the seventh-lowest in the MLB, and in the past week that number is even lower, dropping to 20.9%.

Pick: Graham Ashcraft Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+132)