Best MLB Player Prop Picks for Friday, August 11th, Including a +500 Home Run Prediction

There’s no better way to start a weekend than to lock in some MLB player props, and for this article we have two to hammer.

First up, we are heading to Seattle and taking Baltimore’s Kyle Gibson to get over 5.5 strikeouts on Friday.

MLB Player Prop Picks for Friday, August 11th

Gibson isn’t known for being a huge strikeout pitcher, but against a team like the Mariners he doesn’t need to be in order to get to 6+ Ks.

The Mariners strikeout 25.5% of the time against righties, which, as mentioned above, is the third-highest in the MLB.

Odds as of August 10 at FanDuel. Lock in a FanDuel promo code to bet on Friday’s best MLB home run props. 

MLB Player Prop #1: Kyle Gibson Over 5.5 Strikeouts

When it comes to strikeout props, sometimes you have a situation arise where you are taking an over for a player such as Kyle Gibson, who has a 19.9% strikeout rate, which is pretty low. The thing is, he has shown to the ability to get it done against teams who love to strikeout, of which the Mariners qualify.

In his last start he struck out the Mets eight times, and a couple starts prior to that he had the pleasure of going up against the Twins (highest strikeout rate in the MLB), and was able to record 11 strikeouts in that start.

So, the point here is that Gibson has the capability of getting us over 5.5 strikeouts against the Mariners. In the past 14 days, they are somehow striking out even more than they were before, with a team strikeout rate of 26% in the past two weeks.

Of their qualified batters, four of them strikeout over 25% of the time, with two actually over 30%. They also have a fifth in Julio Rodriguez, who strikes out 24.1% of the time. Gibson should have no issues mowing down six of them.

Pick: Kyle Gibson Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+124)

MLB Player Prop #2: Nolan Jones to Hit a Home Run

Next up, let’s go with a dinger prop and count on Colorado’s Nolan Jones to smack one deep in LA on Friday against the Dodgers. It was just a couple days ago when Jones got two to go yard against the Dodgers, but all we need for Friday is one.

The Rockies don’t have much going for them, but they do have a player in Jones. His season long stats don’t look super impressive, but digging deeper shows a batter that has some potential. Overall, on the entire year he has an ISO rate of 22.8% and a barrel rate of 13.9%, both of which are considered great by FanGraphs standards.

When you look at the splits that are a little more recent, though, is where things start to get a more juicy. Since the all-star break, so starting on July 14th, Jones’ ISO rate jumps up to 29.2%, which is in the excellent category, again by FanGraphs standards.

He has hit 6 home runs in that span, so let’s look for that to be 7 after Friday night.

Pick: Nolan Jones to Hit a Home Run (+500)