Best MLB Player Prop Picks for Friday, July 14th, Including Strikeout Props for Charlie Morton & Corbin Burnes

• MLB player props are available for Friday’s MLB betting slate
• The White Sox strike out the 11th-most in the MLB against RHP
• Check out the best MLB player prop picks for July 14, below

Baseball is back! And with that, we have some MLB player props to hammer with the return of games post All-Star break.

First up, we will be backing Charlie Morton to go over 6.5 strikeouts when his Atlanta Braves host the White Sox.

Best MLB Player-Prop Bets on Friday, July 14

The White Sox do have a number of solid hitters in their lineup, but they also strike out a decent amount as well. Due to that fact, we love Morton to record at least seven Ks on Friday.

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MLB Player Prop #1: Charlie Morton Over 6.5 Strikeouts

Charlie Morton isn’t known as being a huge strikeout pitcher, and he’s certainly no Spencer Strider. But for this spot, he is a great bet to record at least seven strikeouts against the White Sox. For starters, he isn’t a bad strikeout pitcher by any means. Despite being 39 years old and in the MLB since 2008, his strikeout rate is still a respectable 26.1%. That ranks him 20th in the MLB, ahead of pitchers such as Aaron Nola, Shane McClanahan, and Gerrit Cole.

Charlie Morton’s fWAR 👀

2022 (1.5 fWAR)
2023 (1.7) pic.twitter.com/HSxVmeYJRU

— Kevin Keneely (@KevinKeneely1) July 8, 2023

Morton’s other advanced stats also show a respectable to above-average strikeout pitcher. His K/inning is 1.14 (73rd percentile); his swinging strike rate is 12.8% (73rd percentile); and his called strike + whiff rate is 31.2% (83rd percentile). Another reason I like backing Morton is because he consistently throws roughly 100 pitches in a game, and is generally a good bet to pitch six-plus innings. In the modern MLB, with teams being overly cautious with the amount of work a pitcher has, it’s refreshing to have someone like Morton who is reliable to pitch deep into games.

As for the White Sox, I mentioned above that they strike out the 11th-most in the MLB against right-handed pitching, striking out 23.3% of the time. If you isolate to the last 14 days, that number skyrockets to 26.6%, which is the second-most in the MLB during that same span.

Pick: Charlie Morton Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+105)

MLB Player Prop #2: Corbin Burnes Under 6.5 Strikeouts

For our second play of the day, we are going with another plus-money banger strikeout prop, this time taking an under and fading Corbin Burnes. Burnes had an excellent stretch from 2020-2022, but he has not been the same pitcher this year as he was the last three, especially in the strikeout department.

He had gone three straight seasons with a strikeout rate above 30%, but this year that number is down to 23.1%. His K/9 of 8.55 is also the lowest it has been in his career since 2018. Unsurprisingly, he has only recorded seven or more strikeouts once in his last four games, and in that game he had exactly seven.

The main reason I like fading Burnes, though, is because of the matchup. Since Elly De La Cruz made his debut on June 6, the Reds have been on fire. They have the fifth-best WRC+, the fourth-best WAR, and a 21.5% strikeout rate, which puts them ninth-lowest in the MLB during that span.

Burnes actually just faced this Reds lineup and had a respectable outing, going six innings and only giving up two earned runs, but did go under the 6.5 strikeout number as well.

Pick: Corbin Burnes Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+102)