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Best MLB Player Prop Picks for Wednesday, June 21, Including Strikeout Props for Sandy Alcantara & Taj Bradley

Matt Modi

by Matt Modi in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 20, 2023 · 10:45 PM PDT

Miami Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara walking off the mound
Jun 4, 2023; Miami, Florida, USA; Miami Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara (22) looks on against the Oakland Athletics during the first inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
  • MLB player props are available for Wednesday’s MLB betting slate
  • Alcantara has gone under 5.5 strikeouts in five of his last six starts.
  • Check out the best MLB player prop picks for June 20th, below

We have another full slate of MLB games on this beautiful Wednesday, with a couple day games as well, which is always exciting.

For our first pick, we will head to Miami and fade Alcantara to go under his strikeout prop of 5.5.

Best MLB Player Props – Wednesday, June 21st

Prop Odds
Sandy Alcantara Under 5.5 Strikeouts -130
Taj Bradley Over 5.5 Strikeouts -122

Our first pick of the evening will be an under strikeout prop, as we are taking Alcantara to record five or fewer strikeouts. I admittedly don’t love the -130 odds, but this should be closer to -180.

 

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Odds as of June 20 at FanDuel. Claim a FanDuel promo code to bet on Wednesday’s MLB player props. 

MLB Player Prop #1: Sandy Alcantara Under 5.5 Strikeouts

Alcantara has been an ace pitcher for the past couple years, but in 2023 he is a far cry from what he has been previously. Last year, he had an ERA of 2.28, and a strikeout rate of 23.4%. He has actually had a strikeout rate above 20% for the past three years, but that is not the case this year.

His ERA is up to 4.97, and he has a strikeout rate of 19.4%. For reference, that puts him at 55th in the entire MLB in terms of strikeout rate. To even be in the top 30, he would need a strikeout rate of 25% and above. This is also the highest his walk rate has been since the 2020 season, with a walk rate of 7.3%. All in all, it hasn’t been great for Alcantara.

Sandy Alcantara – Last Six Starts

Team Ks Date
Washington Nationals 1 6/16
Chicago White Sox 4 6/10
Oakland Athletics 7 6/4
San Diego Padres 3 5/30
Colorado Rockies 3 5/24
San Francisco Giants 5 5/19

As if this play couldn’t get any better, we haven’t even talked about the Blue Jays yet, who pretty much never strikeout. Against right-handed pitchers, the Blue Jays strike out 20.7% of the time, which is the 5th-lowest in the entire MLB. If you isolate the date range to the past 14 days, that number is down to 20.1%, which is the 4th-lowest in the MLB.

Of all players who qualify, they only have one batter who strikes out over 25% of that time, and that would be Matt Chapman at 27.1%. Staples in their lineup such as Bo Bichette (16.8%), George Springer (15.9%), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (15.6%) rarely strike out.

Pick: Sandy Alcantara Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130)

MLB Player Prop #2: Taj Bradley Over 5.5 Strikeouts

We went with Bradley in a previous article, and he rewarded us with 11 beautiful strikeouts, so we are going back to the well and backing Bradley to record 6+ strikeouts. I get why this one feels a little bit scary, as the Orioles just dinged up Rays ace pitcher Tyler Glasnow to the tune of 6 hits, 6 earned runs in only 4.1 innings pitched.

Here’s the thing, though: Glasnow still struck out 7 batters despite all those struggles. All we’re asking for is Bradley to get 6, and it’s unlikely that the Orioles have the same amount of success against back-to-back stud pitches in Tampa.

That last start from Bradley was filthy, too, as evidenced above. Overall, Bradley ranks in the 98th percentile of all pitchers with a K/inning of 1.47. If strikeout rate is your preferred stat, well, Bradley has you covered there as well, with an absurd strikeout rate of 34.1%.

Remember how I said above that to be top 30 you’d need to be above 25%? Well, Bradley is well above that, and his 34.1% number ranks second in the MLB of all pitchers that have pitched at least 40 innings. Only Spencer Strider is above him.

Pick: Taj Bradley Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-122)

 

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