- The Atlanta Braves are -120 away favorites over the Miami Marlins in a National League afternoon game slated for Saturday, August 13
- It’s the first game of a day/night doubleheader between these NL East rivals
- Atlanta is 8-3 straight up in the past 11 road games against the Marlins
The Miami Marlins (50-62, 23-29 home) might be a welcome sight to the Atlanta Braves (66-46, 29-24 away). Atlanta is 4-0 straight up in the last four games against teams from outside the National League East Division. However, the Braves are 3-6 SU in their last nine games against NL East opposition.
When it comes to the Marlins, though, the Braves generally are finding a path to victory. Overall, Atlanta is 5-2 SU in the past seven games against the Marlins. At Miami, the Braves are 8-3 SU over the last 11 games there.
It’s Atlanta that oddsmakers are setting as -120 road favorites in Saturday’s opener of a day/night twin bill. The Braves are 20-13 against the run line as a road favorite this season.
First pitch at loanDepot Park is set for 1:10pm ET on Saturday, August 13. Thunderstorms are in the forecast, with 9 mph wind and a temperature of 89 degrees.
Braves vs Marlins Odds
|Atlanta Braves||-120||-1.5 (+143)||O 7 (+100)|
|Miami Marlins||+100||+1.5 (-170)||U 7 (-120)|
Odds as of August 13th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes.
At odds of -120, the Braves are offering an implied probability of victory of 54.55% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Atlanta would deliver a payout of $18.30.
The MLB betting trends show that in the NL Division odds, Atlanta is +310 to win the NL East, with Miami set at odds of +4000. The MLB pennant odds show the Braves at +550 to win the NL flag, while Miami is at +100000. Defending champion Atlanta is pulling odds of +1200 to win the World Series odds. You’ll get a betting line of +200000 on the Marlins winning the Fall Classic.
Atlanta vs Miami Probable Pitchers
Rookie Braves left-hander Kyle Muller is being recalled from Triple-A Gwinnnett to pitch the opener of this doubleheader. He’ll be making his second MLB start of the season and ninth of his career.
Kyle Muller is being given the ball to start game 1 of tomorrows double header.
Kyle Wright is dealing with arm fatigue and may get his next start skipped.
Muller has a 3.27 ERA, 3.41 FIP and 3.31 xFIP in AAA
He's walking less guys and striking more people out. pic.twitter.com/7060aF9GdY
— Atlanta Sports Surge (@atlanta_surge) August 13, 2022
Muller got the start May 1 at Texas and was shelled by the Rangers. He allowed seven earned runs on four hits and six walks over just 2.2 innings of work. Location is a big issue for Muller. He hasn’t kept his bases on balls percentage under 12% during a season since 2018, when he was in Double-A.
Muller will be facing the Marlins for the second time. Last season, he got the start against Miami and took the loss. He’s showing a 5.76 ERA against the Marlins.
Muller vs Luzardo
Marlins left-hander Jesus Luzardo is showing decent numbers everywhere expect in the win column. He’s coming into this game after earning his third win of the season and it was a gem. Luzardo worked seven shutout innings of one-hit baseball on Aug. 7 at the Chicago Cubs. He struck out six and walked won while earning the win in a 3-0 victory.
Jesus Luzardo was stellar today.
7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 6 K—91 pitches, 60 strikes, 12 whiffs.
Injuries disrupted what seems to have been his breakout year. He’s making up for lost time though
— Aram Leighton (@AramLeighton8) August 7, 2022
With that decision, Luzardo ended a three-game losing skid. The Marlins are 3-5 this season in games in which Luzardo has pitched.
He got the decision in a 5-4 victory over the Braves on April 24. Over five innings Luzardo allowed two hits and one earned run. In two career starts against Atlanta Luzardo is 1-1 with a 5.63 ERA.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
|Marlins Batters||Batting Average vs Anderson||Braves Batters||Batting Average vs Luzardo|
|Jesus Aguilar||.353||Ronald Acuna Jr||.000|
|Brian Anderson||.167||William Contreras||.000|
|Jon Berti||.500||Travis d’Arnaud||.000|
|JJ Bleday||.000||Vaughn Grissom||.000|
|Peyton Burdick||.000||Robbie Grossman||.000|
|Garrett Cooper||.273||Michael Harris II||.000|
|Lewin Diaz||.000||Guillermo Heredia||.000|
|Nick Fortes||.000||Matt Olson||.000|
|Charles Leblanc||.000||Marcell Ozuna||.000|
|Miguel Rojas||.300||Austin Riley||.600|
|Jacob Stallings||.375||Eddie Rosario||.000|
|Joey Wendle||.000||Dansby Swanson||.500|
|Luke Williams||.333||Chadwick Tromp||.500|
Several Marlins batters have been enjoying their plate appearances against Anderson. Jesus Aguilar is 6-for-17 (.353) with two homers and five RBI. Jacob Stallings is 3-for-8 (.375) with an RBI. Jon Berti is 6-for-12 (.500) with four RBI. Luke Williams is 1-for-3 (.333) and Miguel Rojas is 3-for-10 (.300) with an RBI.
Jesus Aguilar over the bullpen!
1-0 Marlins pic.twitter.com/Kw6rqedJkl
— Noah Berger🧩🚂 (@Trainboy100) August 3, 2022
When facing Luzardo, Austin Riley of the Braves is 3-for-5 (.600) with a pair of doubles and an RBI. Dansby Swanson and Chadwick Tromp are both 1-for-2 (.500.
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
Friday’s loss to the Braves meant Miami hasn’t won back-to-back games since July 13-14 against Pittsburgh. The Marlins are 3-10 SU over the past 13 games.
Brian Anderson – Miami Marlins (4) pic.twitter.com/VEhUtI8LXf
— MLB HR Videos (@MLBHRVideos) August 12, 2022
Atlanta is also scuffling. The Braves are 4-6 SU through the past 10 games. Atlanta shows a 6-4 edge over Miami through the past 10 games.
Pick: Miami Marlins ML (+100)