Diamondbacks vs Giants Picks & Odds (Aug 16)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Giants are -117 home favorites over the Diamondbacks on Tuesday night
- Merrill Kelly (10-5, 2.95) will pitch for Arizona against Jakob Junis (4-3, 3.78)
- A look at the Diamondbacks vs Giants odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The San Francisco Giants will look to keep rolling when they host the Arizona Diamondbacks at 9:45 p.m. ET Tuesday in the second game of a four-game series at Oracle Park.
The Giants (58-57/33-27 home) ran their winning streak to four games and moved back over .500 with a 6-1 victory over the Diamondbacks on Monday night. The Diamondbacks (53-62/21-33 road) lost for just the third time in their last nine games.
The Giants are 5.5 games behind the San Diego Padres for the third and final National League wild card.
Diamondbacks vs Giants Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | +102 | -1.5 (+170) | Over 8 (-106) |
| San Francisco Giants | -117 | +1.5 (-220) | Under 8 (-113) |
Odds as of August 16th at Barstool Sportsbook.
San Francisco is a -117 favorite, giving it an implied win probability of 53.92%. The Giants have World Series odds of +20000 and the Diamondbacks’ odds are +200000.
It should be a breezy night at Oracle Park with the weather forecast calling for a 11-16 mph wind from the west with gusts up to 29 mph. The temperature is expected to be 70 degrees at first pitch with a low of 60 along with mostly clear skies.
Arizona vs San Francisco Probable Pitchers
In today’s MLB lineups, Merrill Kelly (10-5, 2.95) is scheduled to start for the Diamondbacks against Jakob Junis (4-3, 3.78). Kelly will be pitching on four days of rest and Junis on five.
Kelly vs Junis
| 10-5 | Record | 4-3 |
| 2.95 | ERA | 3.78 |
| 3.15 | xERA | 4.08 |
| 1.14 | WHIP | 1.20 |
| 2.74 | SO/W | 3.50 |
Kelly has been outstanding since the beginning of July with a 4-0 record and 1.86 ERA in eight starts.
Kelly was not quite as sharp his last time out against the Pittsburgh Pirates last Thursday in Phoenix, though. In a no-decision, he allowed three runs and four hits in five innings while striking out six and walking three.
Merrill Kelly, Painted Front Door Two Seamer and Back Door Cutter. 🖌️🎨 pic.twitter.com/eT6vUIpaR5
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 11, 2022
In 13 career starts against the Giants, Kelly is 5-3 with 2.79 ERA. However, he is just 1-3 in five outings at Oracle Park with a 5.04 ERA.
Kelly is 7-1 with a 2.79 ERA in 10 road starts this season. In 14 starts at night, he has gone 7-4 with a 3.28 ERA. The Diamondbacks are 12-11 when Kelly gets the ball.
Junis is 0-2 with a 7.16 ERA in five starts since being activated from the injured list July 17. He missed five weeks with a strained left hamstring.
Last Wednesday, he was tagged for six runs and seven hits in 2.1 innings in a no-decision against the Padres in San Diego. He had three strikeouts and two walks.
Junis is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA in two starts against the Diamondbacks in his career.
Jakob Junis, Wicked 84mph Slider. 🤢 pic.twitter.com/6ulny1cXE8
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 26, 2022
In six starts at home this season, Junis has a 2-1 record and 3.96 ERA. He is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA in seven games (five starts) at night. The Giants have a 6-5 record in Junis’ starts.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Diamondbacks Batters | Batting Average vs Jakob Junis |
|---|---|
| Jack McCarthy | 1.000 |
| Josh Rojas | .500 |
| Ketel Marte | .000 |
| Carson Kelly | .000 |
| Alek Thomas | .000 |
| Daulton Varsho | .000 |
| Christian Walker | .000 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | .000 |
| Giants Batters | Batting Average vs Merrill Kelly |
| Luis Gonzalez | .333 |
| Brandon Crawford | .310 |
| Wilmer Flores | .308 |
| Evan Longoria | .286 |
| Joc Pederson | .235 |
| Brandon Belt | .231 |
| Austin Slater | .200 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | .191 |
| Joey Bart | .167 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | .143 |
| J.D. Davis | .000 |
| Tommy La Stella | .000 |
| Thairo Estrada | .000 |
The Giants’ Wilmer Flores is 4 for 13 (.308) with two doubles and a home run off Kelly but Mike Yastrzemski is 4 for 28 (.143) with a double, a triple and a homer.
Diamondbacks vs Giants Betting Trends
Evan Longoria hit a two-run home run to lead the Giants over the Diamondbacks on Monday night. It came in the fourth inning and opened the scoring.
#⃣🔟 for #⃣🔟 pic.twitter.com/Jrzk3SMuge
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) August 16, 2022
San Francisco’s Joey Bart had three hits and two RBIs. J.D. Davis added two hits.
Giants left fielder Joc Pederson sat out a day after sustaining a right pinky contusion when hit by a pitch. However, he hit a double as a pinch-hitter in the seventh inning and is expected to be in the lineup Tuesday.
Jake McCarthy had two hits for the Diamondbacks.
Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte was out of the lineup after leaving Sunday’s game with tightness in his left hamstring. He is considered day to day.
Right fielder Daulton Varsho returned to action a day after being removed from the game when he was hit in the jaw by a thrown baseball. He went 0 for 5 with two strikeouts.
Daulton Varsho absolutely booked it around the bases for his inside-the-park-home run pic.twitter.com/bpIpV70kua
— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) August 14, 2022
The Diamondbacks are 6-4 against the Giants this season and the teams have split four games in San Francisco.
However, the Giants held a 45-22 advantage in the series over the previous four seasons from 2018-21. The Giants have also won 18 of their last 20 games against the Diamondbacks at Oracle Park.
ARI vs SF Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/15/22 | Giants | Diamondbacks | SF, 6-1 |
| 7/27/22 | Diamondbacks | Giants | ARI, 5-3 |
| 7/26/22 | Diamondbacks | Giants | ARI, 7-3 |
| 7/25/22 | Diamondbacks | Giants | ARI, 7-0 |
| 7/13/22 | Giants | Diamondbacks | SF, 4-3 |
| 7/12/22 | Giants | Diamondbacks | SF, 13-0 |
| 7/11/22 | Giants | Diamondbacks | ARI, 4-3 |
| 7/6/22 | Diamondbacks | Giants | SF, 7-5 |
| 7/5/22 | Diamondbacks | Giants | ARI, 6-2 |
| 7/4/22 | Diamondbacks | Giants | ARI, 8-3 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction
Kelly has been tough on the road all season and is the pick here against the inconsistent Giants despite Oracle Park being the Diamondbacks’ house of horrors in recent years.
Pick: Diamondbacks ML (+102)
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
