Guardians vs Yankees Odds, Picks & Props to Target (May 1)
- The Guardians continue their AL East road trip when they visit the Yankees on Monday, May 1st
- Bash brothers Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are both sidelined with injuries for the Yankees
- Below, we provide the Guardians vs Yankees odds, picks, plus a pitching prop bet to target
After losing the last two of a three game set to Boston, the Guardians (13-15, 9-7 away) venture off to Yankee Stadium to begin a series with the Yankees (15-14, 9-7 home) who are coming home from Texas hoping to awaken some struggling bats.
Opening pitch between the Guardians and the Bronx Bombers is scheduled for 7:05 pm ET on Monday, May 1st for a game you can see on YES and Bally Sports Network.
Below, we provide you with all the Guardians vs Yankees odds plus our best bet and prediction. We’ll also offer up a prop to target in the pitching market between two teams who’ve dealt with some offensive struggles.
Guardians vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | +102 | +1.5 (-179) | O 8.5 (-117) |
| New York Yankees | -139 | -1.5 (+129) | U 8.5 (-117) |
Having just completed a seven game road trip, the Yankees will be happy to be back at home, especially after dropping three of four to Texas. In those contests, New York scored just eight runs total. Despite their anemic offensive output, the Yankees are -139 moneyline favorites back in the Bronx against the Guardians.
Temperatures will be around 57 degrees for the first pitch with a 26% chance of rain coming down at some point in the Big Apple.
Odds as of April 30th at Caesars Sportsbook.
Cleveland vs New York Probable Pitchers
Following a 2022 campaign that saw him solidify his spot as a starter in the Guardians rotation, Cal Quantrill has gotten off to a bit of an inconsistent start so far this year.
He’s coming off his worst outing of the season as he couldn’t even get through four innings in a 6-0 loss to the Rockies. The second generation Canadian hurler got banged up for eight hits in that outing.
In three starts against the Yankees last season, Quantrill never allowed more than three earned runs. Two of those starts came in the ALDS, where the Guardians went down in five games to New York.
Quantrill vs German Stats
| 1-2 | Record | 2-2 |
| 5.40 | ERA | 5.54 |
| 1.64 | WHIP | 1.08 |
| .303 | OBA | .198 |
| 1.9 | SO/W Ratio | 3.7 |
For the Yanks, Domingo German is looking to bounce back from an injury shortened 2022 campaign. While his ERA isn’t pretty so far in five starts at 5.54, he has averaged 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings, the best ratio of his career. The Dominican native has also kept hits and walks to a minimum, sporting a very low 1.08 WHIP.
So what’s the reason for all the earned runs? He’s been dinged up for the long ball one too many times, particularly in his last two outings where he’s allowed a total of five home runs. Keeping the ball down in the zone and inside the park will do wonders for turning German’s early season slide around.
Yankees Dealing With Big Injuries
Right now, there aren’t many MLB lineups that are dealing with bigger injuries than the Yankees, both literally and figuratively. The 6’6, 245 pound Giancarlo Stanton and 6’7, 282 pound Aaron Judge are both expected to be out for the series opener.
Aaron Judge has a mild hip strain, per @JackCurryYES
Aaron Boone says they’ll make a decision by Monday on whether or not he needs a stint on the injured list pic.twitter.com/Zp6A60dXe6
— Talkin' Yanks (@TalkinYanks) April 29, 2023
Combined, the sluggers have put up 10 home runs for the Evil Empire in the first month of the season, but without them, the lineup has really struggled to push runs across the plate.
New York has scored three runs or less in eight of their last 10 games. After smashing 62 bombs last season, Judge was expected to once again be the main challenger to Shohei Ohtani in the AL MVP odds, but he’ll have to stay healthy to stand a chance.
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction & Team Prop Pick
Without Stanton and Judge, the Yankees really lack much punch on offense. In the final three games of their last series against Texas, they combined to push out just 16 hits total and not a single homer.
The Yankees are in an ugly place.
Since 4/16 when Giancarlo Stanton went down the Yankee offense has a 72 wRC+ and a -.2 WAR. They are ranked 27th on both accounts. On the flip side, during this time frame, the Tampa Bay Rays have a 140 wRC+ and their offense has a 4.4 WAR. That…
— Joe Randazzo 📚📕📖 (@LibrarianJoe_) April 30, 2023
Although Quantrill is not off to the best start this season, he’s entering the prime of his career and limited the Yankees bats when he pitched against them last season. Facing a Yanks batting order lacking their two most powerful players, take the Guardians to concede 3 runs or less paying out at -210 in the team props market.
The under is 5-0 in the MLB odds in Quantrill’s last five starts against AL East opponents and as a team, the Guardians have hit the under eight times in their last 10 games. Our prediction is that this one goes under 8.5 runs given the hurting Yankees offense and the Guardians recent low scoring trends.
Pick: Under 8.5 Runs (-117)
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George has had a lifelong love affair with sports and studying sports statistics since he was a kid. He graduated from Ryerson University with a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism and has worked in the sports & media industry ever since in various roles from writer to producer.
