Orioles vs Yankees Picks & Odds (Oct. 1)
- New York is a -225 favorite over Baltimore in the Orioles vs Yankees odds for their Saturday, October 1 American League afternoon game
- The Yankees are 5-2 straight up against the Orioles this season at Yankee Stadium
- Overall, New York leads the season series with Baltimore 11-6 SU – see who we like below
The Baltimore Orioles (81-76, 37-42 away) made a run at the playoffs this season, but it’s games against baseball powers such as the New York Yankees (96-60, 56-23 home) that ultimately proved the Birds weren’t ready for the big time.
As they ready for a Saturday afternoon game in the Bronx, the Orioles own a 6-11 straight up record this season when facing the Yankees. New York is showing a 5-2 edge at Yankee Stadium over Baltimore this season and a 20-6 SU advantage going back through the past 26 games played there.
Oddsmakers are going with this trend. It’s the Yankees who are set as -225 favorites in this game. Baltimore is an MLB-best 96-61 against the runline this season. However, the Yankees are an AL-best 56-23 SU at home in 2022.
Orioles vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | +185 | OFF | OFF |
| New York Yankees | -225 | OFF | OFF |
Odds as of September 30 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.
At moneyline odds of -225, the Yankees have an implied probability of victory of 61.54% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on New York would create a payout of $16.30.
First pitch at Yankee Stadium goes at 1:05pm ET on Saturday, October 1. The weather forecast is calling for rain with 12 mph wind and a temperature of 56 degrees.
MLB betting trends are displaying that the Yankees are getting all the public love. In both the moneyline and the runline, New York is drawing 62% of the bets. The under is a popular choice in the total, also at 62%.
The Yankees are the +500 third betting choice in the World Series odds. As far as the MLB pennant odds are concerned, New York’s AL squad is the second pick in this betting market at +190.
Baltimore vs New York Probable Pitchers
In Saturday’s MLB lineups, the Orioles are giving the ball to right-hander Austin Voth. Acquired from the Washington Nationals in June, Voth joined the Baltimore starting rotation later that month. He’s made 16 of his last 18 appearances as a starter,
Austin Voth has been participating in the dark arts known as the
“Hand of God” Slider
What are the pros and cons of such a mystical pitch?
Let’s dive in 🧵 pic.twitter.com/sYh2uCNDbM
— Matthew Kress (@m_kress__) September 29, 2022
Voth is 5-2 over his last seven decisions. He’s 1-1 in September with a 2.54 ERA. Voth is 2-2 with a 4.06 ERA in 20 road appearances this season, including six starts.
He’s been moved back a day in the rotation. Voth was scheduled to get the start on Friday. He’s only faced the Yankees once and didn’t get the decision. Voth pitched two shutout innings, allowing one hit, walking three and striking out two.
Voth vs Cortes Stats
| 5-3 | Record | 11-4 |
| 4.19 | ERA | 2.56 |
| 4.24 | xERA | 4.40 |
| 1.38 | WHIP | 0.95 |
| 3.00 | SO/W Ratio | 4.19 |
Yankees left-hander Nestor Cortes launched his MLB career with the Orioles in 2018. The AL all-star has already established a personal best for wins this season.
Lowest ERA by a Yankees starter since 1985 (min. 150 IP):
Nestor Cortes 2022 – 2.56
David Cone 1997 – 2.82
Melido Perez 1992 – 2.87 pic.twitter.com/tky2UuwtmU— YankeesMuse (@YankeesMuse) September 26, 2022
Cortes rates among the top 10% of MLB pitchers in wOBA (.251). He’s been devastatingly good at home this season. Cortes is 5-1 with a 2.13 ERA in 14 starts at Yankee Stadium.
The southpaw is 4-1 with a 2.44 ERA in 10 second-half starts. Cortes has faced the Orioles twice this season and is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Yankees Batters | Batting Average vs Voth | Orioles Batters | Batting Average vs Eovaldi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Donaldson | .500 | Austin Mateo | .333 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1.000 | Rougned Odor | 1.000 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | .000 | Adley Rutschman | .667 |
While all eyes will be on Aaron Judge as the Yankees slugger seeks a club-record 62nd home, Judge has never previously faced Voth. Josh Donaldson has taken Voth deep twice on a pair of solo shots. He’s batting .500 (3-for-6). Anthony Rizzo is 1-for-1 (1.000).
Rougned Odor hitting a grand slam off Nestor Cortes pic.twitter.com/bNhgWCT4fb
— . (@BaderTater) August 21, 2021
For the Orioles, Rougned Odor made the most of his only at-bat against Cortes. He crushed a grand slam home run. Rookie Adley Rutschman is 2-for-3 (.667). Jorge Mateo is 2-for-6 (.333). Austin Hays has hit a solo homer off of Cortes.
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are in fine form as they tune up for the MLB postseason. New York is 9-2 SU over the past 11 games and 15-4 though the last 19.
117.4 mph.
394 ft.
61. pic.twitter.com/hmbz4SSOQq— New York Yankees (@Yankees) September 29, 2022
They’ve endured season-long struggles against the Yankees but lately, every team’s been causing problems for Baltimore. The Orioles are 10-13 SU over their last 23 games. They just lost three of four in Boston. They’re 1-5-1 over their past seven series.
Pick: New York Yankees ML (-225)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
