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Padres vs Marlins Picks, Odds & Starting Pitchers (May 30)

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in MLB Baseball

Updated May 29, 2023 · 6:19 PM PDT

Miami Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara throwing
May 24, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Miami Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara (22) delivers a pitch in the fourth inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: John Leyba-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Padres and Marlins begin a three-game series on Tuesday
  • Miami is a favorite for the opener with Sandy Alcantara on the mound
  • Keep reading for the Padres vs Marlins odds and picks

The slumping San Diego Padres (24-29, 12-14 away) head from New York down to South Beach on Tuesday for the beginning of a three-game set with the Miami Marlins (28-26, 14-11 home) at LoanDepot Park. The first pitch for the opener is scheduled for 6:40 pm ET.

The Padres will be hoping Ryan Weathers can help them turn around their fortunes, while the Fish counter with reigning NL Cy Young-winner Sandy Alcantara.

Padres vs Marlins Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Diego Padres +125 +1.5 (-165) Ov 8 (+100)
Miami Marlins -145 -1.5 (+140) Un 8 (-120)

The Marlins sit at -145 odds and own an 11-10 record as a moneyline favorite. The Padres come back at +125 and have gone 8-12 as a moneyline underdog. In seven meetings in 2022, San Diego won four.



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Odds as of May 29th at DraftKings. Get a DraftKings promo code to wager on Padres vs Marlins. 

San Diego vs Miami Probable Pitchers

Weathers has pitched in a variety of different roles this season, but he now gets another opportunity to be the Padres’ No. 5 starter after Seth Lugo went on the IL. The lefty is having a respectable campaign, going 1-3 with a 3.94 ERA in seven appearances and five starts. He’s struck out 18 in 29.2 innings while walking 11.

However, Weathers is coming off a pair of rough outings. He surrendered four earned runs to the lowly Nationals on May 24th and prior to that, gave up another four earned to the Dodgers. Unfortunately, he owns an ERA over six against the Marlins, too.

Weathers vs Alcantara Stats

Ryan Weathers
Sandy Alcantara
1-3 Record 2-5
3.94 ERA 4.86
29.2 Innings Pitched 63
18 Strikeouts 57
11 Walks 20

After such a magnificent season in 2022, it’s been a much different story for Alcantara this year. He’s made 10 starts, compiling a 2-5 record and 4.86 ERA, striking out 57 and walking 20 in 63 frames. The reality is he’s just getting hit around far more often than usual.

That being said, Alcantara collected his second win on May 24th, limiting the Rockies to two earned across six innings. That’s something to build on. Also, he has a stellar 0.96 ERA versus San Diego in three career appearances.

Padres Slumping

Despite having one of the most potent MLB lineups in the bigs on paper, San Diego is seriously underperforming. They rank 29th in average, 24th in runs, and 30th in hits. The likes of Xander Bogaerts, Manny Machado, and Juan Soto are all failing to live up to expectations.

The Padres come into Tuesday with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games and just lost two of three to the Yankees, including a 10-7 defeat in the rubber match Sunday where Yu Darvish got lit up. Considering Alcantara’s dominance of San Diego, this could be another tough one.

Marlins in Good Shape

Miami comes into this series with no shortage of momentum, just sweeping Mike Trout and the Angels over the weekend. In the process, they outscored them 16-7, including a 2-0 win Sunday.

Eury Perez tossed five scoreless innings and surrendered just two hits before the bullpen also entered and completely shut down Los Angeles. The Marlins are now in second in the NL East and just 4.5 games out of first place.

SD vs MIA – Last 10 Games

Date Home Away Score
08/17/22 Marlins Padres SD, 10-3
08/16/22 Marlins Padres MIA, 4-3
08/15/22 Marlins Padres MIA, 3-0
05/08/22 Padres Marlins SD, 3-2
05/07/22 Padres Marlins MIA, 8-0
05/06/22 Padres Marlins SD, 3-2
05/05/22 Padres Marlins SD, 2-1
08/11/21 Padres Marlins MIA, 7-0
08/10/21 Padres Marlins SD, 6-5
08/09/21 Padres Marlins SD, 8-3

Padres vs Marlins Picks

Miami is on a roll and Alcantara carves up the Padres. The Marlins moneyline is the best bet here.

Pick: Marlins moneyline (-145)


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