Phillies vs Astros Predictions, Props & Starting Pitchers for Sunday Night Baseball (April 30)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Astros are -150 home favorites over the Phillies on Sunday Night Baseball
- Lefty Bailey Falter (0-4, 4.50) will start for the Phillies against the Astros’ Jose Urquidy (1-2, 5.64)
- A look at the Astros vs Phillies odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies will try to sweep a three-game series from the Houston Astros when the teams meet at 7:08 p.m. ET on Sunday Night Baseball in a rematch of last year’s World Series. Read on for an analysis of Phillies vs Astros.
The Phillies (15-13, 7-8 road) extended their winning streak to four games Saturday and won for the seventh time in their last eight games when they defeated the Astros 6-1. Houston (14-13, 6-9 home) has lost back-to-back games after winning six of seven.
The game will be televised by ESPN.
Phillies vs Astros Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | +130 | +1.5 (-155) | Over 8.5 (-115) |
| Houston Astros | -150 | -1.5 (+135) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
The Astros are -150 moneyline favorites over the Phillies on Sunday Night Baseball in the MLB odds, giving them an implied win probability of 60%. Houston is listed at +850 in the World Series championship odds and Philadelphia is listed at +2500.
Odds as of April 29th at DraftKings.
Phillies vs Astros Probable Pitchers
Left-hander Bailey Falter (0-4, 4.50) is scheduled to start for the Phillies against Jose Urquidy (1-2, 5.64).
Falter vs Urquidy
| 0-4 | Record | 1-2 |
| 4.50 | ERA | 5.64 |
| 4.88 | xERA | 4.75 |
| 1.14 | WHIP | 1.75 |
| 4.75 | SO/W | 2.22 |
Falter remained winless when he took the loss Tuesday against the Seattle Mariners in Philadelphia. He gave up four runs (three earned) and six hits in six innings with seven strikeouts and no walks.
In his lone career appearance against the Astros, Falter pitched one scoreless inning of relief.
Falter has an 0-3 record and 5.29 ERA on the road this season in three starts. He is 0-3 with a 5.63 ERA in three starts at night. The Phillies are 1-4 when he pitches.
Urquidy was rocked for six urns and seven hits in 2.2 innings in a loss to the Tampa Bay Rays on Monday in St. Petersburg. He struck out three and walked two.
The @RaysBaseball chase José Urquidy in the third inning! #RaysUp pic.twitter.com/YUdZ8pxlZf
— Bally Sports Sun: Rays (@BallyRays) April 24, 2023
Both of Urquidy’s appearances against the Phillies have come in relief and he is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA.
This season, Urquidy has is 0-1 with a 7.56 ERA in two starts at home and 0-2 with a 12.86 ERA in two starts in night games.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs Jose Urquidy |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | .500 |
| Nick Castellanos | .500 |
| Bryson Stott | .500 |
| Josh Harrison | .333 |
| Brandon Marsh | .250 |
| Alec Bohm | .000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | .000 |
| Trea Turner | .000 |
| Astros Batters | Batting Average vs Bailey Falter |
| Yordan Alvarez | .000 |
| Alex Bregman | .000 |
| Kyle Tucker | .000 |
Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber is 2 for 4 against Urquidy and both hits have been home runs. No Astros player has more than one plate appearance against Falter.
Phillies vs Astros Betting Outlook
Kody Clemens hit a two-run home run to help spark the Phillies’ win over the Astros on Saturday.
Nick Castellanos also homered for Philadelphia. Jack Cave had three hits and Castellanos, J.T. Realmuto and Alec Bohm added two each.
Now you see the ball, now you don't (because it's gone)#RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/hJn94VmVVy
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) April 29, 2023
The Phillies placed outfielder Cristian Pache on the injured list before the game with a torn meniscus in his right knee. Infielder/outfielder Dalton Guthrie was recalled from Triple-A Lehigh Valley.
Yordan Alvarez returned to the Astros’ lineup as the designated hitter after missing four games with a strained neck. He went 2 for 3 with a double and a walk.
Alvarez’s AL MVP odds are +2500.
Phillies vs Astros Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/29/23 | Astros | Phillies | PHI, 6-1 |
| 4/28/23 | Astros | Phillies | PHI, 3-1 |
| 11/5/22 | Astros | Phillies | HOU, 4-1 |
| 11/3/22 | Phillies | Astros | HOU, 3-2 |
| 11/2/22 | Phillies | Astros | HOU, 5-0 |
| 11/1/22 | Phillies | Astros | PHI, 7-0 |
| 10/29/22 | Astros | Phillies | HOU, 5-2 |
| 10/28/22 | Astros | Phillies | PHI, 6-5 |
| 10/5/22 | Astros | Phillies | HOU, 3-2 |
| 10/4/22 | Astros | Phillies | HOU, 10-0 |
The Astros hold a slim 8-7 lead in the series since 2017.
Phillies vs Astros Prediction
The Phillies could get a bit of revenge with the sweep after losing to the Houston Astros in last year’s Fall Classic in six games. Fading Urquidy is the value play here.
Pick: Phillies +130 ML
Season Record: 12-5 (+5.1 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 1-0 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 14-7 (+6.1 units) overall
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
