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Scherzer, Nationals Are +121 Underdogs vs Greinke, Astros in World Series Game 7 – Picks & Odds

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Mar 23, 2020 · 10:19 AM PDT

Max Scherzer smiing on mound
Pulled from his scheduled Game 5 start due to neck stiffness, Max Scherzer and the Washington Nationals are +121 underdogs to win Game 7 of the World Series at Houston. Photo by Corn Farmer (flickr) [CC License].
  • The Washington Nationals are +121 underdogs to win Game 7 of the World Series at Houston’s Minute Maid Park
  • Washington is 3-0 in Houston in the series
  • The home team has yet to win a game in the 2019 World Series

The Washington Nationals made history at the expense of the Houston Astros on Tuesday. They’ll seek to make more history on Wednesday in Game 7 of the World Series.

The road team had never won the first six games of any World Series. That is, until Game 6 of this series, when the Nats throttled Houston 7-2 at Minute Maid Park.

No team has ever four won road games in a single World Series. The Nationals will seek to achieve that in Game 7. But sportsbooks list Houston as -131 favorites to win Game 7.

Nationals vs Astros Game 7 World Series Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Washington Nationals +121 +1.5 (-170) Over 7.5 (+100)
Houston Astros -131 -1.5 (+150) Under 7.5 (-120)

Odds taken October 30th

Houston lost Game 6 of the 2017 World Series with a chance to clinch but won Game 7.

Nationals Go to the Max

Max Scherzer was forced to pull out of his scheduled Game 5 start due to neck stiffness, but the Nats insist all systems are go for Game 7 with their three-time Cy Young Award winner.

Just three days ago, Scherzer couldn’t lift his right arm – his pitching arm – after suffering spasms in his neck and right trapezius muscle. He played light catch in the outfield prior to Game 6 and pronounced himself fit.

When Scherzer or Stephen Strasburg have taken the mound during this postseason, the Nationals are 9-0. Strasburg was the Game 6 winner as Washington improved to 4-0 when facing elimination during the 2019 postseason.

Washington catcher Kurt Suzuki, out since Game 3 due to a right hip flexor injury, declared himself fit to play Game 7.

Astros Game 7: Been There, Done That

In the 2017 World Series, the Astros headed to Los Angeles, also with Justin Verlander taking the mound, for Game 6 with a 3-2 lead. They lost 3-1 to the Dodgers. But they rebounded to win Game 7 by a 5-1 count.

YouTube video

This October, Houston won a win-or-go-home Game 5 of the ALDS over the Tampa Bay Rays. The Astros are 3-0 in the playoffs in the game following a Verlander loss.

The Astros are looking to join the 1996 New York Yankees, 1986 New York Mets and 1985 Kansas City Royals as teams that won a World Series after falling behind 2-0.

Washington’s Minute (Maid) Men

There’s something about the water – or is it the orange juice – in Houston that puts the pop into Washington’s bats.

The Nationals scored just three runs combined in Games 3-5 at home. But moving back to Houston’s Minute Main Park, the picked up right where they left off in Games 1 and 2.

YouTube video

Washington has scored 24 runs in three games at Houston. The Nats have hit .291 (32-for-110) on the road in this series, and .333 (9-for-27) with runners in scoring position.

Nationals are Road Warriors

Tuesday’s win not only left the road team with eight consecutive wins in the World Series, it established a milestone for North American pro sports.

It’s the first time in 1,420 best-of-seven playoff series in the MLB, NBA and NHL in which the road team has won all of the first six games.

Now we’re supposed to believe the home team is suddenly going to turn this trend around in the biggest game of the season? Road teams are 20-19 in Game 7 of the World Series. and 19-17 in the 2019 playoffs.

Houston starter Zack Greinke hasn’t won a postseason start since 2015. He’s only made it through five complete innings twice in his last six playoff starts.

Pick: Washington Nationals (+121)

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