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MLB Wild Card Series Odds – Playoff Series Prices & Picks for Marlins vs Phillies, Blue Jays vs Twins, Rangers vs Rays

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Updated Oct 4, 2023 · 11:15 AM PDT

Philadelphia Phillies Bryce Harper throws his helmet in celebrating
Sep 28, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Bryce Harper (3) throws his helmet into the stands after being ejected for arguing a strike call with umpire Angel Hernandez during the third inning of a game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The 2023 MLB playoff bracket is set
  • In the AL Wild Card, it’s Rangers vs Rays and Blue Jays vs Twins; the NL Wild Card features Marlins vs Phillies and Diamondbacks vs Brewers
  • See the opening Wild Card series odds for all four matchups plus picks and predictions

It took until the final day of the regular season to solidify the 2023 MLB playoff bracket. In the American League, the Baltimore Orioles and Texas Rangers secured byes to the Divisional Round. In the NL, the Atlanta Braves and LA Dodgers earned the top-two seeds.

In the AL Wild Card Round, the Minnesota Twins – winners of the AL Central – play a best of three with the Toronto Blue Jays, while the Tampa Bay Rays – the top Wild Card team – have homefield in their best of three with the Texas Rangers.

MLB Wild Card Series Odds

Team (Seed) Odds Spread
Texas Rangers (5) +130 +1.5 (-240)
Tampa Bay Rays (4) -155 -1.5 (+205)
Team Odds Spread
Toronto Blue Jays (6) +105 +1.5 (-285)
Minnesota Twins (3) -120 -1.5 (+245)
Team Odds Spread
Miami Marlins (5) +172 +1.5 (-215)
Philadelphia Phillies (4) -215 -1,5 (+180)
Team Odds Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks (6) +156 TBD
Milwaukee Brewers (3) -194 TBD

The Phillies are the biggest favorite of the Wild Card Round at -215, followed by the Brewers (-194), Rays (-155), and Twins (-125). The home team/better seed is favored in all four series, which are best-of-three affairs with the better-seeded team hosting all of the games.


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The bracket no longer features re-seeding after the Wild Card Round. The winner of the #4 vs #5 series in each league goes onto face the #1 seed, while the winner of the #3 vs #6 series moves onto face the #2 seed. That means the Rangers/Rays winner will play the top-seeded Baltimore Orioles in the AL, while the Blue Jays/Twins winner will face the #2 Houston Astros.

In the National League, the #1 Atlanta Braves await the winner of Phillies/Marlins and the #2 LA Dodgers await the winner of Brewers/Diamondbacks.

Wild Card Round Schedule

The game-time schedules for the series have not been set in stone yet, but the Wild Card Round will start on Tuesday, October 3, and wrap up on Thursday, October 5, with all teams playing each day until the series conclude. Expect the Marlins/Phillies and Rangers/Rays to start in the earliest windows and the Blue Jays/Twins and Diamondbacks Brewers to fill the later windows, with Minneapolis and Milwaukee both being in the Central Time Zone.

Wild Card Picks & Predictions

Series Pick
Rays vs Rangers Rays (-155)
Twins vs Blue Jays Blue Jays (+105)
Phillies vs Marlins Phillies (-215)
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Brewers (-194)

My favorite bet of the Wild Card round is the Rays over the Rangers. The Rays were the best home team in all of baseball at 53-28 (tied with the Dodgers) while the Rangers played under .500 on the road (40-41). That stands in stark contrast to the Twins vs Blue Jays series: Minnesota was a solid 47-34 at home, but have to face a Blue Jays team that went 46-35 on the road while playing a significantly harder AL East schedule.

The Phillies/Marlins series also features a great home team against a below-average road team. The Phillies, last season’s NL champs, were 49-32 in Philadelphia, while the light-hitting Marlins wen just 38-42 on the road (the worst road record of any team that managed to make the playoffs).

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