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Cage Warriors 118 Odds, Picks & Betting Preview – Frederick vs Richardson

Cole Shelton

by Cole Shelton in Mixed Martial Arts

Dec 10, 2020 · 6:54 AM PST

Cage Warriors 118
Nathias Frederick defends his belt against Jamie Richardson in the main event of Cage Warriors 118.
  • The second of three events in three days goes down on December 11th, 2020
  • Nathias Frederick defends his middleweight belt in the main event
  • See the odds, picks, and betting preview for the full Cage Warriors 118 main card, below

Cage Warriors is ending their year with three events in three days called The Trilogy Strikes Back. All three events go down in London, England with the second taking place on Friday, December 11, 2020.

In the main event of Cage Warriors 118, Nathias Fredrick defends his middleweight title against Jamie Richardson. The co-main event sees Leonardo Damiani take on Aaron Khalid at welterweight.

Cage Warriors 118 airs live on UFC Fight Pass at 2:15 PM EST. The table below shows odds for the main card followed by best bets for the event.

Cage Warriors 118 Odds

Fighter Odds
Nathias Frederick -420
Jamie Richardson +310
Fighter Odds
Leonardo Damiani -140
Aaron Khalid +100
Fighter Odds
Matt Inman -160
Matthew Bonner +130
Fighter Odds
Mick Stanton +175
Madars Fleminas -210
Fighter Odds
Adam Ventre -185
Decky McAleenan +160

Odds taken Dec. 10

Will Fredrick Defend His Belt For The First Time?

Nathias Fredrick pulled off the upset last time out to win the middleweight title back in November of 2019 as he knocked out James Webb. Now, he is set to defend his belt for the first time against Cage Warriors veteran Jamie Richardson.

Frederick & Richardson Recent Fights


James Webb, win by TKO (title fight) Fight 1 Matthew Bonner, win by decision
James Webb, draw (title fight) Fight 2 Phill Wells, win by TKO
Marcin Prostko, win by TKO Fight 3 Phill Wells, win by TKO
Avi Jack, win by decision Fight 4 Aaron Khalid, loss by submission

Despite being 37-years-old, Nathias Frederick seems to be entering his prime. Many thought if James Webb won his last fight that he would get signed to the UFC or Bellator, but Frederick’s striking looked impressive.

Richardson, on the other hand, is a pure striker who has struggled on the ground as he has been submitted in three of his five losses. However, Frederick is not someone who takes the fight to the ground all that much. Expect this one to remain standing for the most part.

Frederick vs Richardson Stats


37 Age 24
6’1″ Height 6’0″
N/A Reach N/A
1 Cage Warriors finishes 4

Early on, I do expect Richardson to have success on the feet as Frederick is a slow starter. But, in the second or third round, Frederick will start to be more active on the feet and start landing the harder shots. I also worry about Richardson’s cardio as I don’t know if he will be able to go five hard rounds.

Ultimately, in the third or fourth round, I expect Frederick to land something big and drop Richardson to finish him via TKO. -420 is a bit steep but could be used in a two-leg parlay with Nathan Fletcher on the prelims who I think will be in the UFC in the next two years.

Pick: Nathias Frederick (-420)

Does The Winner Sign With A Major Promotion?

Leonardo Damiani vs Aaron Khalid will be a grappler fan’s delight as both men are phenomenal at jiu-jitsu and are known for their submissions.

Damiani & Khalid Recent Fights


Abdul Sami Wali Fayzi, win by submission Fight 1 Mick Stanton, win by submission
Marco Saccaro, win by decision Fight 2 Alex Lohore, loss by submission
Erlan Ulukbekov, draw Fight 3 Hakon Foss, win by submission
Tomas Lejsek, win by TKO Fight 4 Jamie Richardson, win by submission

Normally, when two grapplers fight, it becomes a kickboxing fight, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the same happens here. On the feet, both men are very similar, but I give the slight edge to Aaron Khalid.

Early on, I expect Damiani to try and get this fight to the ground. On the feet, Khalid will be more active and land the harder shots to edge out a decision.

Pick: Aaron Khalid (+100)

Other Cage Warriors 118 Picks:

  1. Matt Inman (-160): Inman is fighting for the first time in three years and is getting a layup in his return. Expect to use his grappling to win a decision.
  2. Madars Fleminas (-210): Fleminas is on a two-fight skid, but I expect him to piece up Stanton on the feet and win by TKO.
  3. Adam Ventre (-185): Ventre should be able to keep it standing and use his volume to win a decision.
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