Lakers vs Warriors Predictions, Player Props & Odds (Jan 25)
By Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball
Updated: January 28, 2025 at 8:45 am ESTPublished:
- The LA Lakers are 1-point road favorites over the Golden State Warriors tonight
- The Lakers defeated the Warriors 115-113 on Christmas Day
- See the Lakers vs Warriors predictions, player props and odds, below
Two of the NBA’s prominent franchises square off tonight as the LA Lakers (24-18, 8-12 away) visit the Golden State Warriors (22-22, 12-11 home). After a slow start the Lakers have found their grove winning four of their last five. That includes an upset of the Celtics on Thursday, and online sportsbooks are projecting another win based on tonight’s NBA odds. Tip-off is scheduled for 5:40 pm PT/8:40 pm ET at the Chase Center, in San Francisco, CA, with ABC providing the broadcast coverage.
LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Odds
LA is currently favored by 1-point in a contest with a 218.5 point total. The Lakers are currently dominating the spread betting action, drawing 78% of the tickets, and 77% of the handle. Total-wise, the action favors the over per the NBA public betting trends. That side is drawing 93% of the bets, and 88% of the handle.
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LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Predictions
- LA Lakers -1 (-112) at Caesars
We’re going to back LA in this spot for a few reasons. For one, their roster is finally nearing full strength. Both LeBron James and Anthony Davis will play despite showing up on the injury report, while Jarred Vanderbilt will make hi season debut.
Vanderbilt hasn’t played since suffering a foot sprain last February. He underwent multiple procedures to get him ready for training camp, only to be sidelined with a knee issue. The 6-8 forward was enjoying one of the best statistical seasons of his career prior to his injury in 2024, averaging 10.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.3 steals per outing.
The added offensive production will be a bonus, but his biggest impact will be felt on defense. Vanderbilt is a long, rangy defender that gives opposing team’s fits. LA has struggled this season at the defensive end, ranking bottom-10 in defensive rating. They have shown improvements recently however, ranking fifth in that category over the past five games, and Vanderbilt’s return will only boost their stock.
Speaking of recent form, that favors the Lakers greatly. LA is 4-1 in their last five contest, posting the league’s fourth best Net Rating over that stretch. They dismantled the NBA Championship odds favorite Boston by 21 points last time out, fuelled by 20 points and 14 rebounds from LeBron James, and 24 points from Anthony Davis.
While the Lakers are getting healthy, the Warriors are down key contributors. Both Draymond Green and Jonathan Kuminga remain out. That puts Golden State down two of its top-four rebounders, and two of its top-five defenders. That’s problematic against LA, especially given the Warriors recent struggles.
Golden State is 4-6 over its last 10 games, posting the NBA’s fifth worst NET rating. Steph Curry is still shooting well from the outside, but his overall scoring numbers are down. Curry is averaging only 22.6 points per game this season, his lowest mark over a full season since 2011-12. That’s led to the Warriors ranking 19th in offensive rating so far, six spots lower than the Lakers.
LAL vs GSW Player Props
NBA player props from DraftKings Sportsbook on January 25.
Switching over to the NBA props market, we’ll find Curry with the highest points prop at 24.5. AD has the largest over/under for rebounds at 12.5, while LeBron’s 8.5 assist prop is the highest in that category.
We’re looking to fade Curry tonight, and we’ll do so in the points+rebounds category. His prop in that market sits at 29.5, a total he hasn’t cleared in three games. We can bank on 3-4 rebounds for Steph, meaning he’ll need 26+ points to clear this prop most likely.
His shooting volume is down this season, as are his minutes. He’s averaging three shots less per game than his peak seasons, and roughly three less minutes. Golden State is rotating more guard play than in recent memory, and the Lakers improved defense reduces his likelihood of a ceiling outcome.
Pick: Steph Curry Under 29.5 Points + Rebounds (-115)
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
