Skip to content

Ad Disclosure

Warriors vs Rockets Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Dec. 11)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Houston Rockets guard Fred VanVleet drives to the basket against Golden State Warriors center Trayce Jackson-Davis
Dec 5, 2024; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors center Trayce Jackson-Davis (32) defends against Houston Rockets guard Fred VanVleet (5) during the third quarter at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-Imagn Images
  • The Houston Rockets host the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday night in the last of four NBA Cup quarterfinals
  • The Rockets are slight home favorites despite Houston going 9-3 at home so far this season
  • Below, see the Warriors vs Rockets predictions, player props, and best available odds

The Golden State Warriors (14-9, 7-5 away) and Houston Rockets (16-8, 9-3 home) meet on Wednesday night at the Toyota Center with the final berth in the 2024 NBA Cup semifinals on the line. The winner will move onto face the OKC Thunder on Saturday in Las Vegas, and oddsmakers give the hometown Rockets a slight edge in Wednesday’s NBA odds. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:40 pm CT/9:40 pm ET.

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction

  • Warriors moneyline (+108) at FanDuel – 2.0 units
    ESPN BET
    Bet $10 & Get $100 + 30 Days of ESPN+

    Must manually enter promo code DIME to claim offer.
    Must be 21+, offer available in MI, NJ, PA, WV only.
    LOCK IN PROMO
    CODE: DIME
    CODE: DIME
    SIGNUP OFFER
    USE PROMO CODE
    DIME

    BET $10, GET $100
    + 30 DAYS OF ESPN+

    GET OFFER NOW
     Odds as of Dec. 11. New customers can claim the ESPN Bet promo to get a bonus for tonight’s NBA games. Unsure if it’s the right sportsbook for you? Check out SBD’s ESPN Bet review.

I believe in what the Rockets are building as a whole. They have a lot of talented,  still-young pieces that should have them in playoff contention for the next decade. But I don’t like this matchup. The Warriors are already 2-0 against Houston this season, including a 127-121 win on the road in early November and a 99-93 win at home just six days ago.

The Rockets were a very different team last year, but it’s worth noting that they were also 0-3 against the Dubs last season, losing by an average of 13 PPG.

Golden State’s defense has done a phenomenal job of keeping Alperun Sengun in check. The Turkish center has just 30 points combined in the first two games against Golden State.

YouTube video

The Warriors hit a rough patch, losing five in a row from Nov. 23 to Dec. 3, but that seems to be in the past. They’ve won two of their last three, including an impressive 114-106 victory over the surging Timberwolves last time out.

And it would be three wins in four for the Warriors if they had been able to hang onto a 113-106 lead against Denver with just four minutes remaining.

GSW vs HOU Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Steph Curry (GSW) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov -125| Un -105) 5.5 (Ov -154| Un +120) 4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154)
Alperen Sengun (HOU) 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 10.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 0.5 (Ov +170 | Un -225)
Jalen Green (HOU) 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 2.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135) 2.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Fred VanVleet (HOU) 17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -148 | Un +115) 6.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov -148 | Un +115)
Andrew Wiggins (GSW) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF 1.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120)
Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) 16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov -148 | Un +115) 2.5 (Ov +145 | Un -188) 1.5 (Ov +160 | Un -212)
Dillon Brooks (HOU) 13.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF 2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -198)
Amen Thompson (HOU) 11.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 6.5 (Ov -142 | Un +110) OFF OFF
Jabari Smith Jr (HOU) 11.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 7.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Buddy Hield (GSW) 11.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -142 | Un +110) OFF 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Tari Eason (HOU) 10.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 6.5 (Ov +110 | Un -142) OFF OFF
Draymond Green (GSW) 7.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 6.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 5.5 (Ov -110| Un -120) 1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -198)
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) 6.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 4.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -162 | Un +126) 0.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135)
Kevon Looney (GSW) 5.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 7.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) OFF OFF

NBA player props as of Dec. 11 at DraftKings. Claim the DraftKings promo code to bet on the NBA Cup tonight. 

The Rockets vs Warriors player props list Steph Curry (23.0 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 6.6 APG) with the highest point total of the night at 24.5 O/U followed by Houston center Alperen Sengun (18.5 PPG, 10.6 RPG, 5.3 APG) at 20.5 O/U. Sengun also has the highest rebound total at 10.5 O/U. No other player is over 7.5 O/U.

Fred VanVleet (16.0 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 5.9 APG) leads the assist totals at 6.5 O/U.

Best Warriors vs Rockets Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Golden State Warriors +2.0 (-108) at DraftKings +108 at FanDuel Over 221.5 (-110) at bet365
Houston Rockets -1.5 (-115) at BetMGM -125 at Caesars Under 222.5 (-115) at BetMGM

The Warriors vs Rockets spread is pretty consistent with most books listing Houston as two-point home favorites. The one book that has a different line is BetMGM, which has lowered it to Houston -1.5 (-115).

The best Warriors moneyline is currently +108 at FanDuel. The best Rockets moneyline is -125, which is available at a few different books, including Caesars, BetMGM, and bet365.

There is a full one-point range in the game total. It’s as high as 222.5 at BetMGM and as low as 221.5 at bet365 and DraftKings.

The NBA public betting trends for Wednesday strongly lean towards the Warriors and the over. Golden State is getting 70% of moneyline handle and 65% of ATS handle, while 75% of game-total money is on the over as of 12:57 pm ET.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Politics Tennis MMA Sportsbooks Gambling

Recommended Reading


sports betting dime logo

Unfiltered sports betting coverage every fan needs — squeezed into your inbox before dinner.

Sign Up Now!

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy, to receive updates and offers and confirm you are 21+ and have never self excluded from betting or gambling. Unsubscribe at any time. Please gamble responsibly. Need help? 1-800-GAMBLER