Warriors vs Spurs Odds, Picks & Predictions

• The Spurs are a heavy favorite over the Warriors Friday with Steph Curry out injured
• I break down the odds for this Western Conference tilt along with my favorite NBA player prop pick
• Keep reading for Warriors vs Spurs betting analysis for Friday, November 13th

The San Antonio Spurs host the Golden State Warriors in a Western Conference clash at the Frost Bank Center Friday night. Tip-off is slated for 6:30 PM PT / 9:30 PM ET with broadcast coverage on Amazon Prime Video, WOAI 2, and DAZN-SAS.

San Antonio enters as a strong home favorite, boasting a 10-2 record to sit atop the Southwest Division and second overall in the West. Golden State travels as the road underdog at 8-4, ranking second in the Pacific Division and sixth in the conference.

Keep reading for my preview and breakdown of this contest between these two familiar foes with the Spurs favored in the NBA odds.

Warriors vs Spurs Picks & Predictions

Spread Pick: Spurs -11.5 (-108, Novig)

Laying double-digits can be uncomfortable in the NBA, but San Antonio -11.5 is fully warranted given Golden State’s catastrophic injury report.

The Warriors travel without Steph Curry, Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porziņģis, and Moses Moody, stripping away over 65 combined points of offensive production and leaving Steve Kerr with virtually zero reliable halfcourt shot creators. Without Curry’s transcendent gravity and Porziņģis’ rim protection, Golden State’s undersized perimeter defense will offer no resistance against a surging Spurs squad that has racked up ten straight victories.

San Antonio’s offense is firing on all cylinders behind Victor Wembanyama, who is averaging 30.3 points, 11.7 rebounds, and 4.4 blocks per contest while topping 30 points in five of his last six outings.

Against a severely depleted Warriors roster lacking depth and scoring punch, expect San Antonio to build an insurmountable early lead, pull away in the second half, and comfortably cover the 11.5-point spread.

Game-Total Pick: Under 217.5 (+104, Kalshi)

Under 217.5 is a situational lean rather than an automatic hammer. Curry’s absence strips away Golden State’s primary perimeter volume, but both squads have averaged close to 119 points per game on the season, meaning this total should not be treated as an obvious Under.

However, the Warriors will be forced to grind out possessions through Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski against a San Antonio interior anchored by Wemby, who leads the league with 4.4 blocks per game.

If the pace decelerates and Golden State struggles to crack 100 points, the Under has a clear pathway to cash.

Player Prop: Wembanyama 29+ Points (+104, Novig)

In the NBA player props, Victor Wembanyama’s scoring line sits at 28.5 points. His recent 52-point, 24-rebound masterpiece against Dallas and 40-point outing on 15-of-19 shooting against Phoenix demonstrate his ceiling, but a pair of massive scoring outbursts should not automatically make this a lock.

Wembanyama is averaging 30.3 PPG on the campaign and has cleared 28.5 points in five straight and eight of nine, yet blowouts often limit his minutes, as seen when he logged just 24.1 minutes in a 12-point effort against Utah.

Facing an undersized Warriors frontcourt missing Porziņģis, Wembanyama will enjoy clear physical advantages inside, and I believe he’ll blow well over the number.

Golden State vs San Antonio Odds

Odds as of November 13 from Kalshi.

San Antonio enters this matchup as a massive home favorite. On the Kalshi exchange, shares for a Spurs outright victory are trading at 85¢, while Golden State shares sit at 16¢. The total points expectation for the game is set at 217.5, offering slightly better value than the opening 219.5 consensus line.

There’s an 84.1% chance of San Antonio winning outright. This leaves Golden State with a 15.9% probability of pulling off the upset.

For bettors eyeing the moneyline, a $10 wager on the favored Spurs at 85¢ per share would yield roughly $1.76 in profit. In contrast, the same $10 bet on the underdog Warriors at 16¢ per share offers a significant return, paying out $52.50 in profit if the road squad secures the victory.

GSW vs SAS Team Stats

Warriors vs Spurs Public-Betting Splits

Looking at NBA public betting, the spread market shows 67.3% of tickets and 75.7% of the money are backing San Antonio to cover the 11.5-point line.

The total market features the most lopsided action on the board. A massive 93.1% of the total handle expects the game to eclipse the total points line.

Outright victory wagers are heavily skewed toward San Antonio, with over 90% of moneyline wagers tied to the favorite. However, the money percentage drops to 66.7%.

GSW vs SAS Injury Reports

Warriors Injury Report

Spurs Injury Report