Predators vs Golden Knights Prediction, Odds & Friday NHL Picks

• Nashville heads to T-Mobile Arena for a Friday Western Conference matchup with Vegas
• I’m backing one underdog price and two shot props for this Predators vs Golden Knights game
• See below for my picks, target prices and the projected goalie matchup

The Nashville Predators visit the Vegas Golden Knights on Friday night at T-Mobile Arena. Vegas is priced as the home favorite, which leaves the Preds sitting in an underdog spot worth a closer look.

Nashville has already shown it can beat strong teams this month. It handled Carolina 4-1 on November 3, snapping the Hurricanes’ six-game point streak.

Vegas brings Jack Eichel, Mark Stone and Mitch Marner up front, so this won’t be an easy road trip for their counterparts. I’ve worked through the pricing, special teams and goalie picture to build my Friday NHL picks.

Predators vs Golden Knights Prediction and Best Bets

Predators Moneyline

My Predators vs Golden Knights prediction is Nashville to win outright. The Predators beat Anaheim 4-2 on Wednesday for a sixth straight win. Vegas has won four in a row itself, so the case for Nashville comes down to the price.

Special teams are where Nashville closes the gap. The Preds kill 89.5% of their penalties (tops in NHL), which matters against a Vegas power play converting at 27.9% (5th). Nashville also owns the better team save percentage, .909 to .896.

At 38¢, a winning contract pays $1, for 62¢ in profit before fees. The risk is the 38¢ cost of the contract. I can rate Vegas as the better team at home and still take Nashville if I think the Predators win this matchup more than 38 times out of 100.

Roman Josi Over 2.5 Shots on Goal

Pick: Roman Josi Over 2.5 shots on goal

Josi is a volume shooter from the blueline and runs Nashville’s top power-play unit. A near-even price means I only need him to clear this line slightly more than half the time.

Vegas allows just 25.3 pucks on net per game, so the shots won’t come easy. Still, Josi’s role on both the top pairing and the first power-play unit keeps him on the ice in the minutes that produce shots.

Jack Eichel Under 2.5 Shots on Goal

Pick: Jack Eichel Under 2.5 shots on goal

Eichel had a goal and an assist in the 5-3 win against Utah. Mitch Marner set up three goals and Ivan Barbashev scored twice. My under is a bet on how Vegas distributes its shots, not a bet that Eichel stays off the scoresheet. Two shots and two assists would still get the under cashed.

The Preds’ penalty kill also helps here. If the Preds stay out of the box or kill penalties at their usual rate, Eichel loses some of the power-play looks that usually push him past this number. Eichel has gone under 2.5 shots on goal in five of his last seven contests.

Predators vs Golden Knights Odds

BetMGM’s game lines as of 12:56 a.m. ET on Nov. 13 made Vegas a -189 favorite and Nashville a +154 underdog. Kalshi’s game-winner prices were 38¢ for Nashville and 62¢ for Vegas as of 6:04 p.m. ET on Nov. 12.

That’s a thin return for a team with a weaker penalty kill and save percentage than its opponent. I’d rather take the bigger payout with Nashville.

Predators vs Golden Knights Team Stats

Vegas has the better five-on-five numbers. The Golden Knights sit at 50.0% Corsi and 51.2% Fenwick, compared to 45.9% and 46.8% for Nashville. They also score more, at 3.40 goals per game to Nashville’s 3.05.

The gap shrinks on defense. Nashville allows 2.63 goals per game, and Vegas allows 2.65. Add the Preds’ edge on the penalty kill and in goal, and this looks closer than the moneyline implies.

Predators vs Golden Knights Projected Goalies

Jusse Saros will be the starter for Nashville, with Justus Annunen as the backup. Adin Hill will be between the pipes for VGK, with Carter Hart riding the pine.

Saros’ shutout in Los Angeles is a reason to check the Nashville starter closely. Hill has been victorious in three of his last four starts.

My Friday NHL pick is Nashville to win at 38¢. Compare NHL odds for all the games Friday and through the weekend.