Final Four Odds for March Madness – See Odds to Reach Final Four for All 68 Teams in 2024 NCAA Tournament
- With the 2024 March Madness bracket set, odds to win each of the four regions are available
- All four #1 seeds are favored to win their regions in 2024 March Madness
- Below, see the odds for all 68 teams in the NCAA Tournament to reach the Final Four
The 2024 March Madness bracket has been cemented with UConn (East), Houston (South), Purdue (Midwest), and North Carolina (West) grabbing the four #1 seeds in the 2024 NCAA Tournament. In the latest Final Four odds, three of the #1 seeds rae favored to win their regions, while UNC finds itself second to #2 Arizona in the West.
Last year, several longshots made the national semifinals. UConn, the #4 seed in the West, had the shortest pre-tournament odds at +400 of the four teams that reached the Final Four. The Huskies were joined in the semifinals by #5 San Diego State (+650), #5 Miami (+1400), and #9 Florida Atlantic (+3500).
Jump to: South | East |Midwest | West
Odds to Win South Region
| Team (Seed) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Houston (1) | +150 |
| Duke (4) | +295 |
| Marquette (2) | +550 |
| Kentucky (3) | +850 |
| Florida (7) | +1700 |
| Nebraska (8) | +2000 |
| Texas Tech (6) | +2200 |
| Wisconsin (5) | +2200 |
| Texas A&M (9) | +5500 |
| Boise State (10) | +10000 |
| Colorado (10) | +10000 |
| James Madison (12) | +10000 |
| NC State (11) | +10000 |
| Oakland (14) | +40000 |
| Vermont (13) | +40000 |
| Western Kentucky (15) | +45000 |
| Longwood (16) | +50000 |
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Not only is Houston the favorite in the South, the Cougars also have the second-shortest odds of any team in the NCAA Tournament to reach the Final Four at +150.
The South is perceived to be the weakest region in the bracket, at least at the top. Duke, the #4 seed, is the second-favorite to win the South Region. The Blue Devils are the second-highest-rated team in the South at KenPom, sitting 8th. (Houston finished the season second.)
Marquette is 12th while Kentucky is all the way down in 19th.
Houston lost in the Sweet 16 as a #1 seed last year, falling to Miami (89-75). The Cougars did reach the Final Four in 2021, though, as a #5 seed.
Odds to Win East Region
| Team (Seed) | Odds |
|---|---|
| UConn (1) | +110 |
| Auburn (4) | +280 |
| Iowa State (2) | +300 |
| Illinois (3) | +700 |
| BYU (6) | +2000 |
| San Diego State (5) | +3500 |
| FAU (8) | +6000 |
| Northwestern (9) | +6000 |
| Washington State (7) | +6000 |
| Drake (10) | +8000 |
| Duquesne (11) | +9000 |
| Yale (13) | +25000 |
| UAB (12) | +35000 |
| Morehead State (14) | +40000 |
| South Dakota State (15) | +40000 |
| Stetson (16) | +50000 |
The East Region essentially boils down to #1 UConn versus the field, at least according to oddsmakers. The +497 favorite in the latest March Madness championship odds, UConn is +110 to win its first four games and reach the national semifinals. Just like in the South, the second-favorite in the East is the #4 seed, in this case Auburn, a team that will feel drastically underseeded after finishing one game back of Tennessee in the SEC during the regular season, and them romping to the conference tournament championship.
Coincidentally, the East region features three of last year’s Final Four teams. San Diego State, which is once again a #5 seed, is listed at +3500 to win the South (considerably longer than the +650 odds they had last year as a #5).
FAU, which is a #8 this year (effectively the same seed-line they had last year as a #9), is listed at +8000. They were +3500 at the outset of the 2023 tournament.
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Odds to Win Midwest Region
| Team (Seed) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Purdue (1) | +165 |
| Tennessee (2) | +330 |
| Creighton (3) | +340 |
| Gonzaga (5) | +650 |
| Texas (7) | +1800 |
| Kansas (4) | +1900 |
| TCU (9) | +3500 |
| South Carolina (6) | +6000 |
| Utah State (8) | +8000 |
| Oregon (11) | +9000 |
| McNeese (12) | +10000 |
| Colorado State (10) | +15000 |
| Virginia (10) | +15000 |
| Samford (13) | +25000 |
| Akron (14) | +40000 |
| Saint Peter’s (15) | +40000 |
| Montana State/Grambling (16) | +50000 |
After losing to #16 Fairleigh Dickinson as a #1 seed just last season, Purdue is back on the #1 line and favored to win the Midwest at +165. The #2 Tennessee Volunteers have the second-best odds but are only a tepid +330 second-favorite, just a whisker in front of #3 Creighton (+340).
Perennial Final Four contender Gonzaga is fourth in the Midwest at +650, while #4 Kansas is all the way back at +1900 as the Jayhawks try to overcome some significant injury concerns.
Odds to Win West Region
| Team (Seed) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Arizona (2) | +180 |
| North Carolina (1) | +235 |
| Baylor (3) | +600 |
| Alabama (4) | +1000 |
| Saint Mary’s (5) | +1100 |
| Michigan State (9) | +2500 |
| New Mexico (11) | +2500 |
| Nevada (10) | +3000 |
| Mississippi State (8) | +3500 |
| Clemson (6) | +4000 |
| Dayton (7) | +6000 |
| Grand Canyon (12) | +12000 |
| Charleston (13) | +35000 |
| Long Beach State (15) | +40000 |
| Colgate (14) | +45000 |
| Howard/Wagner (16) | +50000 |
The West is the only region where the top seed doesn’t have the best odds to win the region. The #2 Arizona Wildcats will start the tournament as +180 chalk to reach the Final Four out of the West. The West Regional (i.e. Sweet 16 and Elite Eight) will take place in Los Angeles, CA.
The West also sees to better-seeded teams enter the first round as underdogs (#6 Clemson is a 1.5-point underdog to #11 New Mexico, while #7 Dayton is a 1.5-point ‘dog to #10 Nevada). Oddsmakers are clearly giving the Mountain West more credence than the Selection Committee. New Mexico is +2500 to win the region while Nevada is just behind at +3000.
The odds to reach the Final Four will be changing after every game of the 2024 NCAA Tournament. Readers can see the use SBD’s tracker to see the latest Final Four odds.
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.
