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Best Michigan vs Washington Same-Game Parlay for the National Championship

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in College Football

Updated Jan 7, 2024 · 9:28 PM PST

Michigan running back Blake Corum celebrating a touchdown
Michigan running back Blake Corum (2) celebrates a touchdown against Alabama in overtime of the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif., on Monday, Jan. 1, 2024.
  • The #2 Washington Huskies face the #1 Michigan Wolverines for the National Championship on Monday, January 8
  • With starting running back Dillon Johnson laboring due to a foot injury, Washington’s offense won’t be as dynamic as usual
  • See a +169 Michigan vs Washington same-game parlay

Two undefeated conference champions meet in the 2024 College Football Playoff National Championship on Monday, January 8, as the #2 Washington Huskies (14-0, 7-6-1 ATS) face the #1 Michigan Wolverines (14-0, 8-5-1 ATS). Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX.

The Wolverines are 4.5-point favorites in the Washington vs Michigan odds, and today’s Michigan vs Washington same-game parlay is banking on the Wolverines proving the better team, especially on defense.

Michigan vs Washington Same-Game Parlay

Pick Odds
Michael Penix Jr under 292.5 pass yards -114
Michigan +3.5 -310
Blake Corum over 0.5 TDs -420
Same-Game Parlay Odds +169

The first leg of this Michigan vs Washington SGP is the under on Husky pivot Michael Penix Jr’s passing yards. The second is on the Wolverines to at least keep it within a field goal. And the final leg is on Blake Corum finding the end zone for the 15th straight game.

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The latest college football public-betting splits show the Huskies getting 72% of the ATS handle as 4.5-point underdogs, along with a stunning 91% of moneyline handle to win straight-up as +160 ‘dogs.

Michigan vs Washington SGP Pick #1: Penix Jr Under 292.5 Passing Yards

This isn’t so much a wager against Michael Penix Jr, who’s been phenomenal almost all season, as much as it is a wager on the Michigan defense.  The Wolverines are allowing just 9.5 points per game this season and haven’t allowed a single QB to go over 271 yards (Ohio State’s Kyle McCord). Only two of the 14 QBs they’ve face managed to pass for two bills.

Last Monday, UM limited Alabama pivot Jalen Milroe to 116 yards on 23 attempts (5.0 yards per pass). Milroe came in averaging just under 220 passing yards per game.

Penix will be the most-prolific passer they’ve faced, but without a healthy Dillon Johnson in the backfield, UM will be able to devote significant resources to both the pass rush and coverage. Michigan is coming off a six-sack game against Alabama and Penix is going to find his pocket a lot less comfortable than during the Texas game.

Johnson, who rushed for 1,162 yards and 16 TDs this season, suffered an ugly-looking reaggravation of an existing foot injury late in the Texas game.

Michigan vs Washington Same-Game Parlay Pick #2: Wolverines +3.5

While their FBS-best scoring defense holds Penix in check, Michigan’s offense should be able to move the chains with regularity, just as the Longhorns did in the Sugar Bowl. Texas managed 498 total yards during Washington’s 37-31 victory, 318 through the air and 180 on the ground.

Michigan, meanwhile, managed a respectable 351 yards of offense (221 passing, 131 rushing) against Alabama’s top-ten defense. Washington rates just 30th in the country in defensive efficiency.

Michigan vs Washington SGP Pick #3: Corum Over 0.5 TDs

The rationale here is pretty simple: Corum has scored a touchdown in every game this season. Excepting Michigan’s 2022 win versus Ohio State, when Corum only had two carries before getting injured, he’s scored in every game for the last two seasons, amassing 45 touchdowns in 26 games during that span.

Washington is, for the most part, in the title game on the strength of its offense. The Huskies’ offense was 11th in points per game (37.6 PPG) while their defense was just 50th in the FBS (23.6 PPG) while playing a mediocre Pac-12 schedule.  Just last week, Texas was able to pile up 180 rushing yards on 28 attempts (6.4 yards per carry) and I fully expect Michigan to have similar success on the ground.

My colleague included Corum scoring two touchdowns among his best Michigan vs Washington player props and I have no issue adding one TD here at short odds.

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