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2019 NFL Draft Position Over/Unders: Where Will Haskins, Lock, Oliver & Others Be Selected?

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in NFL Football

Apr 2, 2019 · 2:50 PM PDT

Houston DT Ed Oliver doing the shuttle run at the 2019 NFL Combine.
Houston DT Ed Oliver, once the favorite to go first overall in the 2019 NFL Draft, now has an O/U of 13.5. Photo by Twitter user @YahooSportsNFL.
  • The Over/Under props for the NFL Draft (April 25th) have been released
  • Heisman Trophy-nominee Dwayne Haskins (Ohio State) has a shot to go in the top five
  • Ole Miss WR D.K. Metcalf would be a great fit for the Bills at no. 9

The NFL Draft is coming up April 25th and Bookmaker has released props on when some of the top players on the board will be selected.  Here’s a breakdown of what’s available and where you should consider placing your wagers.

Dwayne Haskins (QB, Ohio State): 5.5 O/U

Draft position O/U Haskins draft position odds at Bookmaker
Over 5.5 -250
Under 5.5 +180

*odds taken 4/2

This is my favorite O/U on the board.  Dwayne Haskins is a pro-ready QB with great intangibles.

It’s a weird year, however, with few teams near the top of the draft board in need of a QB and Kyler Murray essentially a lock to go first overall.

As a result, Haskins O/U is worse than it would be in other years.

He was nominated for the Heisman Trophy after throwing for 4,831 yards, 50 touchdowns and only 8 interceptions.  Haskins is an elite prospect and one that fits perfectly with the New York Giants.

While the Giants don’t pick until 6th overall, there’s a good chance they’ll move up to make sure they get their guy.

Take the value on the under and get ready to hear Roger Goodell call Haskins to the stage early on draft night.

PICK: UNDER 5.5 (+180)

Drew Lock (QB, Missouri): 10.5 O/U

Draft position O/U Lock’s draft position odds at Bookmaker
Over 10.5 +100
Under 10.5 -130

*odds taken 4/2

Drew Lock is tough to get a gauge on going into the draft.  At almost 6’4 and 230 pounds, he has the size and arm strength scouts love, but it’s tough to find a team in the top 10 that needs him enough to use the pick on him.

I don’t see a current fit inside the top 10 and am not sure he’s the type of prospect a team will put a package together for.

Lock threw for 3,498 yards and 28 touchdowns last year at Missouri, which are nice numbers, but not ones that jump off the page.

It’s more likely he falls to the middle or late first round and the +100 odds are solid value.

PICK: OVER 10.5 (+100)

Montez Sweat (DE, Mississippi State): 7.5 O/U

Draft position O/U Sweat’s draft position odds at Bookmaker
Over 7.5 -250
Under 7.5 +180

*odds taken 4/2

For teams looking for an elite edge rusher, the 2019 NFL draft should be a gold mine. The problem for Sweat is that he’s likely going to be the third defensive end taken after Nick Bosa from Ohio State and Josh Allen from Kentucky.

It’s possible that three go in the top-seven picks, but it’s more likely Sweat stays on the board until the no. 8 pick or later.

With a couple elite quarterbacks, and three more interior lineman worth taking early, there’s a good reason why the over is juiced so heavily here. Bite the bullet and pay the -250.

PICK: OVER 7.5 (-250)

Ed Oliver (DT, Houston): 13.5 O/U

Draft position O/U Oliver’s draft position odds at Bookmaker
Over 13.5 +220
Under 13.5 -300

*odds taken 4/2

Few prospects see their draft value change the way Oliver has. At one point a year ago, he was the favorite to be taken with the first-overall pick. Now the odds have you deciding whether or not he’ll be taken before the 14th selection.

Oliver’s combine has been compared to Aaron Donald’s. That may be a stretch, but he is undeniably an athletic freak, one who will be gone before the 14th pick.

Scouts will love his tape and, with all the meetings he has planned, someone will surely see enough to select him early on April 25th.

PICK: UNDER 13.5 (-300)

Marquise Brown (WR, Oklahoma): 19.5 O/U

Draft position O/U Brown’s draft position odds at Bookmaker
Over 19.5 -180
Under 19.5 +140

*odds taken 4/2

Antonio Brown’s cousin Marquise is next up on the list and the debate is whether he will go in the top 20.  He starred for the Oklahoma Sooners last year with 1,318 receiving yards and 10 TD.

While he’s unlikely to match the productivity of Antonio, he does project as a solid NFL player.  The problem is, teams aren’t really looking for “solid” in the top 20 picks of the draft.

At 5’10 and 168 pounds, Brown lacks the size of the other top WR prospects in the draft, namely D.K. Metcalf from Ole Miss.

Brown also hasn’t been healthy for much of the draft process, rehabbing a Lisfranc injury.  He will contribute in the slot at the next level, but it’ll be for a team that takes him after the 19th pick.

PICK: OVER 19.5 (-180)

D.K. Metcalf (WR, Ole Miss): 12.5 O/U

Draft position O/U Metcalf’s draft position odds at Bookmaker
Over 12.5 -125
Under 12.5 -105

*odds taken 4/2

Metcalf erases a lot of the doubts Brown has to worry about.  His size is exceptional at 6’4 and 230 pounds; he’ll be able to body almost every defensive back in the league.

He also has great hands deep down field. Last year, he averaged 21.9 yards per catch for Ole Miss.

This isn’t a receiver anyone would refer to as “solid.” Metcalf is an absolute slam-dunk superstar in the making.

With teams like the Buffalo Bills picking inside the top 10, expect Metcalf to not only be picked before the 13th pick, but to be the top receiver in the draft.

PICK: UNDER 12.5 (-105)


SBD’s 2019 NFL Draft Coverage

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